When using the straight up winner to cover the spread I limit myself to games where the spread is 9 1/2 or less. In the last number of years it's been about 83%.
Last week:
GB W
TN P
CHI P
CINN W
MINN no play
N.O. L
STL no play
PITT W
NE W
SF W
JETS W
SEA W
OAK W
DALL L
8 W 2 L 2 P 2 no plays
Think TN and CHI were consensus pushes
NE covered.
Good luck, enjoy your posts.