1/12

[Smitty]

nothing complicated here. i still don't think this buffalo team is any good, but denver ain't the team to give them trouble. rookie qb on the road... i'll lay the points.

Buffalo (-8) 2X
1Q Over (9.5) 2.4 to win 2
Nix INT 2.9 to win 2. Bills are 5th in the league with 16 INTs.
Nix rushing yards over (27.5) 3X (this already moved up to 28.5 in the last 5 minutes, and i see 29.5(-130) at another book.)
Parlay Buffalo (-2.5)/Over (44.5) 2 to win 2.1

 

[Smitty]

one interesting thing to watch for this first game... denver led the league with 63 sacks but allen took (by far) the fewest sacks (14) of any qb who played every game. next was jackson with 23.

 

[rocky mountain]

I'm expecting lots of points through execution and 4th down gos from both teams. A couple big turnovers would help as well. Think that Bo and Payton have a strong working relationship and ge will be up for the challenge to get points but I have Buffalo to cover.

 

[ejthree]

I have over in this game but I don’t understand the line movement. Obviously must be sharp money as I would think most of public dough on Buffalo ? GL Smitty that being said 35-24 Bills 👍🏾

 

[rocky mountain]

I have over in this game but I don’t understand the line movement. Obviously must be sharp money as I would think most of public dough on Buffalo ? GL Smitty that being said 35-24 Bills 👍🏾

We're the sharps! It all about about numbers and execution. They just executed a quick 7 EJ

 

[LordofBalls]

great call on ov 9.5 1Q smitty.... I hardly ever play "quarters" action (but played "live" ov 14.5 after Denver TD

there's no wind right now, qbs having no probs

 

[Smitty]

well, nix TRIED to throw an INT. it just hit the ground a foot in front of the d back. and, wow, allen just flat-out missed open receivers on back-to-back plays before they settled for a fg.

don't love the 2nd game, but taking a stand against Philadelphia (sorry, Rocky). Plus, GB hasn't lost a game away from home by more than 5 all year. and GB is no stranger to road playoff games, having played 2 last year.

as anyone who reads Nolan Dalla knows, Philly struggled to score in the first quarter most of the year (and last year, too). they did break out of that the last 4 games, including 2 with Hurts. but with Hurts rusty, i'm looking for that to continue today.

GB (+5.5) 2X
GB (ML) 1X
Under (46) 2X
GB 1Q (+.5) 3 to win 2
Love INT 3.4 to win 2

 

[Smitty]

on paper, the late game looks like a shootout. kinda doesn't even matter who TB is playing... they can score, but also give up a lot of points. that said, this total hasn't moved much.

maybe daniels is going to really struggle. maybe mayfield throws 4 INTs. i don't know, but i gotta bet against TB and, *sigh*, i gotta go under.

TB (ML) 2 to win 2.7
Under (51.5) 4.2 to win 4
Ertz TD 2 to win 5
Otten TD 3 to win 7.8