WiLd NfL pIcKs

WildBillPicks7

WildBillPicks7

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First post in some time!! Moved 5 times in one year, job purposes, glad to be fine-nelly settled in one spot for a bit!! In the arm pit of America!! UGH!!

Here's my first picks in quite some time and first for 2023!

Jax -6 - Pederson has instilled something in Lawrence and Jags have been hot past few weeks, +24 point differential

Miami -3 - Dolphins with a TD edge here, Jets QB situation is horrible, I'd take Bridgewater over any of the Jets QBs

Houston +2 1/2 - Lovie has turned this team into competitors and have an edge, Saturday's last hurrah as Payton will probably be the new HC in 2023-24, if not a former college HC

TB +4 1/2 - Bucs as a dog in this series? Doesn't happen often, Bowles won't sit everyone and Falcons QB situation sucks, who do they use? Ridder isn't ready for the spotlight yet

Minn -5 1/2 - Vikings have a shot at #1 seed? Really? Fields out for Bears, Bears BU is Peterman? I'll take Jefferson to have a big day here!!

LAR +6 - Baker is playing for 2023-24, Seattle has hit a road block, can't do crap on Offense, I have Rams winning by a FG

NYG +14 1/2 - Eagles as a DD fav? I ain't touching that, they need to win to solidify #1 seed, and Giants are in the Post-Season but revenge could be bitter sweet here. Eagles are not going to risk injuries, I see this as a pick'em game and Giants last 4 weeks playing much better with Barkley running the ball!! Philly 27 NYG 20!!

Chargers +3 - Chargers opened as a small fav, they may not play their QB? Who cares??? Russell and the Broncos have sucked all year and are in the running for a high NFL Draft pick, Chargers win SU!!

Dalllas -7 - Dallas "D" could get opportunities again vs the Condoms, errrr, Commanders!! Dak and Boys by 11

GB -4 1/2 - Lions have been hot, then hit a road block and I have Rodgers getting revenge and into the post-season if all those crazy scenarios fulfill out to a backdoor plan. Packers by 7.


All plays 1 unit unless otherwise noted!!
 
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RBD

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Based on my experiences, Jersey is the armpit, Cal is the anus. (Both have some really nice areas, but overall... no thanks.)

Good luck with your play today.
 
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WildBillPicks7

WildBillPicks7

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5-4-1, took the push on the Chargers although they covered the late line of +6 or +6 1/2, +.60 on the weekend!!

I'll take it!!

RBD, yes Jersey can be considered an armpit, LOL, and Cali an anus, but man both have some HOTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT WOMEN!!! ;)
 
WildBillPicks7

WildBillPicks7

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Saturday 1/21 & Sunday 1/22

Jags +8 1/2
Under 53 1/2 KC/TB

Giants +7 1/2
Under 48 1/2 NYG/Phil

Cincy +5
Under 48 Cincy/Buf

SF -3
Under 46 Dal/SF


7-6-1, +.40 units ytd
 
WildBillPicks7

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CHAMPIONSHIP SUNDAY 1/29/23

Eagles -2 1/2

Over 45 1/2

Cincy +2

Over 47 1/2 Cin/KC

7 pt: Eagles +4 1/2, Cincy +9, Over 38 1/2 SF/Phi, Over 40 1/2 Cin/KC (1 unit)

14-7-1, +6.3 units as of 1/1/23
 
WildBillPicks7

WildBillPicks7

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WildBillPicks7 said:
1-4, -3.3 sides/totals

15-10-1, +3.0 units as of 1/1/23


Super Bowl:

Eagles -2 1/2

GLE!!
Click to expand...

I'm a homer on this one, I'm a huge Eagles fan, have been since 1970, main reasons I took them with the opening number at -2 1/2 is they are 0-3 vs Andy Reid teams, each year the Eagles lost to Andy Reid, the Eagles didn't even get past a wildcard game in the post-season or even made the post-season.

When any team from any conference has as many rushing touchdowns coupled with an offense of receivers who can be game changers, IE, Brown & Smith for the Eagles are space eaters with very deceptive speed, something the Chiefs had problems with this season, yes, this is for all the marbles, KC has turned the ball over 12 more times than the Eagles, and the Eagles make mistakes into points. This is the best overall defense KC has faced all season and this could be a track meet as well.

