North Carolina Vs Villlanova - KOD - Final Four

THE KOD

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Basketball - Saturday, April 04, 2009

North Carolina Spread -6 (-150)

(1? Point Buy) Game Buy Points

1777/1185

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THE KOD

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Tourney 2-1 + $ 751.00


Well I am going to go this way as I feel that North Carolina just has too many horses for Villanova to overcome.

If Cunningham gets in foul trouble this game is over early.

I am worried about Villanovas propensity to play strong in close games.

I am worried that Villanova makes all their fawking foul shots.

I do not like the Reynolds kid PG with Villanova. He is not consistant with his shots and with Lawson guarding him, it could be big trouble. Force Reynolds left and he is not the same player.

The downside of this is that if I lose, I will probably not be playing the final game. This is what happened to me last year and it pissed me off.

Too much firepower and height for NC.

I wanted for the last few days to take Villanova and the points.

Alot of thought and study put into this and I had to change that thinking.
 

THE KOD

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talktous.jpg

Pssst - KOD said the play is ............
 

THE KOD

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Point Guard
Villanova's Scottie Reynolds
Jr., 6-2, 195
Stats: 15.7 ppg, 3.3 apg


Expect to see Reynolds' floater with 0.5 seconds left against Pitt in the One Shining Moment montage. But despite his heroics, and 12.5 points per game in the tournament, Reynolds is still shooting 34.6 percent from the field in his last two games. :scared The way his counterpart is playing, cold-shooting could be costly.


North Carolina's Ty Lawson
Jr., 5-11, 195
Stats: 16.3 ppg, 6.5 apg, .485 three-point percentage


Reynolds may have the tourney's defining moment, but Lawson may be its defining player to this point. After missing the first round with a bum toe, Lawson has averaged 20.3 points and 6.6 assists in three games, hitting 7 of 11 threes and committing just two turnovers. His speed off the dribble alone makes him a tough defensive assignment, but the way he's shooting makes him that much scarier.

EDGE: North Carolina
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this could be the game winner right here.

I have not liked Reynolds game for quite awhile. I do not trust him to step up in a game like this.

On the other hand, Lawson with another week to heal his toe could be unstoppable.
 

THE KOD

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Can Villanova overcome its size disadvantage?

On paper, the Wildcats don't match up with the Tar Heels in the frontcourt. UNC has 6-foot-9 Tyler Hansbrough, 6-foot-8 Deon Thompson, 6-foot-10 Ed Davis and 7-foot Tyler Zeller as part of its rotation. Villanova often has 6-foot-8 Dante Cunningham as its only interior presence. So what the 'Cats must do is battle on the boards, play aggressive perimeter defense and, above all, make 3-pointers. What they should avoid is turning the game into a track meet, which is exactly what the Tar Heels want.

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Any team that has to make a shitload of 3 pointers in a Final four game is in trouble .
 
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THE KOD

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THE KOD

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Villanova will win if ... it plays its best game of the season. And that's assuming Carolina doesn't approach its best, either. The Wildcats run a guard-oriented offense, and Carolina has been susceptible on perimeter defense all season. Villanova loves to get out and run, but it has to be selective, because no team can run 40 minutes with the Tar Heels. The Cats have to protect the ball because Carolina turns mistakes into points better than anyone in the country.

North Carolina will if ... it gets production from at least one of its perimeter players. Villanova can't keep up with UNC's frontcourt, especially if Hansbrough rebounds from his poor showing against Oklahoma. If either Ellington or Green is knocking down shots, the Wildcats can't collapse their defense when the ball goes into the post. As long as one of them is on -- and at least one has in each game of the tournament -- the Heels' floor balance will wear down Villanova
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I smell money and it smells green !
 

THE KOD

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1. Get on the right side

2. Reduce your risk

3. Don't be a homer

3. Cash the ticket

4. no woman, no children


KOD
 

THE KOD

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Scottie Reynolds, G 34 Min

FG 6-18

3 pointers 3-11 :scared

Total points 17
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I hate it when its that easy
 
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