I really hate getting back to this subject, but I have very strong opinions on this subject.
First off, I would like to preface the straight wager, on every play, as the only way to go if you are a novice.
Not interested in addressing followers, your not a novice, just playing with fire, don't care who you follow. This forum provides some great people to follow, no doubt, but wouldn't you get more satisfaction learning to handicap for yourself?
Definition of a novice:
A novice learns how to initially breakdown games on his own. All plays SHOULD BE THE SAME!. Your learning curve depends on the size of your bankroll, to some degree. We all agree a novice should play 1% of his bankroll, per play - maybe 2% per play. I still like that percentage, playing for more years than you want to know.
Most people don't have the discipline to get past the 'learning curve" before losing their bankroll. Back to the previous paragraph, I'll be blunt. Wagering the same amount on each play, conservatively, and doing all the homework, will give you an indication as to whether you might be successful over the long haul. If you consistently lose, wagering the same amount, run fast! Your handicapping abilities are bogus, work harder to learn or give it up forever!
If you have mastered this "learning curve" (I put no time limit on it, as it is different for everyone), you are ready to start rating plays, on key elements, each night you play.
Going to go backward one more time. This thread does not imply anything derogatory to flat bettors who know what they are doing. Definately less risk in the flat bet approach.
My mentor has always preached rating your plays to be a successful full-time gambler, but you better be good at it. Guess I'm talking about maximizing your profits, a much better terminology. To be blunt one more time, my mentor has said " those that wager the same on every play will lose over the long haul. Certainly not the case with numerous fine cappers on this forum!
In rating plays, you must first be successful (long term!) at finding the criteria. My criteria may involve 15-20 points, or more, per play. I'm the biggest idiot on the forum many times, I must add. A risk I take for rating plays, a risk you need to downplay on those 4-2 nights when you lose money. It will happen, several times over 12 months. But if you learn to be consistent at it, the rewards are fun. Many 2-3 days, 2-4 days for a profit.
The other thing to consider, and I work at it all the time. Why play anthing but your best plays? Not sure how to answer that. Only going to say I'm a streak player, and love the 8-1's on three different bets. Hard to explain.
In closing, may devulge a little more on this subject in the future. Just seems everytime I do, less willing to be a part of any internet site, it just gets too into defamation of charactor instead of trying to learn from one another.
gl!
kcwolf
