WOLRD SOCCER LEAGUE PICKS: WEEKEND OF MARCH 15th

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
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Dec 27, 2000
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
on sides, each unit is equivalent to $50 bucks U.S

YTD: 0 - 0 - 0

let's see how this works.

after observing the soccer leagues, i'd like to start my experiment.

AUSTRIAN LEAGUE: T Mobile Bundesliga

SV RIED V BREGENZ :
1) taking Josko Ried -167 ( 2 units)LOST WTF????
2) - Draw +250 ( 1 unit) loss..this was supposed to be my backup plan????
_____________________________________________

Belgium LEAGUE: Jupilerleague

1) taking Lokeren -154 ( 2 units)WON
2) - Draw +270 ( 1 unit)LOSS

3) Anderlecht -105 ( 1unit) over Mons
give the nod to the better team on the road...both teams have no ties in the respective home / away record.

looks like the magic number is three in belgium soccer....kinda reminds me of the 5 in hockey.....brings a tear to my eye to draw that parallel...

for totals, each unit is $100 U.S

4) BEVEREN V GENK over 3 - 125 ( 2 units)WON
5) SINT TRUIDEN V ANTWERP under 3 -125 ( 1 unit) WON
6) GERMINAL V STANDARD LIEGE under 3 -125 ( 1 unit)WON
7) LIERSE V MOUSCRON under 3 -125 ( 1 unit)WON
8) MONS V ANDERLECHT under 3 -125 (1 unit)
 
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Dayton88

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Saturday Soccer: 2 Value plays

Saturday Soccer: 2 Value plays

Hi TV. Guess we can keep all the weekend plays under one thread. Two games with some value that come to mind. First off in the German Bundesliga i like COTTBUS on the Asian Handicap 0f 0:0 +100. A stat that cought my eye was the fact that their opponents, Kaiserslautern are 0-5-7 (w-t-l) as a DOG. Not to mention, Kaiserslautern have also scored 10 goals and allowed just 1 in their last 5 game, but in their last 5 on the road they are 0-3-2 scoring 7 and allowing 11. that's more than 2 a game!! AT worst with a tie we get refunded!

Second game is in the Spanish Primera with Racing and Real Sociedad: This has 'TRAP' written all over it. Real Sociedad are in 2nd place overall and the 2nd best road team in argueably the best league in the world. Racing sit in 15th place overall and are the 17th best HOME team. Racing have lost 14 games which ties them with the most loses, while Sociedad are 14-8-3 (w-t-l). That's only 3 losses!!! Yet they books will give you Racing at +108 on the Asian of 0:0?? Seems like the books are waiting for everyone to jump on Sociedad. If it's not a trap, i'll bite anyways. With a 0:0 Asian at worst, if they tie we get refunded. Good luck with your plays!!
 

TheItalianguy

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Record: 2-2 -7.85 units

for saturday:

10 units Deportivo @ 1.37
5 units Ascoli @ 2.25

should be an easy win for depo against a weaker side. they probably want to avenge the CL elimination and stay in Champions League zone. Ascoli looked really good last week and at home they are really good. At 2.25 is very good value i think
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
i also wanna throw in some other stuff to track:

this from a website: let's see how he does.
HANDICAPPER A:

Aston Villa vs MU Pick (Away)
Asian Handicap 1/2-1 Lose 875 Odds:-4.20 3.25 1.72
Aston Villa will want to get their derby loss to Birmingham out of their systems but it would not be easy against an MU team even without Captain Keane. Manchester unite like to leave it late to get the goals and this game will be close but the away side will just do enough to win.

Blackburn vs Arsenal Pick (Home)
Asian Handicap 1/2 Lose 85 Odds:-3.75 3.30 1.80
Arsenal will have to be cautious as not to lose to Blackburn again and it will be a double for the Ewood Park outfit. If the soul brothers click Arsenal will be staring at their lead slowly diminishing and with thier minds in the Champions League Blackburn looks good to create a surprise.

