Last year saw alot of games that fit this mold - and if memory serves me the previous couple years were similar to the results below:
2005
Half/Final
Ore 13/13
USC 10/45
ASU 21/28
USC 7/38
AZ 7/21
USC 14/42
ND 21/31
USC 14/34
Fres 21/42
USC 13/50
UT 16/41
USC 10/38
2006 the trend continues:
Ark 7/14
USC 16/50
Was this it? I didnt post ALL the games, just the ones that fit this mold. Since then, the Arizona game fit this mold to a T. Nebraska did not. SC covered by a half a point in the first half and then despite Neb running into the line every time and not really going for the win, SC almost covered the 2nd half but downed the ball on the Neb 1 yard line at the end of the game:
Neb 3/10
USC 14/28
USC 3/20
AZ 0/3
So far this year, 2 of the 3 games fit the mold and that Nebraska game missed both halves by the smallest margins - half a point in the first half for a Neb cover, 1 yard in the 2nd half for a SC cover.