To win:
Walker +3300
Moore +4000
Woodland +5000
Holmes +7000
Sabbatini +9000
Perez +6600
Van Pelt +10000
Walker +3300
Moore +4000
Woodland +5000
Holmes +7000
Sabbatini +9000
Perez +6600
Van Pelt +10000
Wells Fargo Championship
- Thread starter cole
- Start date
Outrights:
Russell Henley(100/1) e.w.
Bill Haas(50/1) e.w.
Brendon De Jonge(125/1) e.w.
Jason Kokrak(80/1) e.w.
- - Taking those four on the basis of (i) last year's research, (ii) this year's prices, (iii) last year's less than satisfying attainments by each in this spot, and (iv) notwithstanding landing Bubba at Augusta, a fairly desperate need by moi for something different.
GL
Russell Henley(100/1) e.w.
Bill Haas(50/1) e.w.
Brendon De Jonge(125/1) e.w.
Jason Kokrak(80/1) e.w.
- - Taking those four on the basis of (i) last year's research, (ii) this year's prices, (iii) last year's less than satisfying attainments by each in this spot, and (iv) notwithstanding landing Bubba at Augusta, a fairly desperate need by moi for something different.
GL
Kevin Streelman to win 100-1
He did decent here last year, and he's playing decdent so far this year.
He did decent here last year, and he's playing decdent so far this year.
Picked up my Colonial package. This will be my 26th year working with the Caddies. I leave for Emporia, Kansas tomorrow for the Glass Blown Open. 522 Players, some come over the Pond to Play. I will finish last in my division, MG1 (32), but not why I Play but would like to beat one or two. We have HOT female Pros..so hey
http://www.pdga.com/tour/event/16502
Outrights
ODDS TO WIN WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP 2014 JIM FURYK +2280
ODDS TO WIN WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP 2014 JIMMY WALKER +3100
ODDS TO WIN WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP 2014 RYAN MOORE +3700
ODDS TO WIN WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP 2014 CAMERON TRINGALE +7250
ODDS TO WIN WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP 2014 BO VAN PELT +10000
http://www.pdga.com/tour/event/16502
Outrights
ODDS TO WIN WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP 2014 JIM FURYK +2280
ODDS TO WIN WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP 2014 JIMMY WALKER +3100
ODDS TO WIN WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP 2014 RYAN MOORE +3700
ODDS TO WIN WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP 2014 CAMERON TRINGALE +7250
ODDS TO WIN WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP 2014 BO VAN PELT +10000
- Jul 6, 2008
- 3,219
- 3
- 0
Outrights:
Adding . . .
Lee Westwood(16/1) e.w.
Martin Kaymer(125/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(125/1) e.w.
Stuart Appleby(150/1) e.w.
GL
Adding . . .
Lee Westwood(16/1) e.w.
Martin Kaymer(125/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(125/1) e.w.
Stuart Appleby(150/1) e.w.
GL
Round 1 play (4pts):
Kevin Streelman to beat Peter Hanson +115 @ 5Dimes
Two players players who are usually good to side with in matchups rather than outrights, but it Streelman who is in the better form - last week Hanson secured his first top-30 finish in a strokeplay event since January, whereas Streelman has missed just one cut in the last 10 months. He may not have been in final round contention since finishing 3rd in the Tournament of Champions, he does tend to start well - he has been inside the top-15 in seven of his last 16 starts. That was also the case last year when making his debut on this course - he finished 6th - so that gives him a sizeable advantage over Hanson who making his debut on this course.
Kevin Streelman to beat Peter Hanson +115 @ 5Dimes
Two players players who are usually good to side with in matchups rather than outrights, but it Streelman who is in the better form - last week Hanson secured his first top-30 finish in a strokeplay event since January, whereas Streelman has missed just one cut in the last 10 months. He may not have been in final round contention since finishing 3rd in the Tournament of Champions, he does tend to start well - he has been inside the top-15 in seven of his last 16 starts. That was also the case last year when making his debut on this course - he finished 6th - so that gives him a sizeable advantage over Hanson who making his debut on this course.
