I thought I was smarter than everyone and took G-Tech @ 20-1. I thought this team would explode when Elders got back and be a potential final four team. Hell, they made it last year and I sorta sensed them finishing the season hot and ready for the tourney. Guess I was dead wrong. You can get G-Tech now 40-1 I think. Might not even make it in the tourney. :cursin:
I was gonna put $200 on Louisville at 32-1 odds but decided to take G-Tech instead. Bad decision.
I think Illinois and UNC are in a class all by themeselves. Either one should win it and hopefully both meet in the finals.
I don't quite understand people doubting Illinois because they play in the Big 10. I think Illinois has beaten 6 top 30 ranked teams and 2 top 10 ranked teams. In CFB, don't people doubt USC every year because they play in the "supposedly" weak Pac 10? Those same people have been proven wrong every single year.
Ok lets say Illinois has had it easy. You can make a positive out of that and say Illinois will be a fresh team come March because they have not had too many close games.
Right now this is what I would do. Something similar to this.
Big 2 (N. Carolina & Illinois) to win it all +124 (pinny)
$1000 to win $1240
$100 to win $1,295 Kansas
$150 to win $1,299 WF
$100 to win $1,621 Duke
$50 to win $1,523 Syracuse
$50 to win $1,098 Arizona
UNC or Illinois win it +$790 profit
Other bets offset any major losses. Most you can lose (if none of these teams win it all) is $1450 or if you cut all bets in half most you can lose is $725. You make profit if UNC, Illinois, Duke or Syracuse win it. You get 7 teams to play with. Make it an exciting March Madness! The goal is for UNC or Illinois to win it all. I think MOST would agree they are the 2 heavy favorites. But you can tweak it any which way you want. More profits on UNC/Illinois or less profit on them.
I only took these lines from Pinny, but I am sure you can increase your profit or limit your loss if you shop around. I already got my thing working for me so I just used this as en example someone could do. I find doing this very profitable with lowering your risk. You got to like your chances that ONE of these 7 teams win it all. You also hve "chance" to hedge, middle, or cut your losses later in tourney.