Weekend French League Soccer

[flapjack]

Heres what I like - alot of -200 unders, so I will be doing a 4 team round robin (2 teamers) in order to get some better odds:

Bordauex-Lyon U 2 1/2 -180
B's Goals Against: .33/gm
B's Home GA: 0.0
L's GA: .5/gm
Last years game @ Bor 0-0 draw
Lyon has been dominant this year, but are still only averaging 1.5 goals/gm. Bord is having a good year by clamping down on D and hoping for a goal or settling for a draw.

Nantes-Toulouse U 2 1/2 -200
Nantes - 1 goal scored in last 4 games
Toulouse - 1 goal scored in 5 games!
Unless there's an own goal, this things going 0-0.

Lemans-Socheaux
S GF: .33/gm
S GA: .67
L GF: 1.3
L GA: .33
Lemans has thrown 5 shut outs in 6 games - only team to score was Lyon in the 1st game of the year.

PSG-St Et.
S GA: .17 - 0 conceded at home
P GA: .67 - .5 on the road
LY's game @ St E 0-0 draw


As far as sides, I like Nancy -1/2 @ home vs a terrible Metz. Nancy is 1-5, but have a positive GF/GA positive thanks to a 6-0 drubbing of Rennes. Metz' GF/GA difference of -1.67 on the road.

Also like Monaco to finally get a home win versus Rennes who is being outscored by close to 2 goals/game.

And, I having a feeling Bordeaux could give Lyon problems - possible draw. So I'll take the +1/2 goal.

 

[InSpades]

Thanks FJ.

IS

 

[InSpades]

FJ,

Someone I know says Ajaccio +.5 is a VERY strong play on Sunday. He says the line is almost too good to be true.

How do you feel?

IS

 

[flapjack]

Could be right. Auxerre at home has historically been tough, but they have really gotten off track after starting strong - wins at Monaco and home to Bordueax. Last 3 games has seen them crushed 7-0 by a very good Lens, 2-0 at home to Lyon and then the most disturbing loss for them has to be last weeks 3-1 loss to a very bad Rennes. They've been in very bad form and Ajaccio is yet to lose on the year - alot of draws. If I do well today, I'll be on it tomorrow. Thanks for the tip.

 

[InSpades]

This line makes me nervous. Usually if a line is too good to be true, 99% of the time the wager will lose.

The books don't stay in bussiness by giving away money. I am surprised the line isn't a double line. 0 and +.5.

I won't even put a full unit on it.

IS

 

[alb]

Bordeaux 1 - 1 Lyon

1 under down...3 to go.

 

[flapjack]

Adding Lemans -1/2 +115. Only way this game goes over is if Lemans scores all the goals.

 

[InSpades]

We need some serious defense in the LeMans/Sochaux and Nantes/Toulouse games.

IS

 

[flapjack]

2-1 on the unders won't get it done when they are all -180 to -200. It all rests on the PSG under tomorrow. 3-1 would be very nice, 2-2 would be suck.

Split on Nancy & LeMans sides, so sitting at 2-1 on the sides. A lot of goals on Saturday.

Hopefully Sunday will see a return to normalacy.

 

[flapjack]

St Et 3-0 winners. 2-2 on the unders, 2-2 on the sides on the weekend.

 

[InSpades]

0-8 on soccer today for me.

:mj122:

IS

 

[InSpades]

FJ,

Can I get an opinion on Racing +.5 over Ajaccio on Wednesday?

IS

 

[flapjack]

Racing is yet to score a goal on the road this year, so its tough to take them here unless you are hoping for a 0-0 draw in which case I'd take a shot on the draw line. I like the under as the 12 out of the combined 14 games these 2 teams have played have gone under. In fact, none of Racing's 3 road games has gone over 1 total goal.

I'm looking at the French games right now. I like alot of unders again - as I am hoping last w/e's games where a fluke and not a trend. But, I'll be playing smaller stakes as it could be that teams are starting to find their offenses.

 

[InSpades]

Racing is yet to score a goal on the road this year, so its tough to take them here unless you are hoping for a 0-0 draw in which case I'd take a shot on the draw line. I like the under as the 12 out of the combined 14 games these 2 teams have played have gone under. In fact, none of Racing's 3 road games has gone over 1 total goal.

I'm looking at the French games right now. I like alot of unders again - as I am hoping last w/e's games where a fluke and not a trend. But, I'll be playing smaller stakes as it could be that teams are starting to find their offenses.

Thanks. Good info.

IS