Charlton vs. Newcastle Pick (Home)
Asian Handicap level win 825 Odds:-2.62 3.10 2.37
Sure Newcastle played well in the San Siro but when they visit the Valley it will not be as intimidating as Inter Milan but they need to play with the same adbventure and style or else Charlton will tear into them like wounded tigers after losing to Arsenal the previous week and having also been rested.

Everton vs. West Ham Pick (Home)
Asian Handicap 1/2 Lose 875 Odds: -1.66 3.30 4.50
West Ham has injury and suspension problems and will be lucky to come away from Everton with anything. Everton when they are on song will be difficult to stop and expect the Toffees to pick up the points or point.

Fulham vs Southampton Pick (Home)
Asian Handicap 1/4 Lose 85 Odds: -2.00 3.20 3.20
Their record at Fulham leaves a lot to be desired and Fulham are expecting to get even with Southampton after their fightback and won in their earlier encounter.

Leeds vs Middlesbrough Pick (Away)
Asian Handicap 1/4 Win 825 Odds:-2.25 3.30 2.62
problems a plenty for Leeds and now there is speculation even Harry Kewell is to leave in the summer and this will not be good news for the Elland Road faithful.If Juninho plays Middlesbrough will be in with a good chance of picking something from this game.

Sunderland vs Bolton Pick (Away)
Asian Handicap 1/4 Lose 90 Odds:-2.25 3.20 2.75
a new coach but nothing to shout about. Bolton looks classy against Liverpool but they lack the cutting edge in fornt of goal. The call for the draw looks likely.

Man.City vs Birmingham Pick (Away)
Asian Handicap 1/2 Lose 85 Odds:-1.83 3.30 3.60
Birmingham will need to stay focus with their tasks ahead if they are to pick anything from this game. City has loss some form lately and expect the Brummies to get something from this game

Spurs vs Liverpool Pick (Home)
Asian Handicap Level win 80 Odds:2.40 3.10 2.60
Liverpool expects to run riot against spurs but we dont see it that way and back a home win on this one.

WBA vs Chelsea 1/2 Lose 95 Pick (Away)
Asian Handicap Odds:4.00 3.40 1.72
WBA do not know how to put chances away and if they do not take their chances Chelsea will punish them and grab an away win. Expect Chelsea to be too strong especially in the 2nd half of the game..
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
handicapper B: french league guy

these picks are on the asian handicapping odds.

1) Ajaccio v Lens : he likes the AWAY TEAM
This is a match between a struggling home team and a guest team which haven't been beat for the last seven games. Lens coach Muller said he would be happy with a point but Lens being at ninth position isn't really what is in this club's ambition.

Ajaccio on his side has a pressure which will be on Lens because of their result in the first match against Ajaccio when the match finished with a draw. But Ajaccio will have it's own pressure to fight, and it's 17th place wont make anything easier for this club. The home team coach Courbis haven't pronounced the first eleven squad names, but it's well known that Argentinian striker Esnaider won't play due his injury. Ajaccio last match was a defeat against Nantes, with one goal in their net. Last home match Ajaccio lost against Marseille 0:2.

On the other side, Lens will be boosted up by the return of Vairless, who moralized the strikers John Utaka and Daniel Moreira which are fighting for their place under the "Sun". Lens last match was against Montpellier and they crushed the guests with 4:0. Last guest match Lens won against Lille 0:2.

It should be obvious that Lens has a lot on his side in this match, the good results in the last seven games, and good game, Ajaccio poor form, and full squad ready for this match. Pick away win, because, that's my choice.

2) AC Ajaccio v Marseille

Well Stade de Francois-Coty will not be a friendly host for a clash between their team Ajaccio and the guests Olympic Marseille. The two clubs, are in completely opposite table parts Ajaccio being 17th with just 21 point, and Marseille is currently based on 2nd place with 45 points, more than double comparing to Ajaccio.

