Woodson's Winners 3/3

[Woodson]

The week's system plays at a glance: 72.2%

|Mon 1-0 |Sun 1-1 | Sat 9-2 | Fri 0-0 | Thur 1-1 | Wed 1-1 | Tues 0-0

Tuesday's Plays


Cincinnati -3 to WIN 2 UNITS
Mike Williams is questionable for Cincinnati. S. Florida is 1-11 against top 100 teams and big man Jesus Verdejo is out with a foot injury. He was key in the Marquette win. Both recently played W. Virginia, Cinci winning by 4 and S. Florida losing by 14 respectively on home court. Cinci is avg 47.5% against 35% fg % and scoring more than 14 more ppg (last 5). S. Florida shooting a horrid 59% from the line and 39% fg. S. Florida is also shooting 20% 3pfg last 5 games!

Wake Forest -1 (-120) to WIN 1 UNIT
Wake hasn't played well on the road but their big men stack up well against Maryland. I see this line continuing to move up today. Scoring 80+ and shooting 50% fppg add in the +7 rebound margin and the Deacons are hard pressed not to fair well in Maryland.

Oklahoma St. -5 to WIN 3 UNITS
I have them right at DD for this game. They have come on well as of late shooting (last 5 games) 47.6% fg, 41.4% 3pfg, with a +5 rebound margin at home. Defensive boards will eliminate Kansas St. second chance points and help Oklahoma St win in a blow out fashion...

Weber St. -3 (-120) to WIN 1 UNIT
The key difference here is overall they're avg 70 and allowing 66. The last 5 games however they've avg 77 and defensively allowed only 59 which opens this game up. The catch is they've played 4 of those 5 at home while Montana St has played their last 3 on the road... Shooting 52%, 42% 3ppg, and 76% from the line can not be overlooked. Slight edge to Weber St winning this one on the line on the road and only by a half dozen or so.

Notes
Moorehead State with 58% yet the line is going the other way.... same as Boise last night...

 

[Woodson]

Cincinatti will get it done tonight

Cincinatti will get it done tonight

The good news for the Bearcats is that senior forward Mike Williams, who practiced Monday, might play tonight after missing the last two games with a sprained medial collateral ligament.

"We're going to see how his knee reacts," Cronin said. "We'll ice him down and evaluate him and see how he goes through walk-through tomorrow. If he were in the NFL, he would be questionable to probable."

USF has lost six straight games, all by 10 points or more. Two of its three Big East victories were against winless DePaul. The other was at home over No. 8 Marquette, which should be enough of a wake-up call for the Bearcats to make sure they don't show up again not ready to play.

But this is a decimated USF team, limping to the finish line without three injured starters.

The latest casualty is Jesus Verdejo, the team's leading 3-point shooter and second-leading scorer who missed Sunday's game against West Virginia with a foot injury.

"Everyone is hurt and banged up," USF coach Stan Heath told The Tampa Tribune Sunday after the Bulls' 64-50 loss to West Virginia. "Three is a huge number. If (they were) available that doesn't mean all of a sudden we would challenge for the league championship, but it certainly makes a difference how fresh these guys are at the end of the game."

The Bulls rank last in the league in scoring (59.4), field-goal percentage (39.9), free-throw percentage (59.2) and are second-to-last in 3-point field goal percentage (29.4).

"They obviously have struggled to get the ball in the basket," Cronin said. "Part of it is their style. They take their time and shorten the game. It's hard to score a lot of points on them because they limit possessions. They've got to play great defense so they play really hard on defense."

 

[Mr. Poon]

GL woodson. I was looking hard at Wake, but was scared away with it being their 3rd game in 6 days.

 

[sargeward]

Following you as usual Woodson. Your thoughts on Weber State. They should be about a DD favorite but only giving 4????:shrug:

 

[rawli007]

Lots of luck, my man

:mj06:

 

[Woodson]

GL woodson. I was looking hard at Wake, but was scared away with it being their 3rd game in 6 days.

I took that into consideration and played it only as 1 UNIT.

