Yale-Princeton Ivy play-down

[Stag]

heart loves Yale......
but money is on Princeton -2 in this one.

I think the line is a lot lower than it ought to be. Bettors might be low on Princeton because they were beaten soundly by Penn in a marquee game on Tuesday. Another factor could be the 48 hour rest for Princeton, compared to Yale, which last took the floor on Saturday. Another reason might be the neutral court factor.

But here's the thing. The "neutral" court here is hardly neutral, and thus OVERVALUED for Yale. The game is being played at the Palestra in Philly which pisses me off as a Yale fan). I am hearing on the radio that Yale (which must travel appro. 4 hours to the game) will have about 2,000 fans there. On the otherhand, Princeton (which is almost a suburb of Philly) will have more than 3 times that number. Neutral? Please......Fordham or Columbia would have been neutral.

I was taught at a young age to never go against a streak. I've also noticed that in college sports, teams tend to dominate other teams for long periods of time. Then, after a breakthrough, things ca turn around. I don't think Yale has COMPLETELY turned it around just yet. (They may be just a year away)
Even though Yale beat Princeton in New Haven last month (in front of the wildest crowd at Payne-Whitney I can ever recall), the Ivy League championship STILL goes through Princeton and Penn. Until this trend breaks, my money is with the program with the proven track record.

Big play........Princeton -2

Stag

And it's always good to know that Ivy guru Superbook is on Princeton as well (got an e-mail from him earlier). Like it even more, and I am looking forward to his views....... and others)
More to come on this game later.

 

[superbook]

Dave -- I agree, but I'm not playing it big, this will just be a medium-sized play for me. This low line worries me a little.

And with this low line, I'm playing the Princeton ML instead of the gameline.

One other factor that I mentioned to you in my email: Yale has no seniors on their team; so there isn't the urgency to win it this year. When the going gets tough, they might just think that they have next year.

gl guys

 

[superbook]

I think Princeton is the right side here but the only other thing that is troubling me is the look-ahead.

One of the Tigers' starters was quoted in the New York Times on Wednesday after the Penn game as saying that Yale is a "roadblock" that Princeton would roll through. I don't know if this quote was taken out of context or said in the heat of the moment but Princeton needs to really focus on this game as Yale is a good team which beat them during the regular season.

If Princeton starts looking ahead to the next game they might find themselves watching Penn on TV.

FWIW, I wouldn't take Princeton at -2.5. I'd buy this down a little or take the ML. Again not a big bet for me, I'm saving my money for the next game.

- Jon

 

[Stag]

I think Princeton's front line can be too tough for Yale........and sometimes Yale's good young guards play wrecklessly.
I sent this one in big at -2 (-107 sides) at Canbet last night. Yale better not lose by 1!

 

[Joey Baseball]

Stag,
Think I'm going hop on your coattails on this one.

Prin is to tough.

Thanks. Appreciate the write-up

 

[bryanz]

Call me crazy

Call me crazy

I have followed the IVY better than any conference this year,Princeton had it and lost it, and they know they can't get it back. What ever happens tonight Penn wins the IVY. Just have a feeling that Yale puts it on them big.

 

[superbook]

2 units: Yale +1 first half
1 unit: Princeton ML

 

[superbook]

1 Unit: Over 65 second half

 

[Stag]

Princeton -3 2nd half..........
same amount of money as the game

 

[gecko]

super-

haven't been following the game, but I'll go along for the ride.

OVER 64.5 (-115)
@ wwts

 

[Stag]

For the record..........
I hope Yale wins! Just not by 10 points or more!!!!!!!! I'll gladly take a push (just losing the juice) to see the Bulldogs move on!

Stag

 

[superbook]

Stag --

Sorry if you think I made a reversal on you, I thought I had posted my play on Yale first half this AM but apparently I screwed something up. FWIW, I posted at the rx under winky's thread this morning before I drove up to New Haven where I spent the day. This whole deal with my money at Camelot has had me a little distracted.

When I went out running this morning it hit me that Princeton was probably overconfident in this one and the first half play was the way to go.

As we've discussed before, Yale is a good team and Princeton is probably overrated.

Can't wait until Saturday night's game. I wish I could go. I called the Penn box office and they're only selling tickets to season ticket holders.

The reason I liked the Over 65 second half was that once Princeton gets down by double digits they'll get out of their pressing D and start putting up the 3's.

- Jon

 

[gecko]

super -

thanks for the OVER play. The foul-o-rama pushed it thru.

 

[superbook]

Can't wait to see the line on the Yale-Penn game.

Pretty easy winner on the second half over.

Glad you got some $$$ Mr. Gordon Gecko (I loved that movie)

- Jon

 

[Stag]

My heart is happy, but my wallet just got a bit thinner......oh well...its been a good year in the Ivy.

Go Yale.......beat Penn!!!!!!!