WM Phoenix Open
- Thread starter cole
- Start date
I'm sure they will still wager on this.
I'm sure they will still wager on this.
http://www.cbssports.com/golf/eye-on-golf/24422705/caddie-races-banned-at-phoenix-open
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s9OuuWaEcyc
I'm sure they will still wager on this.
http://www.cbssports.com/golf/eye-on-golf/24422705/caddie-races-banned-at-phoenix-open
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s9OuuWaEcyc
100.00 130.00 [7011] M EVERY +130 (M EVERY vrs G DELAET)
101.00 100.00 [7042] L GUTHRIE -101 (J LEONARD vrs L GUTHRIE)
99.00 138.60 [7025] S PIERCY +140 (S PIERCY vrs B DE JONGE)
101.00 100.00 [7042] L GUTHRIE -101 (J LEONARD vrs L GUTHRIE)
99.00 138.60 [7025] S PIERCY +140 (S PIERCY vrs B DE JONGE)
Outrights
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX KEEGAN BRADLEY +2250
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX BRANDT SNEDEKER +3260
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX RYAN MOORE +2555
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX GRAHAM DELAET +3110
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX CHRIS KIRK +4280
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX BRENDON DE JONGE +4580
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX KEEGAN BRADLEY +2250
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX BRANDT SNEDEKER +3260
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX RYAN MOORE +2555
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX GRAHAM DELAET +3110
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX CHRIS KIRK +4280
ODDS TO WIN WASTE MANAGEMENT PHOENIX BRENDON DE JONGE +4580
Round 1 plays (4pts):
Angel Cabrera to beat Y.E. Yang +100 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Carib]
Cabrera is making his first start of 2014, but he has played well on this course previously - he was 5th at the cut last year - and should do enough to beat a struggling Yang, who hasn't finished in the top-25 on the PGA Tour since the Honda Classic, in the first week of May last year.
Justin Leonard to beat Luke Guthrie +100 @ 5Dimes
Two players in decent form in 2014 - Guthrie has finished 18th and 23rd in his two starts; Leonard has finished 32nd, 3rd and 28th in his three starts - so it course form that gives Leonard the edge: whereas Guthrie missed the cut here on his debut last year, Leonard has four top-10 finishes, including two runners-up spots. And with Leonard finishing ahead of Guthrie in 7 of their last 10 common events, there is enough here to point to value at these odds.
Angel Cabrera to beat Y.E. Yang +100 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Carib]
Cabrera is making his first start of 2014, but he has played well on this course previously - he was 5th at the cut last year - and should do enough to beat a struggling Yang, who hasn't finished in the top-25 on the PGA Tour since the Honda Classic, in the first week of May last year.
Justin Leonard to beat Luke Guthrie +100 @ 5Dimes
Two players in decent form in 2014 - Guthrie has finished 18th and 23rd in his two starts; Leonard has finished 32nd, 3rd and 28th in his three starts - so it course form that gives Leonard the edge: whereas Guthrie missed the cut here on his debut last year, Leonard has four top-10 finishes, including two runners-up spots. And with Leonard finishing ahead of Guthrie in 7 of their last 10 common events, there is enough here to point to value at these odds.
Outrights:
My "something other than blockbuster" = Waste Management lineup:
Gary Woodland(33/1) e.w.
Nicolas Colsaerts(80/1) e.w.
Rory Sabbatini(100/1) e.w.
J.B. Holmes(90/1) e.w.
Luke Guthrie(80/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(400/1) e.w.
Kevin Tway(640/1) e.w.
Charles Howell(50/1) e.w.
James Hahn(200/1) e.w.
GL
My "something other than blockbuster" = Waste Management lineup:
Gary Woodland(33/1) e.w.
Nicolas Colsaerts(80/1) e.w.
Rory Sabbatini(100/1) e.w.
J.B. Holmes(90/1) e.w.
Luke Guthrie(80/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(400/1) e.w.
Kevin Tway(640/1) e.w.
Charles Howell(50/1) e.w.
James Hahn(200/1) e.w.
GL
Moore -105 over Mickelson round 1
Guthrie -130 over Leonard round 1
Steele -110 over Reed round 1
Steele +8000 to win
De Jonge +6000 1st round leader
Guthrie -130 over Leonard round 1
Steele -110 over Reed round 1
Steele +8000 to win
De Jonge +6000 1st round leader
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Round 2 plays (4pts):
Graham DeLaet to beat Matt Jones -110 @ Stan James
Jones may be 3rd after the opening round, but he may struggle to stay there - his best finish on this course is 40th in four attempts. DeLaet's course form is also poor, but he is in much better form at the moment, finishing in the top-10 in each of his last four events. He is only two shots behind Jones, so can certainly extend his current run of finishing ahead of his opponent in five of his last six common events.