 

[Woodson]

Following you as usual Woodson. Your thoughts on Weber State. They should be about a DD favorite but only giving 4????:shrug:

Weber State looks like a freebie, but their coach stated they don't match up well w/ Montana in his morning statement. That being said, I'm waiting on line movement to see if it holds... Will know mmore regarding this play around 6:30...


Best of luck!

:moon:

 

[Woodson]

CINCINNATI -3 -2.5 -140 83%

Majority on Cincinatti and the line has dropped to -2.5.

That doesn't hold well for a 4 unit play and will lowered to 2 UNITS as it stands. I will be waiting until 6:30 or so before I lock it in or hedge...

 

[luvmy$$$]

My cheesy sims an cheat sheets show Cinnci game as a coin flip? In fact the lines look pretty tight across the board. I Like the Oky st play, but I show a win by 5 and 8 at 73%. I show Duke winning by 9 or 10 with the line -12.5. Thinking I might tease Florida st +18.5 with Oklahoma st +.5 ? :shrug:

 

[liftnbet]

good luck woodson! I like Cincy alot..I hate siding with the public for most of the time, but they do win. Perfect example was the citadel last night. I took Georgia Southern, but the public nailed it on the head.. Only thing here in the cincy game concerning me is the RLM.. We shall see.. I still am locked and loaded on Cincy.. ALso wondering if I should lay a good amount on the Wake ML and even a ML parlay containg:

Cuse
Duke
Oky State

300 to win around 250

What do you think about Duke? I think they GIVE it to FSU and uoset 85% of the people on FSU :00hour

 

[Woodson]

Weber State -3 (-120)

The key difference here is overall they're avg 70 and allowing 66. The last 5 games however they've avg 77 and defensively allowed only 59 which opens this game up. The catch is they've played 4 of those 5 at home while Montana St has played their last 3 on the road...

Shooting 52%, 42% 3ppg, and 76% from the line can not be overlooked.

Slight edge to Weber St winning this one on the line on the road and only by a half dozen or so.

Weber St. -3 (-120) 1 UNIT

 

[ninosaturnino]

Gl today woodson, like the Cinci play....

 

[sargeward]

Great stats. Thank you.

 

[Woodson]

Quote from Weber State player, Kellen McCoy

Quote from Weber State player, Kellen McCoy

"They beat us," said senior guard Kellen McCoy. "We owe them one. We will have no problem getting motivated at all."

 

[gsp]

The Weber game looks like a gimme. The only negative is Mont St beating them at home but that might have been carelessness on Weber's part. The thing that interests me is that even with their win/loss records the lines against common apponents has stayed consistant. The beauty of this is that Weber has been under-rated by almost 10 points for their last 10 games while Mont St has consistantly been over-rated by around 15. Now, if we could just get the line to go up about 6 est. ............

Good luck tonight

 

[Woodson]

Weber State's Nick Hansen

Weber State's Nick Hansen

"Of course, we want to get back at them," said guard Nick Hansen. "We want to try to keep our momentum going, keep this going day-by-day and work as hard as we can."

The Wildcats get a full week to prepare for the conference semifinals following tonight's game.

 

[Woodson]

Cincinnati downgraded. 2 UNITS


Best of luck and see you before 9 for the AL/AU game...

 

[ShivaShante]

GL Woodson!:00hour

And you better be going with the Tigers in the Hardwood Iron Bowl... the Sabanites are gonna be too busy trying to catch a peek at St Nicky Saban who's gonna be there for the Iron Bowl trophy presentation. Hope we were able to find it for them, since it could've gotten lost in Auburn being as we've had it for 6 years!

WAR EAGLE!!

 

[Woodson]

Shiva!

:mj07: :mj07: :mj07:

I'm originally from the Ham'! Will be over there in two weeks for the weekend! (Parents)

War Eagle!

:mj06:

 

[Woodson]

What a great night of basketball. Give credit to S. Florida's Jones who had 30 and single handedly took the Bears down. The questionable line movement with Cincinnati resulted in a hedge play that paid off and it was smooth sailing from there, even hitting my second NBA game in as many nights.

Finding my groove right in time for Championship play!



3-1 +3 UNITS in the NCAA!
1-0 +1 UNIT in the NBA!