How can Indy only be -3 at NE this week, when last year in the playoffs this line was also Indy -3? Last year Indy was not as good as they are this year and NE was better last year, than this year. Yet the line is the same? This makes no sense to me. I played the pats +3 last year and i will play the Pats + whatever this year, but this line just seems a little fishy to me. Looks like they are begging for Indy money and I'm sure they will get it.
Indy -3 at NE????
- Thread starter txag
- Start date
Agreed, big play on New England and a ML bet seems in order. NE will beat them silly, Indy has only played crummy teams this year. Furthermore, this is the best home dog I've seen all year.
kneifl
kneifl
gman2 said:
maybe because they're 7-0 ! I think its Indy's time...coming off a bye..Indy wants this so bad and the pats have so many injuries
puckfan said:
indy wants this so bad? how many times do we have to keep hearing this? they wanted it "real bad" last year too, right?
its not that i dont respect indy, but 2003 was supposed to be the year to beat new england. then 2004 was supposed to be the year to beat new england.
indy being 7-0 is not enough of a reason for them to be favored. i dont give a shit if they were 13-0. theres nothing that justifies them as a favorite in new england. colts could be laying points to any other team in the league and you cou can make a good case for it. but not new england
In Vegas it is 3 and a hook I think they are looking for New England money people will be drooling for a home dog like this
Giambi, the public hardly ever "drools over a homedog". I seriosuly doubt the public will hesitate when taking the 7-0 Colts -3, where all they have to do is win the game over the banged up Pats. A consensus site i look at already has over 1000 bets placed on the game and 70% on Indy. Watch the public fall for this trick once again thinking that this is the year the Colts beat the Pats in New England. Not happening.
txag said:
txag,
this says alot. you're smart enough to recognize it as fishy, but what is in bold is exactly what they average joe is thinking.
it's either NE or no play.
good luck to you.
I'll take NE and here's why...
1) its in Paytons head that he can't win up there
2) this year everyone who plays Indy defends against the deep ball and gives up the rushing yards .... really believe Pats will stuff the box and dare Indy to go deep
3) historically when these team met...Payton never seemed to attempt many long passes whether it was a lack of confidence or the play calling I'm not sure but that was their biggest strength and best chance for a win...think Dungy will continue with his current gameplan that has been successful so far but not this time
1) its in Paytons head that he can't win up there
2) this year everyone who plays Indy defends against the deep ball and gives up the rushing yards .... really believe Pats will stuff the box and dare Indy to go deep
3) historically when these team met...Payton never seemed to attempt many long passes whether it was a lack of confidence or the play calling I'm not sure but that was their biggest strength and best chance for a win...think Dungy will continue with his current gameplan that has been successful so far but not this time
the public is also alot more educated now a days I maybe wrong but also I believe they want the number to be enticing to both sides
This game is huge for the colts. Not saying they will win, but they have a extra week and have had this game circled for some time. Was all over N.E. last year in the playoffs not so sure this time.
Well I guess I will go contrary to the contrarians. I'll be on Indy. I also expect the public will be on Indy & the line is going to rise, so I locked it in today while I can still get the 3.
I have no argument with those who say Indy hasn't played anyone of quality yet. They are correct. Their schedule has been cheese. Indy is not as strong as their 7-0 record indicates...but they are the better side here.
The reason for my bet is the state of the Patriots at the moment. New England really has slipped a few notches. Their D is in shambles. Run or pass, Indy is versatile and if one way isn't working they can go the other...they have shown that this year.
The Pats struggled to beat Buffalo at home, and believe me, the Bills are weak. The Bills have the 2nd-worst run D in the league (ahead of only brutal Houston), and yet still the Pats were not able to generate any sort of running game against them. I have a lot more respect for Indy's run D, and I don't see the Pats getting it done on the ground.
I am also not a believer in "how bad they want it", but I really do feel Peyton & the gang will be ready for this one. Last year I was on NE + the pts @ home vs Indy in the playoffs and it was my largest play of the year. I just think the Pats are really teetering on the verge of falling apart and that if the Colts were ever going to win @ NE, it would be right now.
It's not always wrong to side with the public. I think they win one here.
I have no argument with those who say Indy hasn't played anyone of quality yet. They are correct. Their schedule has been cheese. Indy is not as strong as their 7-0 record indicates...but they are the better side here.
The reason for my bet is the state of the Patriots at the moment. New England really has slipped a few notches. Their D is in shambles. Run or pass, Indy is versatile and if one way isn't working they can go the other...they have shown that this year.
The Pats struggled to beat Buffalo at home, and believe me, the Bills are weak. The Bills have the 2nd-worst run D in the league (ahead of only brutal Houston), and yet still the Pats were not able to generate any sort of running game against them. I have a lot more respect for Indy's run D, and I don't see the Pats getting it done on the ground.
I am also not a believer in "how bad they want it", but I really do feel Peyton & the gang will be ready for this one. Last year I was on NE + the pts @ home vs Indy in the playoffs and it was my largest play of the year. I just think the Pats are really teetering on the verge of falling apart and that if the Colts were ever going to win @ NE, it would be right now.
It's not always wrong to side with the public. I think they win one here.
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As a biils fan, I really thought after watching SNF that the Pats have lost a step from last year. Loss of Harrison, Matt Light are huge. Status of Seymour will be key for this one.
Ive always bet on NE in the past - and big time in the playoffs last year at Foxboro. But now I just think its Indy's time. They really understand from prevous years that they need home field advantage to beat New england in the playoffs. Expecially off a bye, and their improved defense, I think Indy finally gets off the schnide here. I'm not conerned from point spread perspective, I just think Colts find a way to win this.
Ive always bet on NE in the past - and big time in the playoffs last year at Foxboro. But now I just think its Indy's time. They really understand from prevous years that they need home field advantage to beat New england in the playoffs. Expecially off a bye, and their improved defense, I think Indy finally gets off the schnide here. I'm not conerned from point spread perspective, I just think Colts find a way to win this.
Indy ROCKS NE this weekend...as for why is the line only -3, there are still plenty of folks out there still living off of the past and still believing they are Super Bowl caliber...Indy makes a BIG statement this weekend...
Personally I wouldn't touch this game til halftime.
Indy is wanting this real bad, but we all know how bad peyton can play when it is cold. I think the weather factor will be major in this. New England is definitely a little off this yr on their play calling. If thre is a snow storm or major cold new england is the play.
Right now no call for me.
Indy is wanting this real bad, but we all know how bad peyton can play when it is cold. I think the weather factor will be major in this. New England is definitely a little off this yr on their play calling. If thre is a snow storm or major cold new england is the play.
Right now no call for me.
Doesnt NE's secondary blow? How can Indy not take advantage of that? Was NE not impressive this past Sunday?
I dunno...It is a weird line since NE owns the Colts, but still....
Edit: What the over/under on hearing about Brusci during the game from Madden?
I dunno...It is a weird line since NE owns the Colts, but still....
Edit: What the over/under on hearing about Brusci during the game from Madden?
I talked with a guy ( a fellow sports bettor) a couple weeks ago and he believes when a line is -2 1/2 they are looking for money on the Favorite and when it is -3 1/2 they are looking for money on the dog I dunno how much truth there is in that but it does make sense (which is probably a bad thing) who knows
