Why are oddsmakers.......
- Thread starter rrc
- Start date
I was about to post the same question. I really expected the adjusted series price to be around -180 or so for Colorado. As far as game 2 I expected Colorado to be about -140 or so on the moneyline. Do the oddsmakers feel game one's loss had a lot to do with St. Louis having 9 days off? Maybe they got burned in these prior series bets where the line may have been adjusted too much when a team was up 1-0 or 2-0. Any thoughts or comments would be appreciated.
I posted the same question on ibettor board an hour ago, I am thinking Rado is the no brainer tonight.
glta
glta
I liked Colorado in game one and before this series started I liked Colorado in 5..
But based on this line tonight, beyond a shadow of a doubt the team to go with is the St. Louis Blues.
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dawger
But based on this line tonight, beyond a shadow of a doubt the team to go with is the St. Louis Blues.
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dawger
In the past I wouldv'e taken Colorado right away. However after getting burned on lines that look too good to be true, this is one I guess I will stay away from. I think the Blues have a good chance to win, but at -120 on the moneyline, I will pass. I agree based on the lines I would say take the Blues, but for me it will be a pass. Maybe I will just take under 5 goals or hope the line moves more to STL even $ by gametime.
crazy horse you have confused me, you post that you don't understand why colorado is not favored in this game tonight, meaning there must some value in taking them, then you post that based on the lines, st l is the team to take, what up!
Heres what I'm considering...
Bet the series at -140 (I truely think Avs will win)
If the Lines makers are setting second game in Colorado at Even for Avs when the series moves to St. Louis for games 3 and 4 can we expect the Avs at +120 or higher? Possibly so...
So, 1 unit on series Avs -140
And 1 unit on each game played Aves at $ line
Should be profitable
Good Luck!
Bet the series at -140 (I truely think Avs will win)
If the Lines makers are setting second game in Colorado at Even for Avs when the series moves to St. Louis for games 3 and 4 can we expect the Avs at +120 or higher? Possibly so...
So, 1 unit on series Avs -140
And 1 unit on each game played Aves at $ line
Should be profitable
Good Luck!
Sorry if I sound confusing. I am even starting to confuse myself. I guess what I meant is any time I see a line that looks too good to be true, it usually is. Tonight I think Colorado at even $ on the moneyline is incorrect. I posted I thought they should be around -140 on the moneyline for game 2. In the past I wouldv'e taken Colorado just based on the friendly line. I like STL to win this game but just feel as far as value goes, I don't think they should be favored. For that reason I agree there is definite value with Colorado. But I am sticking to my guns and taking STL. I just don't like 120/100, I figured it would be 100/100
If you look at the post by dawger it says "based on this line tonight that STL is the way to go." I cannot speak for dawger but I am guessing he means based on STL being favored(when most feel they shouldn't) that maybe vegas knows something and is trying to sucker everyone into taking COL. Maybe that's not what dawger meant. I just know there have been lines like this in the past where a team I felt shouldv'e been favored ended up even $, or even plus money. Then if I took that team, I lost. I am not, by any means, implying that this line is a vegas trap or anything like that.
If you look at the post by dawger it says "based on this line tonight that STL is the way to go." I cannot speak for dawger but I am guessing he means based on STL being favored(when most feel they shouldn't) that maybe vegas knows something and is trying to sucker everyone into taking COL. Maybe that's not what dawger meant. I just know there have been lines like this in the past where a team I felt shouldv'e been favored ended up even $, or even plus money. Then if I took that team, I lost. I am not, by any means, implying that this line is a vegas trap or anything like that.
Oh this line is the biggest joke I've seen in awhile.
St. Louis got there clocked clean & people know they won't show up and play another ugly game like that.
Meanwhile some people in Vegas I know think the Avs played over there head without Forseberg & expect the Avs to hit the wall.
The thing is they don't know the Avs well & have made one of the worst lines I've seen.
Other then the Devils, who has a deeper team then Colorado.
With or without Forseberg, I think the Blues are clearly outmatched & this is the reason why I see them getting swept or at worst getting bounced in 5.
Honestly I see Colorado winning by 2 or more goals and was hoping to get another sucker line like Colorado -1.5 +270 or something.
St. Louis got there clocked clean & people know they won't show up and play another ugly game like that.
Meanwhile some people in Vegas I know think the Avs played over there head without Forseberg & expect the Avs to hit the wall.
The thing is they don't know the Avs well & have made one of the worst lines I've seen.
Other then the Devils, who has a deeper team then Colorado.
With or without Forseberg, I think the Blues are clearly outmatched & this is the reason why I see them getting swept or at worst getting bounced in 5.
Honestly I see Colorado winning by 2 or more goals and was hoping to get another sucker line like Colorado -1.5 +270 or something.
thanks for the clarification CH
good luck if you took st louis, I ended up taking the under in the game, it is 1-1 in the second so it could go either way at this point.
glta
good luck if you took st louis, I ended up taking the under in the game, it is 1-1 in the second so it could go either way at this point.
glta
Looks like I was wrong here, from what I've seen Vegas had to have taken a big hit on this game?
My only explanation for this is hockey is not heavily bet as the other sports.
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dawger
My only explanation for this is hockey is not heavily bet as the other sports.
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dawger
