Indy -3 at NE????

countinguy

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giambi said:
I talked with a guy ( a fellow sports bettor) a couple weeks ago and he believes when a line is -2 1/2 they are looking for money on the Favorite and when it is -3 1/2 they are looking for money on the dog I dunno how much truth there is in that but it does make sense (which is probably a bad thing) who knows


Don't waste ur time trying to decide what the books want us to think. Just watch the weather report, that will be the factor in the game.
 

smurphy

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Colts are undefeated but can't beat NE. That means something has got to give. Yeah - this game means a lot to Indy, but they will not be desperate. If anything the Pats may play with more urgency. Rather than guess the outcome I will prove to myself that I'm not a gambling addict and do the right thing --- NOT BET THIS ONE.


.....although I may sneak in an UNDER play if gets pushed high enough. :)
 

bombercoops

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Hard not to take the champs at home getting more than a FG against a team they have :mj122: in recent years. I know they have some injuries, but give me the pats and the hook!
 

thom24ad

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Colts cover

Colts cover

New England's run is over. I am sure this will come back to bite my in the ass but I think the Colts cover this one.
 

RTL

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The Colts will win this game by double digits. New England isn't committed to running the football. You can't beat this Indianapolis team by throwing the entire game. James will have a big game on the ground, and Manning will exploit the Patriots' decimated secondary when necessary. Don't get sucked into playing the Patriots as an attractive home dog. You will regret it big time!

RTL
 

edludes

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IMO the line is the same as last year to give people the impression that the result will be the same as usual up in foxboro ie a NE cover.All signs point to a changing of the guard and a Colts cover.See IE's Pinacle Pulse article about this game.
 

txag

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How many years have people been saying "this is the year the colts beat the patriots in new england"? i'll beleive it when i see it.
Pats + whatever i can get by gametime will be a rather large play for me.
 

chuckdman

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This is a tough game to guess. Colts traditionally struggle in NE. NE is banged up this year on defense. Colts D has been upgraded and are playing better defense, but, they have also played weaker teams to do this. When the played a few tough teams, defense looked just average.

I like the Colts in this spot basically for all the years of misery that NE put them through. NE on the other hand seems like they can turn on their offense at will. NE defense is banged up and Superman (Brusski (SP) will can't do everythign.

Tough game! Will wait till game time but.. like the colts in this spot! I got -3.5 so hopefully it goes down :s4:
 

MrChristo

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RTL said:
The Colts will win this game by double digits. New England isn't committed to running the football.

RTL

If you have a close look at NE's results so far you will see that's not quite true....

They have been beaten by Denver, SD and Carolina...3 of the top 5 rushing D's in the NFL...

...So I don't think that it's that they don't want to run...just they get beaten in the games that they can't.

Indi allow 4.5 y/carry (which is about 28th I think)...
..lI'm pretty confident that NE will score some points in this game, just a matter of whether their D can hold Indi in check.
 

GM

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*Bump*

Some good arguments here. Still quite sold on the Colts myself. Should be -4 everywhere, maybe -4? by kickoff I think. Not sure I like it as much at that #.
 

moe777

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giambi said:
I talked with a guy ( a fellow sports bettor) a couple weeks ago and he believes when a line is -2 1/2 they are looking for money on the Favorite and when it is -3 1/2 they are looking for money on the dog I dunno how much truth there is in that but it does make sense (which is probably a bad thing) who knows
if u bet that way this week u went 1-3.
minny -2.5 won
clev - 2.5 won
falcons - 2.5 won
eagles +3.5 loss...and mon night pats +3.5 ?..i think loss,pats are an average team right now.
 

giambi

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when the line opens not the ending line the lions were favored by 1 1/2 the browns were 3 the redskins were 1 1/2 the falcons were 3 these lines are from the stations casino in las vegas............. I am talkin the opening line to draw money, but hey I dunno if this is the case anyway I just passed on what I heard, but I do know the public is more educated or at least they think they are.......... like with the homedog 2-5-1 ATS so far this week.......I know sharps look for this but I feel the public tries to think like a sharp nowwith all of the tools available but really you just find your spots and play them...........nothing against this forum, one of the better ones out there, but many of the forums are really the public if you watch closely
 

IowaFats

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Maybe its just me... but have the Colts only played one decent team all year---Jax??? Colts schedule looks like one of the weakest I have ever seen.

NE schedule has been loaded so far. Oakland being the only non playoff team.

Not to mention I'll take Brady over Manning anyday.
 

Got5onIt

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I agree wtih an earlier post -> The play has to be New England or none. I'm hoping the line moves to Indy -4.5 or more. I'll be playiing NE if it does...
 

pt1gard

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one thing kinda stix in my mind, if Bills gave pats all the wanted, and couldnt win in oak or NO, is that the real pats???


granted Pats sched is 10xs more impressive than colts and pats lost first time as dog in denver in 9 games I believe ...

like colts but if they whiff I wont be shoked
 

PaTsJaMM

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Pats won't only cover but they'll win this game outright. The Colts have been padding their w/l record against some of the worst teams in the league.

They aren't playing the Texans this time.

Pats 24
Dolts 21
 

smurphy

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One thing is for sure - the Pats will show up. Last week, they were probably looking ahead to a certain extent. They are a better team than they showed. Plus - they NEED this game. They know they have to break away from .500 territory at some point to make the playoffs. Yeah - Indy has been looking for revenge for quite sometime, but they don't need this particular game nearly as much for their playoff picture.

I guess it all depends on how you look at it. I certainly like the odds of a team that has won in Pittsburgh and Atlanta at home against a team that they've owned the past few years and has not had a tough game yet this year.
 
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