Womens U.S. Open

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Place top 5
Redman 25/1
Jeon Jang 7/1
Mathew-Rosales-Kung all 12.5/1

72 holes
Gloria Park over Mizato -115 Cbet
Jones over Davies -112 Cbet
Rosales over Diaz -115 Cbet
Redman over Ward -110 SJ

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Michelle Wie to win 20/1 e.w. @ Stan James ['w/o Annika Sorenstam' market]
Annika Sorenstam may not have won this title since 1996, but it is difficult to ignore a player who has won six of her eight starts this year. At the very least, the 'w/o Annika Sorenstam' market should offer six places in practice as Annika has finished 2nd, 4th and 2nd in the last three years. As for Wie, she has finished 2nd twice in four starts this season, the second time being in the McDonald's LPGA Championship, the last major championship, which was won by Annika. She was in sole 2nd place that week, so won this market and looks a good prospect to repeat the feat. This will be her 3rd U.S. Women's Open, so she has gained valuable experience of playing under such testing USGA conditions and will certainly improve on her 13th place finish of last year.

Juli Inkster to win 20/1 e.w. @ Stan James ['w/o Annika Sorenstam' market]
At the other end of the experience spectrum is Inkster. That experience will always useful in USGA events and as a two-time winner in recent years (1999 and 2002), she can also draw confidence from the way in which she battled Annika head-to-head in 2002 and came out on top. Her form this year is good with five top-10 finishes in her last seven starts, including a 2nd place behind Annika in the ShopRite Classic earlier this month. A repeat result would mean a win in this market.

Jeong Jang to win 25/1 e.w. @ Stan James ['w/o Annika Sorenstam' market]
Jang is another in very good form at the moment with three top-five finishes in her last four starts and though she finished 13th in the other event, she had been 3rd after 54 holes. Together with finishes of 6th and 7th in the last two years in this event, Jang is clearly a player that should perform well this week and gain the high finish for a payout in this market.

 

[Apollo Kid]

U.S. Women's Open

1 unit
Jeong Jang 41-1 e.w. @ Golfing Gods
-- Jang has the game and the record at prior Opens to compete with Annika and possibly beat her. I like the nice finish last week.

Rachel Hetherington 101-1 e.w. @ Golfing Gods
-- Definitely a long shot, but plays well at Opens.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding Wie to place top 5 @ IAS 6.6/1

Didn't see this line previously or would have culled one out of previous selections.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding 72 holes
Rosales +105 over Grace Park @ 5dimes
Jones -105 over Webb @ Pin
Kung -114 over Ward @ Pin
Mathew -105 over Mallon

 

[Apollo Kid]

DTB, you were up earlier than I was this morning and saw that one first

Matchup

1.5 units
Rosales -110 over Grace Park @ 5 Dimes

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Juli Inkster to beat Paula Creamer -104 @ Expekt
Opposing Creamer after her swing collapsed under pressure from playing partner Lorena Ochoa on Sunday. From a five-shot lead with seven holes to play, she lost by four. That should have some impact this week and this is an event in which experience is important, so siding with the player who has the 5-3-1 h2h advantage in 2005.

Michelle Wie to beat Paula Creamer -110 @ BetFred [4.5pts]
Creamer may have been the first of these players to record a LPGA Tour victory, but in their eight common events on the LPGA Tour she has never finished ahead of Wie and that includes the two previous major championships this year.
(also available at Paddy Power)

Michelle Wie to beat Jeong Jang -110 @ William Hill [3pts]
Have backed Jang in the outrights where she represents value, but not in a head-to-head against Wie. In their four common events this year, it has not even been close with Wie finishing ahead every time and averaging over 1.9 shots per round better than her opponent. Hills compiler rates these two players equally this week and I disagree!
(also available at SkyBet and Centrebet)

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

My $30 wager wasn't going to hurt anything Apollo
I get up 3:30 am central but usually lines there have been assualted by then--can't figure out their posting schedule--must be between 10 pm and 3 am.

adding
Kerr -115 over Creamer @ WW or HW

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding
Inkster -110 over Webb @ SIA
Jones -110 over Davies @ Oly
Wie -110 over Creamer-- still up @ BF

Some new blood from some books on lpga

 

[Apollo Kid]

DTB,

I can't figure out the posting schedule either. I went to bed after the NBA game (around 1 a.m.), and the only play offered was Annika to win Yes/No. I wake up and it was a full slate.

Good luck this weekend.

 

[lostinamerica]

OUTRIGHTS:

Michelle Wie(25/1) e.w. @ Bet365
- - I would like to see how this plays out if the kid spends the first couple of days talking about all the putts she's holing.

Angela Stanford(80/1) e.w. w/out A.Sorenstam @ Golfing Gods
- - It's a major, and showing more than a smidge of . . .

GL

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding 72 holes @ Boyles both -111
MY Kim over Davies
Mathew over Ward

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

2n rd @ Hollywood

Wie +100 over Webb (+1/2) stroke

Been interesting watching-they have some rough for a change however blugrass and fescue and not bermuda -- still punishing and all have pitched out--however with all but 2 fairways mostarer wide and does not come into play except mostly around greens--unless your Davies who lets it flyevry hole. Greens certainly not pga speed but if they firm up could get interesting.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

3rd rd
Kung -120 over Birdie Kim @ SJ

Outright
Kerr 22/1 E/W 1/4 top 5 @ BF

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

4th rd
Annika -120 over Jones (-1.5) @HW WW
Kerr-108 over Ochoa @ 5Dimes

Intersting final rd coming up.Very poor game plan by Annika in not using her stength (driving) --played too cautious ranking 40th in DD now has to use it to get back in--might result in big # by having to play aggresive but fairways much to wide for Jones to be effective despite leading in fairways hit which was to be expected but been hitting woods into par 4's will take its toll.

Will be most interesting watching Pressel and Wie who there is not much love between--and from Pressel points I can understand why.
Most are not even aware of her as she is not media's darling but she is top amatuer in U.S. and did "qualify" for Open at age 12--has about a 8 to 1 win ratio over Wie in Amatuer events--Currently leads Wie 3-2-2 in rds played on PGA this year--so reason to be miffed--with that being said she is quite emotional and believe Wie will handle final rd pressure much better.