Womens Canadian Open

DOGS THAT BARK

DOGS THAT BARK

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Any info on this course and setup. I can't find squat.
Huge difference from 2002 where only 4 players bust par to 2001 where 32 bust par? Wonder which this setup will be more like?

Can't believe Hilary won the open.I did not think she had shot in hell yesterday. I can't believe Johnny Miller commented each day about her continually coming up short on hitting greens. I wonder if it ever dawned on him that with her weak swing and inability to spin ball that it could have been her intent.
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only link I can find but not much value
http://www.pointgreygolf.com/scorecard.html

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Thanks Stan:thumb:
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Your a blatant liar Annika!
Shes was asked point blank in interview during US Open if she had cashed in any indorsement after as result of Colonial,to which she stated "Not yet"
http://www.lpga.com/entertainment/index.cfm?cont_id=191428
 
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Stanley

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Outright plays (1.5 units):

Juli Inkster to win 25/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Stunningly large odds for a player who has rediscovered her form in dramatic fashion in the past two months. After a slow start to the season, she has since recorded a win and four further top-10 finishes in her last six starts. She did finish 8th last week, but her 3rd round had taken out of out contention and so there should not be too much of a major Sunday fallout. Her record in the du Maurier Classic is excellent - she won in 1984 and was a top-5 finisher four times from 1995 to 2000. SkyBet offer less than half these odds and so would I!

Lorena Ochoa to win 25/1 e.w. @ William Hill
I'm nothing if not persistent! Siding yet again with the Mexican prodigy who played well and finished 13th last week, but was sufficiently off the pace to not be too tired from the event. She has four top-3 finishes this week and stands a good chance of recording another on a course that has not been used on Tour until this week. Her rookie status will not be a hindrance this week.

Lorie Kane to win 28/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
Few can match Kane's form in her home country. On four different courses, she has finished in the top-10 of the last four LPGA events in Canada - two Canadian Women's Opens and two du Maurier Classics. Her current form is impressive as well - three top-3 finishes in her last six starts - and while she does not win enough, she should be a strong contender this week and let one of the other selections win instead!

Rachel Teske to win 28/1 e.w. @ Stan James
I try to limit my outright selections to no more than three so as to limit my liabilities in a market where only one player can win at full odds, but find myself unable to resist any of the four prices available here. Teske's form in Canada is unimpressive - two top-20 finishes in two starts at the du Maurier Classic, but much worse in the Canadian Women's Open - but she is playing the best golf of her career at the moment. After finishing 3rd in the McDonalds LPGA Championship last month, she won both the Giant Eagle LPGA Classic and the Wegmans Rochester LPGA and then finished 13th alongside Ochoa last week. In this form, she can win on any course.
 
DOGS THAT BARK

DOGS THAT BARK

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Will try another E/W while waiting on 5 dimes to drop place odds.
Kane 28/1 @ Sky bet.

Hope I don't hex ya Stan. I liked her a ton last week in open as well, she owes us:)

I know what ya mean about limiting selections as I believe I had 6 for top 5 last week, but agree if they give you the #'s you got a take em where it dictates.
 
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Matchup plays (1.5 units):

Catriona Matthew to beat Laura Davies -105 @ Centrebet
Expecting another good week from Matthew. She continues to frustrate in the outright markets, but is extremely consistent and has a good record in this event on its different courses, including a runners-up spot last year when she had been the leader after 54 holes but shot 77 on the Sunday. The score was surpassed by Davies (79) en route to missing the cut last week and she has now missed two of her last three LPGA cuts and finished 60th on the other occasion. She may have won this title at Edmonton Country Club in 1996, but there is a huge difference in form and I don't why she is the favourite in this matchup.

Catriona Matthew to beat Mhairi McKay -110 @ SkyBet
Playing against two players involved in the heat of battle last week in the next two matchups. McKay looked as though she would dominate the event until she finished with a triple-bogey on the last hole on Friday. She had lost her momentum and the weekend was a struggle even though she only finished three shots outside the playoff. It will surely take its toll on her with another four-day event looming and she missed the cut the week after finishing 2nd in the Kellogg-Keebler Classic in June, a similar result would be no surprise.

Becky Morgan to beat Hilary Lunke -143 @ Expekt
Even more reason to oppose Lunke this week who had a good chance to win the title on the final green on Sunday, played a further 18 holes on Monday and won. She is on the list for Thursday's tee-times, she maybe she will play this week, but it would be no surprise if she withdrew. If she didn't she will face a very daunting task of trying to concentrate in the midst of such media interest. Should be yet another top-10 for Morgan, but making the weekend should be enough if Lunke starts.
 
