World Cup

[flapjack]

20 Bets for the Cup:

Been running through the scenerios for months now and this is what I've finished with:

1) Brazil to Win 250 to win 1125
- This team has been built to win this and I am sure they are more than happy that Spain has been getting more attention. They are much stronger than 4 years ago.
2) Mex to Qual from Group 50 to win 63 Win
3) Brazil to Win Group 83 to win 50 Win
4) Serbia to Qual from Group 72 to win 65 Loss
- I lost alot on them last WC, Time for them to give some back.
5-8) To Lose in Semi Final:
Mexico 25 to win 375 Loss
S Korea 10 to win 350 Loss
Serb 25 to win 375 Loss
England 80 to win 375 Loss

- The top half of the bracket should be wide open and I like at least one of those guys to get through to the semis where they most likely run into Spain or Brazil. Ger, Arg and France I dont thinkg are heading for strong performances which should open the door to these 4 to make some runs.

9) Greece 0 points 10 to win 75 Loss
10) Algeria 0 points 10 to win 25 Loss
11) Brazil-Spain Final 10 to win 80
12) Spain best UEFA team 50 to win 100
13) Brazil best COMNEBOL team 125 to win 100
14) S Korea best Asian 25 to win 46
15) Arg to win group 56 to win 25 Win
16) Holland to win group 55 to win 25 Win
17) Group F Total Goals U15.5 23 to win 20 Win
- Italy wont score much, Paragauy doesnt let much in and NZ will be fitting tooth and nail for 0-0 results.
18) Italy U 5.5 Group Stage Goals 20 to win 21 Win
19) Group H Total Goals O16.5 48 to win 40 Loss
- Chile, Spain and Hondorus should make for alot of overs in the group.
20) S Korea to win it all 10 to win 2000 Loss
- I think I was drunk when I put this bet in.

 

[kegray1]

No leading goal scorer plays?

I put this one in today:
Exact Double result Group B:
Argentina 1st
S. Korea 2nd
+460
for 50 wins 230

I just can't see Argentina not winning the group so that just leave S. Korea to beat Nigeria and Greece out.

Played this to cover it:
Exact Double Result Group B:
Argentina 1st
Nigeria 2nd
+330
for 50 wins 165

So looking at +115 or +180 if Argentina wins group and Greece flames out which like you, I think they will.
Argentina is -210 to win the group so this gives me odds and just hope and prey Greece flames.

 

[DZ]

9) Greece 0 points 10 to win 75

:nono:

 

[ninosaturnino]

2) Mex to Qual from Group 50 to win 63
.

though we never get anywhere, Mexico is a consistent 2nd round player...

BOL Flap.

 

[flapjack]

No leading goal scorer plays?

I put this one in today:
Exact Double result Group B:
Argentina 1st
S. Korea 2nd
+460
for 50 wins 230

I just can't see Argentina not winning the group so that just leave S. Korea to beat Nigeria and Greece out.

Played this to cover it:
Exact Double Result Group B:
Argentina 1st
Nigeria 2nd
+330
for 50 wins 165

So looking at +115 or +180 if Argentina wins group and Greece flames out which like you, I think they will.
Argentina is -210 to win the group so this gives me odds and just hope and prey Greece flames.

My one fear is if Argentina is 2-0 and locked into the next round and rest a few in 3rd game against Nigeria. Nigeria having say 4 points and then beating Argentina to get to 7 points and win group.

16 minutes? What took you so long?

Top goal scorer this year is complete BS this year. You've got players at less than 10-1 who may or may not even be the top scores on their teams. Bad odds all the way around.

Also, taking:

S Korea to Qual from Group 30 to win 65 Win
Spain 1st/Chile 2nd 30 to win 38 Win

I almost took Arg 1st/SK 2nd - and got over 500 odds, but I figured I wouldnt get too greedy and just take them seperately - SK to Qual and Arg to win.

 

[kegray1]

16 minutes? What took you so long?

My doing nothing these days got in the way.

Are you going to Vegas Thursday?

I had free plane ticket setup but wife was not keen on the idea. I caved instead of the argument.

 

[flapjack]

Yep, still going. Counting down the minutes. As far as the wife, just tell her you are going out to get milk and when you show up a couple days later with a pocket full of cash, she'll forget why she was mad at you. :shrug:

 

[flapjack]

Adding:

Denmark to Qual: 11 to win 10 Loss
Holl 1st/Den 2nd: 15 to win 41 Loss
Den to Lose in Qtrs: 15 to win 79 Loss

 

[kegray1]

Greece is staring zero points right in the face.
Just need Argentina to win the group.

 

[flapjack]

OK, second set of group games and time to start placing some individual games:

S Korea - Arg O2.5 +135 35 for 47 Win

Nigeria ML -111 35 for 31 Loss

3 Teamer:
Arg/Nig Pk/Mex Pk 20 for 70 Loss

Unders have some in like mother f'ers, I think hopefully that Uru game showed that things are changing. Both those teams should place a pretty open game and neither are so hot at the back.

Greece stinks and I'm sticking with my altitude theory for a few more games at least despite Uru getting it done vs S Africa today.

 

[kegray1]

Big day for my group play.
Need Argentina to get the "W" and I am guaranteed a profit unless Greece sacks up which I doubt they will.

 

[flapjack]

Adding:

Mex Pk 40 for 70 Win
Mex O2 42 for 40 Push
Mex 0-0 exact 10 for 65 Loss
Mex +1 on corners 11 for 10. Loss

 

[flapjack]

Serbia O2.5 30 for 38 Loss

Serbia +1 42 for 35 Win

USA ML 30 for 30 Loss

Rooney 1st Goal Scorer 15 for 38 Loss

USA U1.5 15 for 22 Loss


I think the lines over reacted a little to Serbia and Germs 1st games. If they are that bad than the Germans will hopefully destroy them and cover my over.

 

[kegray1]

There you go trusting Serbia again.

You can't teach stupidity, you can only learn it.

 

[flapjack]

There you go trusting Serbia again.

You can't teach stupidity, you can only learn it.

Eat that! And, as far as our contest - SCOREBOARD.

 

[kegray1]

I never said it was a bad play.
You are the one who said you will never learn with Serbia.

Also I heard Braid gave you that pick on Facebook.

 

[kegray1]

And Neil said if you win the contest then he may have to deduct some of the payment for returning his Vegas shoes scuffed.

 

[flapjack]

Time to get back on track:

Ghana ML 56 for 50 Loss
Denmark ML 25 for 36 Win
Denmak Pk 33 for 25 Win

Aussies look like a mess in every way possible - internal fighting, injuries, suspensions, getting their asses kicked, etc. They've even been bitching about their training grounds. And, I like the Danes to bouce back. Cameroon has issues, Danes played decent in first game, more of a cohesive team and good odds.

-24 so far.

 

[flapjack]

-39 to date. Break even day, but good day for my props since Serbia and Denmark are back from the grave.

 

[flapjack]

Brazil -1 50 for 68 Win
Corners Italy -4 33 for 25 Win