Borrowed this from d3nv3r across the street:
Zcode NFL Public Fades - Week 5
Sweep! Another 3-0 ATS in Week 4 which improves our YTD to 10-2. Lets see if we can keep it going with a few potential plays for Week 5.The main strategy I want to implement is fading the public. Books are always looking to exploit public perception so hopefully we can find a few winners
by fading the public in a few heavily public-bet games. Obviously, this is written on Wednesday (10/4) so always
keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.
BUFFALO @ CINCINNATI
The Bills are coming off an impressive win over Atlanta and the public has taken notice.
This is a potential letdown spot for Buffalo after a big win and now having to travel to Cincinnati. The Bengals quietly got their first win of the season
and are in a great spot at home to give a big effort. Cincinnati -2.5 (5Dimes)
GREEN BAY @ DALLAS
Dallas laid a huge egg at home last week and the betting public has jumped off the band wagon.
While Green Bay has looked solid, they have played the Bengals and Bears in back to back weeks so the Cowboys will be a big upgrade in opponents.
Dallas, after a bad loss at home, will be hungry for a win and we should see a great effort from them. Dallas -1 (5Dimes)
KANSAS CITY @ HOUSTON
The Chiefs are the only undefeated team left in the league and the public is all aboard the KC train.
Winning on the road is hard in the NFL and, with a short week to prepare, this could be the week Kansas City picks up their first loss.
Houston, and Deshaun Watson, had a breakout win last week and will be riding a wave of momentum at home once again. Houston +1 (BetOnline)
Zcode NFL Public Fades - Week 5
Sweep! Another 3-0 ATS in Week 4 which improves our YTD to 10-2. Lets see if we can keep it going with a few potential plays for Week 5.The main strategy I want to implement is fading the public. Books are always looking to exploit public perception so hopefully we can find a few winners
by fading the public in a few heavily public-bet games. Obviously, this is written on Wednesday (10/4) so always
keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.
BUFFALO @ CINCINNATI
The Bills are coming off an impressive win over Atlanta and the public has taken notice.
This is a potential letdown spot for Buffalo after a big win and now having to travel to Cincinnati. The Bengals quietly got their first win of the season
and are in a great spot at home to give a big effort. Cincinnati -2.5 (5Dimes)
GREEN BAY @ DALLAS
Dallas laid a huge egg at home last week and the betting public has jumped off the band wagon.
While Green Bay has looked solid, they have played the Bengals and Bears in back to back weeks so the Cowboys will be a big upgrade in opponents.
Dallas, after a bad loss at home, will be hungry for a win and we should see a great effort from them. Dallas -1 (5Dimes)
KANSAS CITY @ HOUSTON
The Chiefs are the only undefeated team left in the league and the public is all aboard the KC train.
Winning on the road is hard in the NFL and, with a short week to prepare, this could be the week Kansas City picks up their first loss.
Houston, and Deshaun Watson, had a breakout win last week and will be riding a wave of momentum at home once again. Houston +1 (BetOnline)