Round 2 plays (4pts):
Martin Flores to beat Angel Cabrera -120 @ 5Dimes
Cabrera is certainly a surprise leader after rd1. He finished 2nd in the Abierto del Centro on the Latinoamerica Tour two weeks ago, but it has been nine months since he has finished in the top-40 on either the PGA or the European Tour. This is only the 2nd time in the last five years that he has held the rd1 lead on either of those Tour and on the previous occasion (2012 Houston Open), he finished 21st. I really don't expect him to stay on the leaderboard, particularly as he ranked outside the top-50 in greens in reguation yesterday and Flores, with four top-20 finishes in his last six starts, seems a solid enough opponent.
Shawn Stefani to beat Scott Langley -130 @ 5Dimes
It has been a good comeback from Stefani who had back and neck troubles last year and started this season on a Minor Medical Extension. His 5th place finish in the Houston Open last month moved him up to Major Medical Extension status and so he will have a lot more playing opportunities for the rest of this season. He followed that top-5 position with cuts made in both of the last two weeks and is currently 7th after rd1 this week. He is playing well, ranking inside the top-15 yesterday for driving accuracy, greens in regulation and scrambling, so I fully expect him to maintain his current momentum. Langley has missed three of his last four cuts and failed to make the cut on his debut last year, so it should be harder task for him.
Phil Mickelson to beat Ryan Moore -150 @ ToteSport
Mickelson has a great record on this course, never finishing below 35th and securing top-5 finishes in five of his ten previous visits, so it is no surprise that we see a return to form (and motivation?) this week. With Moore in indifferent form recently and particularly so in rd2 - he averages 69.50 in rd1 in 2014, but 73.50 in rd2 - he looks to be a player worth opposing today even with the usually unpredictable Mickelson.
[unofficial rd2 system plays: Mickelson tb Simpson -150; Furyk tb Brown -160]
Martin Flores to beat Angel Cabrera -120 @ 5Dimes
Cabrera is certainly a surprise leader after rd1. He finished 2nd in the Abierto del Centro on the Latinoamerica Tour two weeks ago, but it has been nine months since he has finished in the top-40 on either the PGA or the European Tour. This is only the 2nd time in the last five years that he has held the rd1 lead on either of those Tour and on the previous occasion (2012 Houston Open), he finished 21st. I really don't expect him to stay on the leaderboard, particularly as he ranked outside the top-50 in greens in reguation yesterday and Flores, with four top-20 finishes in his last six starts, seems a solid enough opponent.
Shawn Stefani to beat Scott Langley -130 @ 5Dimes
It has been a good comeback from Stefani who had back and neck troubles last year and started this season on a Minor Medical Extension. His 5th place finish in the Houston Open last month moved him up to Major Medical Extension status and so he will have a lot more playing opportunities for the rest of this season. He followed that top-5 position with cuts made in both of the last two weeks and is currently 7th after rd1 this week. He is playing well, ranking inside the top-15 yesterday for driving accuracy, greens in regulation and scrambling, so I fully expect him to maintain his current momentum. Langley has missed three of his last four cuts and failed to make the cut on his debut last year, so it should be harder task for him.
Phil Mickelson to beat Ryan Moore -150 @ ToteSport
Mickelson has a great record on this course, never finishing below 35th and securing top-5 finishes in five of his ten previous visits, so it is no surprise that we see a return to form (and motivation?) this week. With Moore in indifferent form recently and particularly so in rd2 - he averages 69.50 in rd1 in 2014, but 73.50 in rd2 - he looks to be a player worth opposing today even with the usually unpredictable Mickelson.
[unofficial rd2 system plays: Mickelson tb Simpson -150; Furyk tb Brown -160]
Mixing things up during the course of my wasted season to date, I'll post some mid-season ODDS and ENDS; I wish I had time for ten good ones, but I'll try to come up with maybe four good ones.
