world cup knockout stage

[moe777]

germany -280 to advance..and ml -135 taking the high juice just in case it takes extra time
im higher on germany than i was before the tourny and a litlle lower on the swedes..this couldve been one of my upset wagers,but now i think the germans may actually be better than the swedes without referee help..but if this game is close the germans WILL GET THE calls..factor in homefield adv,,the form of both teams heading into the game,,and the swedes also playing against a bias referee this is a strong play for me.....if the going gets tough for the germans watchout for their notortois rough play ,that will happen against a finesse team like the swedes and watch the ref look the other way.

 

[vyrus858]

moe a little confused on the "taking the high juice in case it takes extra time" analysis...isnt it a one game round in the knockout stage? so wouldnt the -260 and ML need the same "win" for Germany to win the bet?

 

[Gimme_The_Loot]

moe a little confused on the "taking the high juice in case it takes extra time" analysis...isnt it a one game round in the knockout stage? so wouldnt the -260 and ML need the same "win" for Germany to win the bet?

Moe thinks Germany will advance. Whether they get it done in regulation or extra time, shootout, sudden death is the question. If Germany wins it in regulation then both bets win. If they win it in extra time, penalty kicks, sudden death, then his ML bet will be a loss, but will be covered by his bet on Germany to advance. So it's just backup insurance since he doesn't see the Swedes advancing.

 

[Magking1]

How often do the games at this stage go into overtime?

It just seems like such a big difference between winning in regulation and "to advance"
Germany now -145 in reg but -350 to advance
Argentina -260 in reg but -570 to advance

Is over twice the odds standard?

 

[hawkeye]

In this case the home country factor will be big!!

 

[3 Seconds]

How often do the games at this stage go into overtime?

It just seems like such a big difference between winning in regulation and "to advance"
Germany now -145 in reg but -350 to advance
Argentina -260 in reg but -570 to advance

Is over twice the odds standard?

In the 2002 WC in the round of 16, 3 of the 8 matches went into extra time w/ 1 going to a shoot out. There was also a 4th game where the decieding goal was scored in the 89th minute.

In the round of 8 last time around 2 of the 4 matches went into extra time, w/ 1 of those going to a shoot out.

So yes it is a frequent occurance.

 

[Rcxslam]

how many extra minutes are played if game is tied after the first 90?

 

[Gimme_The_Loot]

how many extra minutes are played if game is tied after the first 90?

there will be two 15min halves played for extra time

 

[moe777]

gimmie the loot explained it perfectly.
ml bets are for 90 mins.
taking the juice b/c sweden is a good team,and im giving them some respect here..this is a solid play,if the swedes can knockout the home country in this spot,well good for them and ill take my losses.taking the swedes here is ballsy.

 

[bassmaster007]

nice call moe on germany anything on arg. and mexico

 

[moe777]

nice call moe on germany anything on arg. and mexico

thxs bass...no play .im high on argentina ,but had feeling it would be close,and to much juice.

 

[Rcxslam]

nice hit Mo...tailed ya on this one...

 

[vyrus858]

Moe question...my book has the following lines for Switzerland/Ukraine

Switz ML +140
Swiz PK -130

BOTH say "90 Min Regulation time ONLY"

why diff lines if the both bets need switz to win in the 90 min period, im confused...and lets say for another game i have Australia +1 in the 90 min time, if they lose by 1 i just push right?

 

[moe777]

Moe question...my book has the following lines for Switzerland/Ukraine

Switz ML +140
Swiz PK -130

BOTH say "90 Min Regulation time ONLY"

why diff lines if the both bets need switz to win in the 90 min period, im confused...and lets say for another game i have Australia +1 in the 90 min time, if they lose by 1 i just push right?

if you take the ml and they tie you lose.
if you take thye pk and they tie you push.
thats why you got tyhe better odds with ml....and yes you pushh on the other if they lose by 1....you win if their tied after 90.

 

[moe777]

australia /italy...draw after 90 min +315

swiss pk -135 .....goodluk...

 

[vyrus858]

thanks for the reply, got it my man... really appreciate your help as sometimes its confusing with all these WC options when it comes to betting them...so one question, you usually have how much you are palying on each game and it gives me an idea of how much to bet myself...what amount/units are you betting on each of the last 2 picks you posted for tommorow? thanks

 

[el JB]

will tail on Switzerland and wil take the TIE IN HANDICAP (X) as a win by one goal should be the result most expected and the pay is great (+ 280) also will play 1 unit on score (1-0)

 

[el JB]

pay in score 1-0 favoring Swiss is + 700

 

[InSpades]

Everyone is on Swiss tomorrow, including me. I see a 2 goal win for Swiss.

IS

 

[HoopsGuru]

the swiss have looked impressive so far, and i don't think the ukraine are playing up to expectations. i think 1-0 for swiss looks good.