Weekend of 9/27 College Football

xerri

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posted record 14-9, +8.2 units

W. Michigan -2 -110, 5 units
Think WM is the much better team here and I expect this line to go up during the week. WM can really move the ball as they put up close to 400 yards against Michigan St. and over 400 yards against a very good Virginia defense. They should have no problem against this Ohio defense that gave up 48 points to Iowa St. and 42 points to Minnesota. Ohio is very inexperienced in the secondary and two LBs who were going to start this year have been out so their defense is not very strong. WM had the top defense in the MAC last year and is very strong on special teams especially in the return game so they should have a big advantage there as well. Ohio has a pretty good QB in Ray but not much around him. If they can contain Ray on the option the Broncos should be in pretty good shape and get an easy win. If Ohio gets behind they will have difficulty coming back late as they are not a very good passing team.

TCU -14 -120, 3 units
Gonna keep riding against Arizona until they prove something to me. They were again thoroughly dominated by a very avg. offensive team in Purdue getting beat 59-7 and the Cats have been outscored 166-30 over the last 3 games for an avg. deficit of 42 per game. TCU's defense is pretty good giving up just 17 ppg and just over 300 yards while UA is giving up an astounding 43 ppg and 457 ypg. While I realize Gunn is out at QB I don't think it will matter as TCU should run over this defense just like everyone else. As with Purdue, TCU's defense and special teams should give them the field position they need to put up enough points for the cover.
 

xerri

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Florida -9 -110 2 units
Kentucky has shown no ability to run the ball this year and if they are in 3rd and longs all day I think Florida will give Lorenzen a lot of problems. Florida has dominated this series and I think they have too much team speed for the Wildcats. I think Florida will get a lot of big plays on offense and special teams and like them to get a much needed and easy win.
 

xerri

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I don't expect a letdown since they are 2-2 and coming off a loss. I'm a little worried they may be a little beat up after the Tenn game but I see no reason for them to look past Kentucky especially since they only won by 7 last year in Gainesville.
 

JCDunkDogs

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Nice write-ups. I like your thinking on TCU and Florida. TCU's defense keeps Arizona in 3d and long all day. The Gators will be swarming in Lorenzen's face, and have the speed to cut off his escape routes.

good luck!
 
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