(1) In capping for this week, I at least had some opinions taking shape in my mind, which is more than I can say for too many weeks this season . . . Taking just one player for starters, on Wednesday I was committed to the idea in my capping that Jonathan Byrd might play well, but he's not ready to step up and win this week, nor is Robert freaking Allenby; a shock winner would be Kevin Streelman or Jason Kokrak. But I concluded I would not be surprised if it turned out Stewart Cink got up there and was then capable when he did, it was just that I didn't have enough slots to play Cink again this week. But Martin Kaymer, finding flashes of his best stuff at Augusta (of all places), and then building on it, seemed a standout as a "Precursor of the Week" (or month) on my radar, with the vexing Anders Hansen also throwing down a marker. My big mistake for the week was deliberately plucking Lee Westwood as my short-priced choice over Justin Rose, but not even coming close to doing my homework, and upon seeing the Rose/Westwood/Mickelson pairing under way after the off, I immediately said I want to take that back, and have Rose over the other two. . . After Angel Cabrera shined on Day 1, I was not happy to then see he was coming off a second place finish, because this week's "Big Boy" venue, like a Wentworth, asking for all the elements of your game in major championship proportions, is certainly right up his street; add that streaky swing in which the timing can be way off or powerfully dialed in, and I took on some additional distress today when I saw El Pato stalking the lead with some of his obvious menace . . . Anyway, I feel like I have three names right in the mix for one of the few times this season, and I'll go on and say I would be shocked if Robert-Jan Derksen didn't play like a quality veteran on Saturday (Sunday will be a whole 'nother matter, regardless of Saturday); Kaymer is playing so well that he should certainly creep up the leaderboard or at least tread water on Saturday, and then relish getting in the mix on Sunday; and it's actually Felipe Aguillar that I have a good feeling about for this weeks danger, although he could also be the one Saturday stinker . . . Well, I rarely talk at all about my plays in-running, but I just served up a pasel of odds and ends under one banner . . . And let's go ahead and mention Geoff Ogilvy, who I played last week for a New Orleans debacle, but in whom I saw back on Wednesday more Cink than Byrd at this moment in time, and he probably has to get a decent look for The Players. And it was a whimsical treat following the scoreboard today as Brendon De Jonge carried my cash on a ride from 80 to 62.
(2) When I heard the name Pat Perez mentioned, I formed the immediate impression that fits as a ripe possibility for Sawgrass 2014 in just a little bitty one week. I then promptly went and looked at his record at Sawgrass, and saw stuff very representative of the type of numbers I like to see for a player that may have his crowning moment at The Players. The backstory fits, and I'll be a big fan starting Thursday.
(3) GLover is maybe playing with some guts as his putter crushes the life out of nearly every round he plays, early and often, the four putt from five feet the other day was just another ribbon on the package that has been the story of his season. And he's not playing very professional, the way he carves up way too many big numbers that are not all just down to putting and such . . . Not close all season, not going to be close until something turns around his putting, and even really nothing yet suggesting his best stuff, just maybe some guts to my liking.
(4) No question I haven't done enough of any of my three capping keys this season, which are, in order of importance for actually landing those elusive fish: (a) tracking tournament activity in real time on the leaderboards, and getting a feel for dozens of players: (b) watching the telecasts, and the highlights, and the commentary, and catching the backstories and the flashes (to form an opinion on where their game is really at) and the nuggets; and (c) actual hard research, scouring, capping, reading, digging, grinding . . . At least tonight I was interested. The Game's Not Gone.
