Western Open

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Jim Furyk to win 14/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
It really was a cruel way for Furyk to be denied at least a playoff for last week's title as he had controlled the event for so long and that should shift the focus on to his ability to bounce back from such a circumstance. He finished 2nd in the MCI Heritage in April, but then finished 2nd in his next event, the Wachovia Championship. That was a playoff loss to Vijay Singh so it was an impressive bounce-back and in his next event he shot every round in the 60s to finish in the top-20 in the Byron Nelson Championship. Following his previous playoff loss (2003 Ford Championship to Scott Hoch), he bounced back with a top-5 finish the following week, so there is no real concern that he will crumble this week as a result of last week's title loss. And having finished in the top-7 in five of his last six visits to Cog Hill and the State of Illinois being the location of his 2003 U.S. Open win, there is plenty to suggest that he will again be in the thick of the action on Sunday evening.

Jerry Kelly to finish in the top-five 16.5/1 @ Centrebet and IASbet
That has been a regular feature in this event for Jerry Kelly in recent years. He finished 5th, 1st and 3rd from 2001 to 2003 and while his recent form has been poor, a look back at history for Kelly is also suggestive of a good week. In 2003, he came into the event off two missed cuts; in 2002, he also came into the event off two missed cuts; and in 2001, while he has finished 7th the previous week, his previous four finishes included three missed cuts and a 56th place finish. Being in form has never been a prerequisite for Kelly playing well on this course and so is not really a concern this week. The Wisconsin player looks set for his best performance of 2005 when he tees it up in his neighbouring State.
 

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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OUTRIGHTS:

Brett Quigley(200/1) e.w. @ GolfingGods
Geoff Ogilvy(66/1) e.w. @ Bet365
Joe Durant(125/1) e.w. @ GolfingGods
Mark Hensby(40/1) e.w. @ GolfingGods
Steve Stricker(300/1) e.w. @ 5dimes
Steve Flesch(150/1) e.w. @ GolfingGods
Mike Small(500/1) e.w. @ GolfingGods

GL
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Jul 13, 1999
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a few 72 holes
@ Acumen
Kelly -110 over Z Johnson
Donald -125 over Appleby
Verplank -110 over Choi
@WTTS
Choi -110 over Ogilvy
@ Boyles
Choi -110 over Campbell
Verplank -110 over Hensby
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Jul 7, 2002
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Benbrook
Western Open Plays

Western Open Plays

Have really sucked the last Month.

Scott Verplank WINS WESTERN OPE+30.00

Tiger Woods OV/Vijay Singh-1.60
Billy Mayfair OV/Bob Estes-1.35
Tim Herron OV/Kirk Triplett-1.15

Good luck and have a safe July 4th.
 

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
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Mar 9, 2000
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I think I am a few minutes late, but I want to post my picks.....

I usually dont post because I am very superstitious, but I have had a bad roll lately, so here we go

Allenby Top 5 at 12-1
Jerry Kelly Top 5 at 12-1
Stricker Top 5 at 60-1
Triplett Top 5 at 16-1

Appleby to win at 40-1
Verplank to win at 30-1
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Quite true Steve--also each have had only 1 top 10 since their major victory.

4th rd
Verplank -105 over Byrd (-1-2) @ WW or HW

Lots of interesting props at these books also.Needless to say these 2 have become my fav books--Will slow down a bit on plays for 2nd half of season--trying for 65% at 500 +posted plays on season and already had bout 450 plays in 1st half.So far managed only one bad week (4-11) Zurich Classic 1st half the next worse was Booze Allen (7-9)
 

lowell

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Jul 6, 2003
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Stanley said:
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Jim Furyk to win 14/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
It really was a cruel way for Furyk to be denied at least a playoff for last week's title as he had controlled the event for so long and that should shift the focus on to his ability to bounce back from such a circumstance. He finished 2nd in the MCI Heritage in April, but then finished 2nd in his next event, the Wachovia Championship. That was a playoff loss to Vijay Singh so it was an impressive bounce-back and in his next event he shot every round in the 60s to finish in the top-20 in the Byron Nelson Championship. Following his previous playoff loss (2003 Ford Championship to Scott Hoch), he bounced back with a top-5 finish the following week, so there is no real concern that he will crumble this week as a result of last week's title loss. And having finished in the top-7 in five of his last six visits to Cog Hill and the State of Illinois being the location of his 2003 U.S. Open win, there is plenty to suggest that he will again be in the thick of the action on Sunday evening.

Jerry Kelly to finish in the top-five 16.5/1 @ Centrebet and IASbet
That has been a regular feature in this event for Jerry Kelly in recent years. He finished 5th, 1st and 3rd from 2001 to 2003 and while his recent form has been poor, a look back at history for Kelly is also suggestive of a good week. In 2003, he came into the event off two missed cuts; in 2002, he also came into the event off two missed cuts; and in 2001, while he has finished 7th the previous week, his previous four finishes included three missed cuts and a 56th place finish. Being in form has never been a prerequisite for Kelly playing well on this course and so is not really a concern this week. The Wisconsin player looks set for his best performance of 2005 when he tees it up in his neighbouring State.
great call on furyk. played it for a very nice pop. thanks again for the pick. i appreciate it. that along with tiger over vj today was a great combo. look forward to you british open picks
 

Anders

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Dec 17, 2000
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Same, nice work Stanley, much appreciated, money for nothing, am off to get my chicks for free now... :)
Oh god, I hate that song so much.... :) :)
 

Stanley

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Cheers guys :D

FINAL RESULT: 1-1; +11.63pts

Furyk 1st
Kelly 21st

Very impressive performance by Furyk. He did wobble a bit at the end, but it had otherwise been back to his old best in fending off a charging Tiger Woods.

PGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 12-64; +51.21pts
Matchups: 16-15; +3.41pts

All Tours ytd
Outrights: 60-246; +142.92pts
Matchups: 90-62; +88.35pts
 
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