Hideki Matsuyama to beat Chris Kirk +110 @ Bet365
Two more players near the top of the leaderboard after day 1. For Kirk, this is the 13th time that he has been inside the top-10 after round 1, but in those previous occasions only once did he not finish the 2nd round further behind the leader than at the start of the day. That includes both his previous starts in 2014 when he shot 75 in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions to fall from no shots behind the leader to eight shots and 69 in the Sony Open in Hawaii to fall from one shot behind the leader to three shots. Matsuyama has a proven track record when in contention whereas Kirk is less so.
Graham DeLaet to beat Matt Jones -110 @ Stan James
Jones may be 3rd after the opening round, but he may struggle to stay there - his best finish on this course is 40th in four attempts. DeLaet's course form is also poor, but he is in much better form at the moment, finishing in the top-10 in each of his last four events. He is only two shots behind Jones, so can certainly extend his current run of finishing ahead of his opponent in five of his last six common events.
Hideki Matsuyama to beat Chris Kirk +110 @ Bet365
Two more players near the top of the leaderboard after day 1. For Kirk, this is the 13th time that he has been inside the top-10 after round 1, but in those previous occasions only once did he not finish the 2nd round further behind the leader than at the start of the day. That includes both his previous starts in 2014 when he shot 75 in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions to fall from no shots behind the leader to eight shots and 69 in the Sony Open in Hawaii to fall from one shot behind the leader to three shots. Matsuyama has a proven track record when in contention whereas Kirk is less so.
2nd round available generally:
Cabrera +140 over Yang
using Stanley's ideas from yesterday and trying again especially with the good price
Cabrera +140 over Yang
using Stanley's ideas from yesterday and trying again especially with the good price
Y.E. Yang (3rd Rnd) -125
over
Jhonattan Vegas (3rd Rnd)
Webb Simpson (3rd Rnd) -145
over
Ryan Palmer (3rd Rnd)
over
Jhonattan Vegas (3rd Rnd)
Webb Simpson (3rd Rnd) -145
over
Ryan Palmer (3rd Rnd)
Round 3 plays (4pts):
Bill Haas to beat Chris Stroud -150 @ 5Dimes
I like Haas in this position - 15th and seven shots off the lead. There is no pressure, but he still in contention at the start of Moving Day. With a good record on this course 6th last year, 19th the year before and 3rd at the start of final year before that, I expect him to move up the leaderboard today. That should be more problemmatic for Stroud whose ball-striking has been poor so far, ranking 80th in driving distance, 68th in driving accuracy and 73rd in greens in regulation over the first two days.
Bill Haas to beat Nick Watney -138 @ Bet365
Backing him against Watney as well who been struggling for form, which is reflected in a 10-4-1 h2h record in favour of Haas over their last 15 common events.
Hideki Matsuyama to beat Pat Perez -125 @ 5Dimes [also available @ ToteSport and BetFred]
PP has carried over his good form from last week, but it took his runners-up position to earn him his first 'h2h victory' against Matsuyama in over a year. Both are now in the top-5 and I'll back a player in the top-25 in the World Rankings and over 100 places higher than his opponent as the more likely to stay there over the weekend.
[unofficial rd3 system plays: DeLaet tb Woodland -130; Mickelson tb Kirk -135]
Bill Haas to beat Chris Stroud -150 @ 5Dimes
I like Haas in this position - 15th and seven shots off the lead. There is no pressure, but he still in contention at the start of Moving Day. With a good record on this course 6th last year, 19th the year before and 3rd at the start of final year before that, I expect him to move up the leaderboard today. That should be more problemmatic for Stroud whose ball-striking has been poor so far, ranking 80th in driving distance, 68th in driving accuracy and 73rd in greens in regulation over the first two days.
Bill Haas to beat Nick Watney -138 @ Bet365
Backing him against Watney as well who been struggling for form, which is reflected in a 10-4-1 h2h record in favour of Haas over their last 15 common events.
Hideki Matsuyama to beat Pat Perez -125 @ 5Dimes [also available @ ToteSport and BetFred]
PP has carried over his good form from last week, but it took his runners-up position to earn him his first 'h2h victory' against Matsuyama in over a year. Both are now in the top-5 and I'll back a player in the top-25 in the World Rankings and over 100 places higher than his opponent as the more likely to stay there over the weekend.
[unofficial rd3 system plays: DeLaet tb Woodland -130; Mickelson tb Kirk -135]
