Wisconsin ML vs. North Carolina

[Mags]

Favorite play of the day (and my homer team, but still).....

UW a short dog, catching 1.5 points. Based on analytics, the most "underseeded" team in the tourney - their expected S-curve was 22 (a #6 seed) but was placed at 35 (a #9 seed)......

Yes, UW lost 4 of their last 5 games, all by 5 points or less....but the B10 was the best conference in the land this year (and last year for that matter). All 5 losses were to teams that were seeded 4 or higher in the tourney. They have been competitive - but man, what a tough last 10 games they played: 3 games against #1 seeds (Michigan, Illinois x2), 3 games against #2 seeds (Iowa x3), and 1 game against a #4 seed (Purdue). Toughest closing schedule in the country, with 6 of their last 10 games against #1 or #2 seeds!

They match up well against NC - WI will be able to rebound with them, with bigs of Potter, Reuvers and Tyler Wahl (a great rebounder for his size). At least well enough to win.

I think WI will be excited to get out of the BIG10 grind - and finally play a team that is not one of the top 5 or 6 teams in the country.....UW is the 10th ranked team overall by KenPom, and #13 by Sagarin. In comparison, NC is #28 in KenPom and #20 by Sagarin. Huge edge in quality of competition for UW, versus what NC has faced to date.

UW wins by 5........

 

[lowell]

You almost had me getting on board w the Badgers until I checked their schedule. Yes they did play a very difficult late season stretch of Big 10 teams.... but they didn?t beat any of the good teams the whole year. Looks like all of their wins were against Rutgers, Mich State, Penn St, Md, IU and Nebraska. UNC 4 bigs average 25 boards a game. Don?t think your 3 bigs can match them. Badgers will win if they can control the pace and if refs call the game tight. UNC is a poor FT shooting team.
I hope it is a very close game as I have both teams in teasers only.
Good luck today.

 

[Mags]

You almost had me getting on board w the Badgers until I checked their schedule. Yes they did play a very difficult late season stretch of Big 10 teams.... but they didn?t beat any of the good teams the whole year. Looks like all of their wins were against Rutgers, Mich State, Penn St, Md, IU and Nebraska. UNC 4 bigs average 25 boards a game. Don?t think your 3 bigs can match them. Badgers will win if they can control the pace and if refs call the game tight. UNC is a poor FT shooting team.
I hope it is a very close game as I have both teams in teasers only.
Good luck today.

Thanks Lowell... good luck to you... FWIW, UW also blew out Loyola in their non-conference slate... some folks consider them to also be a good team... we will see!

 

[ldabdou]

I?m on this. GL

 

[Mags]

Hopefully some of you read this and made some $$$$$$.....

Huge class difference between UW and the Big10 and NC and the ACC. Badgers were itching to play someone that wasn?t a top 5 team in the country..... UW out shot, out cosched (Williams is so overrated) and even out rebounded the supposed best rebounding team in the country....

Congrats to those thst followed this easy winner!

 

[Keith 1]

Hopefully some of you read this and made some $$$$$$.....

Huge class difference between UW and the Big10 and NC and the ACC. Badgers were itching to play someone that wasn?t a top 5 team in the country..... UW out shot, out cosched (Williams is so overrated) and even out rebounded the supposed best rebounding team in the country....

Congrats to those thst followed this easy winner!

I tailed. Thanks

 

[Mags]

I tailed. Thanks

Thank you!