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Adding (1.5 units):

Sophie Gustafson to beat Hilary Lunke -111 @ BetandWin
Two more U.S. Women's Open angle plays. Gustafson misses rather a lot of cuts - three of her last four - but she did win the Ladies Irish Open on the other occasion. As with Morgan, making the cut should secure the win and Gustafson is certainly capable of doing so.

Cristie Kerr to beat Mhairi McKay -111 @ BetandWin
Kerr is far more likely to make the cut, she has missed just one in her last nine starts and finished 13th last week. It was only the second time in twelve common events that McKay has finished ahead of Kerr this season and she should suffer a letdown from last week's event. Kerr has finished 15th and 5th in the last two years in this event and shouldn't be too far from that mark this time around.
 
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DOGS THAT BARK

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Stan or Clive Whats the scoop on Carin Koch? After strong finish last year she disappeared till this past open except for couple Euro events.
Thought maybe pregnacy but she played last Nov so don't think its that?
 
DOGS THAT BARK

DOGS THAT BARK

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Thanks,as always Stan.

adding 2 outrights to place

Matthew 16.5 @ Sia (top 4) >10/1 top 5 @ ****** available
Morgan 10/1 top 5 @ 5 dimes>16.5 top 4 available @ Centrebet but not in door there yet, but working on it.

Generous odds considering the break even place odds on the two in 2003 are currently 4.6 and 6.5 respectively.

Was somewhat concerned with Matthews current form
37-21-21-22 since last top 5 but in reviewing last year she came into Canadian open with form of cut-22-22-26-cut and placed 2nd in event so will give her a look.

Some other supporting stats current thru Shoprite Classic
Matthew scoring ave 8th-rounds under par 9th-Birdies 1st-GIR 9th
Morgan scor ave 10th-rds under par 4th-driving accuracy 1st

another question if you don't mind Stan. With top 4 and top 5 available is there a statistical varient that would determine
when odds dictate to go top 4 vs top 5? or would splitting 1/2 unit each be prudent?
 
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Clive

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Koch's played twice on LET since giving birth, and had one top ten, thena missed cut in Open where I must admit to backing her at 125/1 as I thought that was too big.

Her goal for the year is to make the Solheim team and continue her good record in that event.
 
DOGS THAT BARK

DOGS THAT BARK

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Hmmm Sorenstam gone--rumor has it she got a KY Chicken bone caught in throat doing the commercial now airing on an endorsement she said she didn't get:moon:

Got a little S&H parlay on the Bush today at 5 dimes

07/11/03 GR.PARK (2ND RND) +102 J.INKSTER (2ND RND) $10.00 $141.24
07/11/03 JEONG JANG (2ND RND) -109 L.DAVIES (2ND RND)
07/11/03 SOO-YUN KANG (2ND RND) -105 Y.KIM (2ND RND)
07/11/03 L.KANE (2ND RND) +100 K.WEBB (2ND RND)
 
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2nd round update: 2-1-0; -0.45 units

Inkster/Park WON by 3
Davies/Jang WON by 1
Bauer/Moodie LOST by 6

Mid-point update:

Matthew/Davies Trails by 7
Matthew/McKay WON by 1
Morgan/Lunke WON by 12
Gustafson/Lunke WON by 3
Kerr/McKay VOID (Kerr dns)

Inkster 3rd
Ochoa 38th
Kane mc
Teske 64th

Three of four matchups won at the cut and Inkster right in the hunt for the title. Could be a very event, though after liking so many outrights, it was disappointing that only Inkster is performing.

3rd round plays (1.5 units):

Danna Andrews to beat Carin Koch -127 @ Five Dimes
Heather Bowie to beat Janice Moodie -117 @ Five Dimes
 
DOGS THAT BARK

DOGS THAT BARK

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at cut
only one outright in contention (morgan 6th)
Kane cut and Matthews a celler dweller
Kane big disappointment for 2nd week and Matthews appears to far back unless we get some nasty weather.

Little S&H parlay was pathetic with only one winner out of the 4.:eek:
 
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Clive

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Kane so annoyed at not performing well in home open, she smashed her putter and had to use a wood on the green during the end of the final round!

Inkster odds on now...4/5 at SJ and Centrebet
 
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