wichita st v. drake

[nighthorse]

Here's what I posted on Sunday, January 6:

They're going to be a very hard team to figure for some time to come. They're too dependent on freshmen to make a good read on them. But you might try this:

Young, talented teams tend to exagerate the home/road differential.

Look to see if they can win ATS v. ISU. If not, I'd consider the fade on the road (on a game by game basis) for the rest of the year.

At the same time, if you can get a small line at home (fav or dog), that should be looked at as a buy opportunity.

Loss ATS at ISU and an upset victory vs. SIU at home. The pattern holds.

WSU -7 isn't exactly a small line, but I think there is still value here. Drake has not fared well on the road this year and not in Wichita recently. From what I've read in paper and heard on the radio, I don't expect any kind of a letdown. Drake doesn't have the kind of guard play that can cause turnover problems, which is usually the downfall of the Shockers.

Good luck with whatever you play.