Right now I have a small amount already wagered on Hopkins and I want to throw some more on. The line right now is around -250. Do you expect that line to drop or rise by the time the fight rolls around. My guess is that the average fan who doesn't know much about boxing will see that line and bet on Oscar because they know who he is. My guess is that it'll drop to -200 by fightnight. What are your thoughts?
Yo Boxlocks
- Thread starter damien4191
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This line has already jumped around quite a bit and I expect it to continue. I agree that the line will drop to -200 or so with alot of bettors taking DLH at plus money.
I still haven't pulled the trigger on Hopkins but its not because I think there will be a cheaper price later on. Alot of poeple are basing their opinions on DLH's performance against Sturm which I would agree was pathetic especially in the late rounds. They are saying that 160 is way too big for him based on that performance. The kicker here is that he actually looked pretty good for the first few rounds and didn't start losing untill he got noticably tired in the mid to late rounds. DLH has a history of coasting in the late rounds after building up a big lead in the first half. I can't help but think that a lack of serious training is a big part of this trend. DLH claims he didn't train very hard at all for the Sturm fight which is a typical excuse for a fighter that underachieves but if you look at the way he fought the first few rounds compared to the way he fought (and looked) in the late rounds you have to think he's telling the truth.
Here's the big questions in this fight...
CAN DLH train hard enough to fight the full 12 rounds?
WILL DLH train hard enough to fight the full 12 rounds?
DLH will have the quicker hands here so if he is in great shape and can stay active the entire fight, he has a very good chance of winning. But if he fades in the mid to late rounds, Hopkins (who will be in excellent shape) will beat the shit out of him and probably stop him. Hopkins already said he will force DLH to fight every minute of every round and I believe him.
The biggest risk in taking Hopkins is that if it goes to the cards who knows what the judges will come up with. Thats why I usually stay away from playing sides in mainstream fights.
gl bl
I still haven't pulled the trigger on Hopkins but its not because I think there will be a cheaper price later on. Alot of poeple are basing their opinions on DLH's performance against Sturm which I would agree was pathetic especially in the late rounds. They are saying that 160 is way too big for him based on that performance. The kicker here is that he actually looked pretty good for the first few rounds and didn't start losing untill he got noticably tired in the mid to late rounds. DLH has a history of coasting in the late rounds after building up a big lead in the first half. I can't help but think that a lack of serious training is a big part of this trend. DLH claims he didn't train very hard at all for the Sturm fight which is a typical excuse for a fighter that underachieves but if you look at the way he fought the first few rounds compared to the way he fought (and looked) in the late rounds you have to think he's telling the truth.
Here's the big questions in this fight...
CAN DLH train hard enough to fight the full 12 rounds?
WILL DLH train hard enough to fight the full 12 rounds?
DLH will have the quicker hands here so if he is in great shape and can stay active the entire fight, he has a very good chance of winning. But if he fades in the mid to late rounds, Hopkins (who will be in excellent shape) will beat the shit out of him and probably stop him. Hopkins already said he will force DLH to fight every minute of every round and I believe him.
The biggest risk in taking Hopkins is that if it goes to the cards who knows what the judges will come up with. Thats why I usually stay away from playing sides in mainstream fights.
gl bl
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I'm expecting Hopkins to go for the knockout. You know how paranoid he can be and I don't think he's going to allow it to go to the scorecards. I'm going to put a decent bit on Hopkins by KO at +209.
