Why aren't you winning more? check this out

[Allwrong]

Aside from capping games individually it's always a good idea to look at how the books are operating.

I've noticed a couple things this year:
Many cappers that have done well in the past are struggling, and something seems different about the lines we're getting to play.

Here is an interesting bit of info comparing lines from last year with what line have been offered so far this year.

THIS IS A RECORD OF GAMES WITH A LINE OVER -200.
REMEBER FOR EACH HUGE FAVOURITE THER IS A HUGE DOG TO PLAY.
ALSO REMEMBER THAT THE SAVVY DOG PLAYER HAS FREQUENTLY BEEN THE ONE WHO SHOWS MORE UNITS IN PROFIT..... AT LEAST IN THE PAST.

LINES OVER -200

Detroit
2002/03 6/16 37%
2001/02 40/80 50%

TOR
2002/03 1/17 6%
2001/02 22/80 27%

LA
2002/03 0/17 0%
2001/02 14/80 17%

EDM
2002/03 0/17 0%
2001/02 22/80 27%

NYR
2002/03 0/19 0%
2001/02 11/80 14%

VAN
2002/03 0/17 0%
2001/02 10/80 12%

NJ
2002/03 0/14 0%
2001/02 27/80 34%

MON
2002/03 0/16 0%
2001/02 8/80 10%

For this sample:

2002/03 7/133 5% !!!
2001/02 154/640 24%

THERE MAY BE MINOR ERRORS IN MY DATA AS THIS IS A QUICK SURVEY. IT IS INCOMPLETE BUT IT SHOWS A TREND WORTH NOTICING

WHAT THIS MEANS

1. It will be much tougher to make a substantial profit as a dog player as the value isn't as great.

2. Balancing your card with favs at better value than last year may be a good tactic.

3. No need to take huge favourites as there are better value available.

Your thoughts are welcome.

 

[THE WIZZARD]

WELL SAID........THEIR AREN'T ANY DOMINATE TEAMS THIS YEAR, LIKE DETROIT WAS LAST YEAR OR EVEN COLORDO.

TEAMS R SO CLOSE IN TALENT THIS YR, COMPARED TO LAST.
JUST HAVE TO PICK YOUR SPOTS.

LAST YR I WON 20 OUT OF 21 IN ONE STRETCH........THIS YR I THINK MY BIGGEST STREACH IS 4 IN A ROW..... LOL... EVEN ATLANTA IS GETTING LOTS BETTER. TALENT IS REALLY GETTING EQUAL, ESPECIALLY WHEN A BAD TEAM PLAYS AT HOME.


GOOD LUCK THE REST OF YR TO THE BOARD.

WIZZ.