Round 4 plays (2pts):
Bo Van Pelt to beat Graeme McDowell -138 @ Paddy Power
McDowell leads the event by two shots (down from a three-shot lead at the start of the 3rd round), but he has never previously won an event when starting the final round leading on his own. For example, he had the sole lead at the start of the 2011 Players Championship and shot 77 to finish 33rd. BVP has finished 1st and 2nd in his last two starts, so should be a strong opponent for GMac.
Bo Van Pelt to beat Keegan Bradley -111 @ Bet365 [also available @ Stan James]
Bradley has not shown any form recently (and he finished next-to-last in his previous visit), so it is a surprise that he is 2nd at this stage. With a 8-3-2 h2h record in favour of BVP in the final round alone over the last 12 months, he should be the favourite in this matchup.
Nick Watney to beat Bubba Watson +111 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Bubba shot the low round of the day yesterday, so would be a go-against on that basis, and at nine shots off the pace, he is out of contention. With Watney in good form - two wins in his last seven starts - I don't see why he shoul be such a large underdog.
Tiger Woods to beat Graeme McDowell -163 @ Bet365
Short odds, but given McDowell's previous final round performances when in the lead and Tiger just five shots back and playing in the group ahead of McDowell, the short odds are warranted.
Jim Furyk to beat Rickie Fowler -129 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
With a 12-5 h2h record against Fowler in 2012 and having shot the higher final round just three times this year, Furyk should be a clear favourite on that basis alone. As a former winner here (2009) and a very good record overall at Sherwood, he should be at shorter odds than these.