GL
(1) In capping for this week, I at least had some opinions taking shape in my mind, which is more than I can say for too many weeks this season . . . Taking just one player for starters, on Wednesday I was committed to the idea in my capping that Jonathan Byrd might play well, but he's not ready to step up and win this week, nor is Robert freaking Allenby; a shock winner would be Kevin Streelman or Jason Kokrak. But I concluded I would not be surprised if it turned out Stewart Cink got up there and was then capable when he did, it was just that I didn't have enough slots to play Cink again this week. But Martin Kaymer, finding flashes of his best stuff at Augusta (of all places), and then building on it, seemed a standout as a "Precursor of the Week" (or month) on my radar, with the vexing Anders Hansen also throwing down a marker. My big mistake for the week was deliberately plucking Lee Westwood as my short-priced choice over Justin Rose, but not even coming close to doing my homework, and upon seeing the Rose/Westwood/Mickelson pairing under way after the off, I immediately said I want to take that back, and have Rose over the other two. . . After Angel Cabrera shined on Day 1, I was not happy to then see he was coming off a second place finish, because this week's "Big Boy" venue, like a Wentworth, asking for all the elements of your game in major championship proportions, is certainly right up his street; add that streaky swing in which the timing can be way off or powerfully dialed in, and I took on some additional distress today when I saw El Pato stalking the lead with some of his obvious menace . . . Anyway, I feel like I have three names right in the mix for one of the few times this season, and I'll go on and say I would be shocked if Robert-Jan Derksen didn't play like a quality veteran on Saturday (Sunday will be a whole 'nother matter, regardless of Saturday); Kaymer is playing so well that he should certainly creep up the leaderboard or at least tread water on Saturday, and then relish getting in the mix on Sunday; and it's actually Felipe Aguillar that I have a good feeling about for this weeks danger, although he could also be the one Saturday stinker . . . Well, I rarely talk at all about my plays in-running, but I just served up a pasel of odds and ends under one banner . . . And let's go ahead and mention Geoff Ogilvy, who I played last week for a New Orleans debacle, but in whom I saw back on Wednesday more Cink than Byrd at this moment in time, and he probably has to get a decent look for The Players. And it was a whimsical treat following the scoreboard today as Brendon De Jonge carried my cash on a ride from 80 to 62.
(2) When I heard the name Pat Perez mentioned, I formed the immediate impression that fits as a ripe possibility for Sawgrass 2014 in just a little bitty one week. I then promptly went and looked at his record at Sawgrass, and saw stuff very representative of the type of numbers I like to see for a player that may have his crowning moment at The Players. The backstory fits, and I'll be a big fan starting Thursday.
(3) GLover is maybe playing with some guts as his putter crushes the life out of nearly every round he plays, early and often, the four putt from five feet the other day was just another ribbon on the package that has been the story of his season. And he's not playing very professional, the way he carves up way too many big numbers that are not all just down to putting and such . . . Not close all season, not going to be close until something turns around his putting, and even really nothing yet suggesting his best stuff, just maybe some guts to my liking.
(4) No question I haven't done enough of any of my three capping keys this season, which are, in order of importance for actually landing those elusive fish: (a) tracking tournament activity in real time on the leaderboards, and getting a feel for dozens of players: (b) watching the telecasts, and the highlights, and the commentary, and catching the backstories and the flashes (to form an opinion on where their game is really at) and the nuggets; and (c) actual hard research, scouring, capping, reading, digging, grinding . . . At least tonight I was interested. The Game's Not Gone.
GL
Round 3 plays (4pts):
Stewart Cink to beat Angel Cabrera +100 @ Paddy Power
Cabrera recovered well from a slow start yesterday to regain a share of the lead, but he has only held the 36-hole lead on one previous occasion in the last five years and that was in the 2012 Open de Argentina on the Latinoamerica Tour. So it very easy to oppose him at plus-odds with Cink who has four top-15 finishes in his last six visits here and leads the field in greens in regulation so far this week.
Martin Flores to beat Angel Cabrera +100 @ Paddy Power [also available @ Bet365, Stan James, ToteSport and BetFred]
Also opposing Cabrera in a repeat of the rd3 matchup with better odds than yesterday. Flores has been in good form with four top-20 finishes in his last six starts and has finished ahead of Cabrera in five of six common events this season. With all the focus on Cabrera today, I don't see Flores as the underdog.
Stewart Cink to beat Angel Cabrera +100 @ Paddy Power
Cabrera recovered well from a slow start yesterday to regain a share of the lead, but he has only held the 36-hole lead on one previous occasion in the last five years and that was in the 2012 Open de Argentina on the Latinoamerica Tour. So it very easy to oppose him at plus-odds with Cink who has four top-15 finishes in his last six visits here and leads the field in greens in regulation so far this week.
