Welch's/Fry's Championship

Stanley

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Outright plays (1.5pts):

Grace Park to win 16/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Large price for a player who had ten top-3 finishes last year, though only one win. Se finished the 2003 season with 14 top-10 finishes in her last 15 events. There are very few who can compete with that consistency and this price would only be justified if Annika Sorenstam was in the field. She is not and Park should continue her fine form in this event - 6th, 3rd and 4th in the last three years.

Lorena Ochoa to win 28/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power
Ochoa can also boast good form in this event - 7th, 5th and 16th in the last tree years - even though she played as an amateur in the first two years. She really didn't make the breakthrough that I expected last year - five top-3 finishes but no wins - but there is no reason that she shouldn't do this year. One benefit is that her odds are now higher - she was a 22/1 selection last year and at bigger odds and with an extra place on offer, she is retained for this event.

Lorie Kane to win 40/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power
Kane also has a fine record in this event with top-25 finishes in each of the last six years, though her best finish was last year when she finished 2nd. It was the second year in succession that she had opened her season with a 2nd place finish and that would be a profitable trend if it continued this year.
 

lal2000

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Following on the same theme, some Trebles covering Welchs, Qatar & Honda ? all with either SkyBet or Blue Square ? ? unit ew

Park/Toms/Davis
Ochoa/DiMarco/Howell
Park/DiMarco/Howell
Ochoa/Toms/Davis

Good Luck!
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (1.5pts):

Lorie Kane to beat Dorothy Delasin -111 @ Stan James
Siding with the outright selection again who as a 3-1-0 h2h lead over Delasin on this course. Simply the better player and playing on a course on which she holds a considerable advantage.
(also available at Expekt)

Meg Mallon to beat Sophie Gustafson -118 @ Expekt
While Mallon as three top-15 finishes from three starts on this course in the past five years, Gustafson has a best finish of 30th from four attempts. While I would not go as low as NordicBet's -182 on Mallon, Expekt's odds are very generous for a player who also has a much better record on the LPGA Tour.
(also available at NordicBet)

Pat Hurst to beat Michelle Ellis -118 @ NordicBet
Ellis had a fine 4th place finish in the Women's Australian Open last week, but given the travel and the difference in time zones, it cannot be an advantage to have been playing in that event when it was not concluded until the Monday morning. Ellis did manage three top-10 finishes on Tour last year, but Hurst managed three in her last five starts of the season. The better player should prevail.
 

lostinamerica

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OUTRIGHTS:

Lorie Kane(40/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365
I booked this play in my mind a year ago, and now I'll see what comes of it. As the breaks and the mistakes played out during an absorbing tournament last year, I was left with an indelible impression of having watched something get away that never should have gotten away. When the hopeless proceeding finally made it's way to the 18th hole, it had all the makings of having sown the seeds of a disappointing season and 52 long weeks before Lorie would have a chance at something worthy of being considered a proper redemption. This play has everything to do with a lifetime passion of being absorbed by the human drama of tournament golf at the highest levels, and is hopefully not derailed by my being fairly clueless about the field of ladies I'm not capping and the gal I'm backing.

Lorena Ochoa(25/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365
In a similar vein, their is a glaring omission here in the credentials of the reigning rookie of the year that sowed the seeds of an ambitious start to 2004, and some time away to prepare for a fresh start should enhance the prospects of filling the void in a storybook setting before the burden of expectations really has a chance to gnaw away at her confidence.

GL
 

lal2000

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Thanks BM - I was looking at LPGA scorecard on the PgaTour website, which is obviously incomplete. Not that their positions are much comfort to me right now!
 

Stanley

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Outrights - Final update: 1-2; -1.35pts

Park 2nd
Ochoa 42nd
Kane 42nd

Small loss, but a valiant effort by Park to win the event with a 3rd round 61. Early in the final round she draw level with Stupples, but never took sole lead and the title was effectively decided when Stupples eagled the 13th hole. There had never been more than one shot between them until that stage.

Matchups - Final update: 2-1-0; +1.23pts

Kane/Delasin WON by 1
Mallon/Gustafson LOST by 8
Hurst/Ellis WON by 8

Satisfactory start to the season which virtually cancelled out the losses on the outrights.
 
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