Home side coach Rolland Courbis was once a coach of Marseille as well but was sacked after a defeat from AC Parma in UEFA Cup Final 1999, so he will surely seek for a revenge victory from his lads against his former club. He will have new blood in the team with recent singing Diomede Bernard who was a World Cup Champion with France 1998, and he came from Liverpool. Also he will have a strong attack lead by new Latin American duo Argentinian Juan Esnaider, and Uruguayan Walter Guglielmone. No injuries in Ajaccio squad. Last six match overview of Ajaccio looks like this: LDDWWD.

Opposite from his host coach Alain Perrin of Marseille, will have several problems with injuries. Captain and key defender Frank Leboeuf is ruled out with thigh injury, while Brazilian striker Fernandao has sciatica. Also with them two Nigerian Ibrahim Bakayoko (knee) and Lamine Sakho (sinusitis) are doubtful to show up on the pitch. The last six match overview of Marseille looks like this: LWDWLW.

Now my prediction. Despite all the injuries in Marseille dressingroom, I have faith that Daniel Van Buyten will along side with the Croatian goalkeeper Vedran Runje boost the teams moral to seek for a victory. There is no doubt that Ajaccio will also keep back and want a home win, to get away as possible from the relegation zone, but Marseille is a lot better team than Ajaccio and they won in the first match this season against Ajaccio at home with 3:1. I pick away win, with a possibility that Ajaccio could by some wonder manage to squeeze out a draw.

3) Bordeaux v Bastia

Ah yes, my two favorite clubs in the French Le Championnat. This will be a hard decision to make, Bordeaux or Bastia, Bordeaux or Bastia. Oh well Bordeaux, hehe.

Well its quite simple, Bordeaux will be without David Jemmali, and the rest of the squad is complete, coach Elie Baup said that it will be a difficult match but that there aren't any easy match in this season for Bordeaux. And their last six match record is: DWWWWD.

Bastia on the other hand, won against PSG this week, and with all right they were a better team in that match. Their squad is complete and their last six match record looks like: DWWWDW.

By overviewing this match you will clearly see that both teams are in a very good form, maybe a draw would be the most fare thing to do or to put that there will be 3 goals or over, but I pick a home win for Bordeaux, maybe it comes from my heart but at least I am honest.

4) BASTIA - PSG : PICK,HOME SIDE

Bastia is welcoming Parist Saint Germain at Wednesday evening at stade de Armand-Cesari-Furiani where they will seek to put another impressive win against "big clubs" on their table of home wins. Many big clubs have fallen on the gates of the Bastia, the latest victim was Auxerre which been defeated 2:0, and before them, Lyon have fallen with the same result. It will be a match of the giants, despite the position of both clubs in the league.

The home side, Bastia will welcome back the return of their captain and striker Lilian Laslanders after he recovered from a thigh injury he picked up in the clash against Lyon. In this match is also expected that recent sing up from Italian Lecce, the defender Philippe Billy will make his debut, which will bring up a sort of freshness in the squad. Bastia is currently ninth on the table with 35 points and a 3 home win run, while their last six games overview looks like this: WDWWWD.

PSG on the other hand has a lot of trouble with available players for this match. Team coach Luis Fernandez wont be able to count on strikers Martin Cardeti, Ronaldinho, Jose Aloiso, midfielders Hugo Leal and Andre Luiz, defender Paulo Cesar which all suffer from injuries, and adding to them, another striker Fabricio Fiorese is under suspension so he as well wont be able to run out on the pitch. When you count them all you get a number of 7 injured players which is more than half of the first team squad. If that wont influence on their style and form in the match I don't know what will. Especially because Aloiso, Cardeti, Ronaldinho and Paulo Cesar are the best scorers of the squad with 7,7,6, and 4 scored goals. PSG last six match overview is: DDWDWW. So the maximum they can achieve in Bastia, is a draw. But that's like a million to one chance.