Martin Flores to beat Angel Cabrera +100 @ Paddy Power [also available @ Bet365, Stan James, ToteSport and BetFred]
Also opposing Cabrera in a repeat of the rd3 matchup with better odds than yesterday. Flores has been in good form with four top-20 finishes in his last six starts and has finished ahead of Cabrera in five of six common events this season. With all the focus on Cabrera today, I don't see Flores as the underdog.
:00x23 :0071 . . . just waking up.
Same venue I experienced a real high on when I capped Nick Dougherty for his first win. My memory of the course from that run by Dougherty in 2005, 2006 and 2007 was the crux of how I built my squad for this week (hell, I almost included Peter Lawrie at 300/1) . . . I like me some Laguna National.
GL
Same venue I experienced a real high on when I capped Nick Dougherty for his first win. My memory of the course from that run by Dougherty in 2005, 2006 and 2007 was the crux of how I built my squad for this week (hell, I almost included Peter Lawrie at 300/1) . . . I like me some Laguna National.
GL
Great call LIA 
Round 4 plays (4pts):
Scott Brown to beat Sang-Moon Bae +100 @ Paddy Power [available generally]
I don't see Brown as the underdog in this matchup. Both are currently level in this tournament, but Brown was 5th last time out at Hilton Head whereas Bae had missed three of his last four cuts prior to this event. When a player ranks 175th in greens in regulation on Tour, it is really difficult tomake the jump from making the cut to being in contention and, once again, Bae is not.
Phil Mickelson to beat Kevin Kisner -201 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Backed Mickelson in his one poor round of the week, but I'm confident of avoiding a repeat today. It has been over five years and 18 events since Mickelson started rd4 in the top-3 and finished the day outside it. For Kisner, this is only the second time that he has been inside the top-5 after 54 holes on the PGA Tour: on the previous occasion (2012 St Jude Classic) he dropped from 4th to 13th when he was paired with Dustin Johnson and Robert Allenby. Being paired with Phil Mickelson will be an even more-daunting affair and I expect him to fall outside the top-10 again.
Kevin Na to beat Brendon De Jonge -110 @ Stan James [available generally]
Opposing De Jonge for whom fatigue could easily be a factor after opening with a 80 to be in last place and then shooting 62-68 in the next two rounds. He did a similar thing in the 2012 Greenbrier Classic when 137th after day 1, he shot 64-68 over the next two days before falling 15 places in rd4 with a 71. I'd much rather back the more consistent Na who has top-15 finishes in three of his last four starts and is on course to record his third top-15 finish in his last four visits to Quail Hollow.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Kaymer tb Thompson M -133; Kaymer tb Byrd -115]
Round 4 plays (4pts):
Scott Brown to beat Sang-Moon Bae +100 @ Paddy Power [available generally]
I don't see Brown as the underdog in this matchup. Both are currently level in this tournament, but Brown was 5th last time out at Hilton Head whereas Bae had missed three of his last four cuts prior to this event. When a player ranks 175th in greens in regulation on Tour, it is really difficult tomake the jump from making the cut to being in contention and, once again, Bae is not.
Phil Mickelson to beat Kevin Kisner -201 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Backed Mickelson in his one poor round of the week, but I'm confident of avoiding a repeat today. It has been over five years and 18 events since Mickelson started rd4 in the top-3 and finished the day outside it. For Kisner, this is only the second time that he has been inside the top-5 after 54 holes on the PGA Tour: on the previous occasion (2012 St Jude Classic) he dropped from 4th to 13th when he was paired with Dustin Johnson and Robert Allenby. Being paired with Phil Mickelson will be an even more-daunting affair and I expect him to fall outside the top-10 again.
Kevin Na to beat Brendon De Jonge -110 @ Stan James [available generally]
Opposing De Jonge for whom fatigue could easily be a factor after opening with a 80 to be in last place and then shooting 62-68 in the next two rounds. He did a similar thing in the 2012 Greenbrier Classic when 137th after day 1, he shot 64-68 over the next two days before falling 15 places in rd4 with a 71. I'd much rather back the more consistent Na who has top-15 finishes in three of his last four starts and is on course to record his third top-15 finish in his last four visits to Quail Hollow.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Kaymer tb Thompson M -133; Kaymer tb Byrd -115]
