Week 8, Saturday

Toledo Prophet

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YTD: 37-36-3

October has been a struggle, but I like today's games and win or lose it will be another great day of college football games. We have big conference games all over the place today, so today will go a long way in determing who will be playng with more chips at stake come November.

Here goes:

Iowa -3, -139, over Wisco. I dont think the Badgers can pull out of thier tailspin. Iowa is better across both lines. They've contained top backs all season, so they will bottle up Bucky's power run. Meanwhile on offense, Shon Green will get another 100 yards. Hawks get better QB play from Stanzi than Wisco will get from Everidge. Iowa D allows just 10 ppg and the Badgers have struggled to score since the non creampuff part of slate kicked in. To me, the Hawks have the better lines, QB and defense. I like them a lot at home today.

NW -4 over Purdue. Is Northwestern a bowl team? I say they are. Thats important when you consider that since 2005 Purdue is just 4-21 SU, 7-18 ATS against teams that ended up playing in a bowl. Three of those SU wins have come agaisnt Central Michigan. In league play, those numbers get worse. Purude is just 1-13 SU, 2-12 ATS against Big 10 Bowlers. Expect Northwestern's passs rush to knock Purdue around and Tyrell Sutton on offense to have his best game of the season against a shaky Boiler D.

WMU/CMU O58.....man, I want to hammer Central here, but this line has me in knots. Western can play with them and should have beaten them last year in one of the season's craziest games. I am avoiding a side because anything can happen in this game. Anything, that is, except for a defensive struggle. Shoot out all the way in this one.

TT/Tamu O64.....speaking of shootouts. Aggies have the league's worst scoring defense. This could get ugly for their D. Not sold either, though, on the Red Raiders on D, and the Aggies have as much playmakers as Nebraska does and the Huskers got over 30 last week against Tech. Loser in today's game will still exceed 30 points.

Tamu +21 pver TT. If this game was in Lubbock I would lay these points. Just a hunch that Aggie pride finds a way to stay in this ball game. Its too much of a rivalry for the road team to win by more than 3 TDs

Vandy +16.5 over UGA. Staying with the SEC Double Digit Dog bandwagon. Its still winning money.

Memphis +8 over ECU. As a little known, little respected team, ECU cashed a lot of winning tickets in the underdog role. Its been compelling the last month or so watching them crumble under the weight of the favored tag. They'll get all they can handle today from a Memphis team that is playing much better than people are giving them credit for.

Conn +2.5 over Rutgers......not sure much has changed since last season when the Huskies ran all over the Knights. I know Rutgers has been close the last couple of weeks and no they're returning home in a revenger, but I dont think they cans top UConn's running game. The misery continues for Rutgers.

Well, how about that. I have eight plays coming up in the nooners. And, a few other games came close to the list. Not sure what I am doing with this spree?!?!:shrug:

You know what? I'll just pour a drink, enjoy some football and see what happens!

Good Luck!!! :toast:
 
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Toledo Prophet

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Thanks Cie!!

Lets hope the 2nd H of that TT-A/M game is as awesome as the first!!

On to the 3:00 games:

MSU +3 over OSU......double play......I am going to keep betting against the Bucks, who are just 1-5 ATS this season. There is something intangible thats just not there this year. The offense is clunky and one dimensional and the D has not been the shut down unit we all expected this year. Michigan of all people has twice as many offensive TDs the last couple of weeks as OSU. Folks, thats not good. The Bucks are last in the league in passing offense,sacks allowed and total plays. They're settling for a lot of field goals as they're 111th in red zone touchdown percentage. Good news is they will run all day on MSU with Beanie, but I think MSU will have as much success running with Ringers. Seriously, whats the O/U on yards gained by those guys? Not high enough, IMO. This will be fun to watch. In the end, I like the MSU OL to stone the OSU DL, keeping Hoyer clean. He is maligned as a QB, but given time I think he can be more than effective to deliver the big home win today.

Ole Miss +12, -134, over Bama.....single play.....SEC double digit dog.

KU +20, -115, over Oklahoma....single play.....without Reynolds, I think Ressing can do damage against the Sooners. This line is begging for KU money, and it has mine. :142smilie

UVA +4.5, -125, over UNC.....single play.....it seems like I have been on everyone of UNC's games this year. Its been mildly profitable with a 3-2 record. So, I am focused again on Butch Davis' Renaissance project today. I'm going against them today. The Cavs are one of the more improved teams since the start of the season. I wonder about UNC today playing without the all world Yates. he as a game changer for them. They might find themselves in a pedestrian rut without them, so I'll put a little on the home dog.

Baylor +16.5 over Oklahoma State......single play.....classic sammy game for the Pokes......Geaux Bears!!!!

Maybe one or two more.....we'll see if I cant get a ticket for the entire card or something. :mj07:
 

Toledo Prophet

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Got a nice day going so far. Not much going on tonight:

Va Tech +3 over BC.......double play

Mizzou +5 over Texas.......single play

Good luck tonight!!:weed:
 
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