Anyhow, the first match between these two teams ended with the result of a draw (1:1) at Paris. My opinion is that PSG will fall underneath the Bastian pressure.
 
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TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
capper #3 :

turkish league

1) Kocaelispor vs Diyarbakirspor :

Kocaelispor is still at the bottom of the table.. This one is their last chance, if Kocaelispor loses any point on sunday then they ll most probably relegate. They are a well-respected team in Tukey and i dont think they can handle the situation if they relegate.. They lost 2-1 last weekend to Istanbulspor but they had some vey important palyers missing. Still performed good and took the lead, i have to accept that Istanbulspro were a little lucky last week.. But i saw Kocaelispor detemination in that game, i also saw how they struggled against Galatasaray but lost 0-1(H).. Now this is their last chance..

There is nothing special at Diyarbakir, the got a lucky 4-0 win over Bursaspor last week and now they are safe from the relegation.. They have a mediocre squad and they dont perform very good on their travels..

Kocaelispor to win this very important game!!

2) German Bundesliga 1

HSV vs Schalke :

Both teams are pushing for a CL place this season. Hamburg are currently 6th in the table with 37 points while the visitors are 4th with 38 points.. This will be a very important game for both teams..

HSV ahve agood home record 8/2/1, they are really strong at home. Also they won their last three home fixtures; Werder Bremen 1-0, Wolfsburg 2-0, Herta 1-0.. They really look like to continue with their fine home form..

Schalke is in alittle downtrend lately, they have got three draws in a row and failed to beat Bielefeld alst weekend and drew 1-1(H).. Schalke is doing good in away games ; 5/4/3 but for this game they ll have serious absences both in defence and in forward..

Handicap is 0:1/4 for this match, considering HSV s fine home form and the absences for the visitors i decieded to risk half of my stake in case of a draw but i strongly believe that HSV will win this game on saturday..
 

Dayton88

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Asian Handicaping

Asian Handicaping

To Vig: I don't want to talk down towards anyone but i know a lot of people are unfamiliar with soccer let alone what an Asian Handicap is. If you need me to, i'll write up a very brief couple of lines as to what it is?
 

souzathelooza

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These are two teams going in opposite
directions.

Last 3 Home games
LIERSE 3-0-0 GF-7 GA-2

Last 3 Away games
MOUSCRON 0-0-3 GF-4 GA-12

Also, Mouscron missing two top
midfielders for the match.

RECOMMENDATION - LIERSE - 1/2 -172

enjoy.
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
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Dec 27, 2000
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
To Vig: I don't want to talk down towards anyone but i know a lot of people are unfamiliar with soccer let alone what an Asian Handicap is. If you need me to, i'll write up a very brief couple of lines as to what it is?

hey, by all means...if you wanna add some thoughts to the asian handicapping thread i started, you're more than welcome...

and no worries...you won't be talking down to anyone....

i don't think i've seen ANYONE in this forum talk about asian handicapping in soccer, yet....to my knowledge.
 

TheItalianguy

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i bet on soccer since i was 14 and i am just getting accostumed with asian handicap, we never used it but i think your info is very good and i might start using it.

Record:3-2 -4.15 units

5 units on Ascoli@ 2.25
5 units on Brescia @ 1.75
5 units on Lecce @ 1.85
8 units on Lazio @1.61

a word on Lazio. they played the best football in italy in the fall, then they felt the lack of superstars players but they managed to stay fourth (champions league zone, which would mean life for this team). they are still playing pretty good football (good last games against Wisla and Roma, where roma tied only because a valid lazio goal was taken away 3 minutes before by the linesman). and get this, in the last 7 games (in italian championship) they got 1 loss and 6 draws! that's a weird record for anybody. i just can't understand how they are playing good and not winning so much, so i think today might be the day at home (with new redone turf) against empoli who is playing so so and already lost 3 times this year to lazio.
 
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