The difference maker here is Hurts' ability to play run action pass and he's tenacious at picking his spots to run up the middle or roll out and hit Brown in the corners of the field, Gainwell is a factor as well and watch Scott on returns, he's a difference maker too.

I have the Eagles winning 31-28, so OVER is a play as well!! The under has been the pick in the past few Super Bowls, but the offenses previous to this game, were horseshit imo, and the Eagles are capable of putting up a few points in Tempe!! The past 3 KC games went under in and the last 4 Eagles games have gone Under!! Does that trend continue? I don't see either team shutting each other down too much!!

Both teams average 28 ppg on offense, KC allowed 21 ppg and Philly allowed 18 ppg, Vegas set a line at 51 and this line should be 48 1/2 at open, so obviously they want under bettors to bet the line down, but it's not gone down much at all.

KC averaged 33 ppg away and allowed 24 ppg, Philly scored 29 ppg and allowed 22 ppg. 57 + 51 = 108 divide by 2, = 54 ppg line should have been opened at.

GL on whatever y'all play!!


FLY EAGLES FLY!!

Eagles -1 1/2 (5 units)

I see many lines at -1 1/2 still, so play accordingly!!
 
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rocky mountain

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WildBillPicks7 said:
I'm a homer on this one, I'm a huge Eagles fan, have been since 1970, main reasons I took them with the opening number at -2 1/2 is they are 0-3 vs Andy Reid teams, each year the Eagles lost to Andy Reid, the Eagles didn't even get past a wildcard game in the post-season or even made the post-season.

When any team from any conference has as many rushing touchdowns coupled with an offense of receivers who can be game changers, IE, Brown & Smith for the Eagles are space eaters with very deceptive speed, something the Chiefs had problems with this season, yes, this is for all the marbles, KC has turned the ball over 12 more times than the Eagles, and the Eagles make mistakes into points. This is the best overall defense KC has faced all season and this could be a track meet as well.

The difference maker here is Hurts' ability to play run action pass and he's tenacious at picking his spots to run up the middle or roll out and hit Brown in the corners of the field, Gainwell is a factor as well and watch Scott on returns, he's a difference maker too.

I have the Eagles winning 31-28, so OVER is a play as well!! The under has been the pick in the past few Super Bowls, but the offenses previous to this game, were horseshit imo, and the Eagles are capable of putting up a few points in Tempe!! The past 3 KC games went under in and the last 4 Eagles games have gone Under!! Does that trend continue? I don't see either team shutting each other down too much!!

Both teams average 28 ppg on offense, KC allowed 21 ppg and Philly allowed 18 ppg, Vegas set a line at 51 and this line should be 48 1/2 at open, so obviously they want under bettors to bet the line down, but it's not gone down much at all.

KC averaged 33 ppg away and allowed 24 ppg, Philly scored 29 ppg and allowed 22 ppg. 57 + 51 = 108 divide by 2, = 54 ppg line should have been opened at.

GL on whatever y'all play!!


FLY EAGLES FLY!!

Eagles -1 1/2 (5 units)

I see many lines at -1 1/2 still, so play accordingly!!
Click to expand...

25 hours Wild Will, week has dragged for me, can't wait for this battle. Been thinking about some prop bets all week, it's hard with our Iggles cause they spread the ball around. I have a few leans , what are your favorites? Do think Jalen will ball out , and not worry about the shoulder, cleared for take off?
 
WildBillPicks7

WildBillPicks7

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rocky mountain said:
25 hours Wild Will, week has dragged for me, can't wait for this battle. Been thinking about some prop bets all week, it's hard with our Iggles cause they spread the ball around. I have a few leans , what are your favorites? Do think Jalen will ball out , and not worry about the shoulder, cleared for take off?
Click to expand...

Edge factor is Sanders running the ball along with Gainwell and set up Hurts for RPO. I like the Temple flash to crush Mahomes on any roll out. Reddick is a huge factor!!!!
 
WildBillPicks7

WildBillPicks7

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Plays today:

Eagles -2 1/2 (1 unit) played 1/30/23

Eagles -1 1/2 (5 units) played 2/11/23

Over 50 (1 unit)

PROPS:

Hurts over 48 1/2 yards rushing (1 unit)

Will there be a score in first 5 1/2 minutes YES @ +150 (1 unit)
 
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