I strongly disagree with this methodology.
Here's why:
You are making a faulty assumption that you can automatically "morph" into some kind of rank amateuer handicapper, turning back the intellectual clock so-to-speak, and then use the mistaken methods of those "uninformed" plays by betting the opposite. Sounds logical, but it's practically impossible -- unless you are able to suspend intelligence and regress to a more child-like state.
Let's say you were a horrible handicapper five years ago (before the Internet made almost everyone better handicappers). You used to pick up the sports page everyday, look at the box scores, and make your daily plays based on the trash that the sportswriters write. Now, you DO EXACTLY THE SAME THING (shut off the computer and read what the writers think) and instead of betting on those plays, you simply bet the other way. Seems like you would be certain to hit 55 percent or better, right (based on your losses in the past)?
Wrong.
The trouble is over the years you have conditioned yourself mentally -- both consciously and subconsciously -- to look at certain conditions and NOT fall for sucker trends and make knee-jerk reactions that you used to do, which served to destroy your bankroll. You may think you can "dummy down" your intellect and turn into a beer-drinking bufoon, but it's just not going to happen once you have progressed to fine wine. You have trained yourself too strongly over the years to now look for value, consider lines and movement, and avoid pitfalls that were the landmines that blew you out of the sky. Just as a PhD would have trouble writing a high school paper in language that would be palatable for that level -- an experienced, knowledgeable handicapper cannot simply SUSPEND nor DISMISS all that he has learned over the years, and turn into some idiot that fell off the turnip truck. In short, reverse methodology does not work due to our human intellectual limitations.
The only way to actually apply this type of logic is the following scenario (in my opinion): Find a bettor who is a very bad handicapper....particularly somneone that makes uninformed, and publically-popular judgements about teams. Find out his plays. Do not let him know your intentions (important!). Then, bet the other way. I admit I myself have bet against some sports associates in the past -- because they just didn't have a clue. I even have a theory (unproven) that if you subscribe to some tout services -- you can actually make money by BETTING THE OTHER WAY. imagine -- paying for a service, then BETTING AGAINST THEM!!!
But that's a topic for discussion another time.
-- Nolan Dalla