Lets get to it.
Nebraska +6.5 (Tex.). Nebraska ML +224.
----- I realize I am going to be in the minority on this one, and thats fine.
Personally, I think the Huskers knock off the 'Horns on Saturday. There is an entertaining thread on this game where people were debating reasons to play Nebraska... And one was that Vegas is begging for UT money... I dont think that theory has any validity. I think they will get UT money, because people enjoy wagering on Top 5 teams, but the line is where I expected it to be, pretty much (actually thought it would be something close to Nebraska +4.5 or 5).
No, the reason for my play is simply because I think UT is very overrated, and I think Nebraska is underrated. I dont necesarily think that Nebraska is the better team... but I think it is close... and I think with the homefield advantage they get the W.
I like the UT defense, and I think they can get pressure on Taylor... but I like him as a QB. I havent seen him rush through his progressions to often, nor force the ball. I think its going to take more than a few big hits to rattle him.
I also like the balance that Nebraska brings. Callahan tries to keep the offense around 50/50, and I think he can keep UT's superior defense offguard.
I also like the fact that McCoy, who has an outstanding 18/3 ratio, will be playing his first road game... in front of a crowd that will be going nuts. UT has played all their games in Texas this year... 2 at neutral sites. If the Huskers can shake him, its going to be a long day for the Horns. UT has had a balanced offense so far this season, as well... if Nebraska gets a lead and they turn one dimensional, its going to spell problems.
Oklahoma St. -3 (TAMU)
--- Texas A&M is a strange team. They are ranked, and yet have only beat one decent team, last week at home against Mizzou.
To me, ironically, I see this game a lot like I do last week when Mizzou traveled to TAMU. You have a very overrated ranked visitor playing an unheralded team playing in front of a pysched stadium...
I thought TAMU was in a near must-win spot last week... and I think the same for OSU this week. They are 4-2... but 3 of their last 4 games are against Texas, Nebraska, and Oklahoma. They need to win this one to keep their postseason dreams alive, and I expect them to.
OSU is a very underrated team... I like what I have seen of them. They showed a lot of character last week when they were getting demolished at KU, 17-0 in the 3rd quarter, and then just opened up the floodgates on offense... winning 42-32. Reid is very good.
I am leaning toward Mizzou against KSU... but I want to go over that game some more. I also may have a play in the TT-ISU game.
For those who care... my take on the Baylor-KU game...
---- You cant predict anything KU will do. It is impossible. They could win this game by 21 or lose this game by 21, and no one on campus would even be remotely surprised. They are a strange team, but also the single most frustrating team to follow in the history of sport.
I think there are a lot of things that point to Baylor as a solid play...
1.) KU's secondary has been AWFUL. AWFUL AWFUL AWFUL. They give up big plays like they are going out of style. KU would be 7-0 right now if they had stopped one big play in each of their games (2 against OSU). And ALL of those plays came in the passing game.
2.) Baylor's strength is? Drumroll... their passing attack. They are going to spread KU out and force them to play dime... and KU only has one competant CB. This could spell trouble.
3.) KU has been awful on the road for a long, long time.
I cant play Baylor, and cant even recomend them, for 2 reasons:
1.) KU plays better when they are in must-win situations. This is one of them. If KU falls to 3-5, they are out of bowl possibilities. They know they need this one. Last year, they were also 3-4, left for dead, and ended up ripping off 3 of 4 to make a bowl... with quality wins.
2.) KU should be 7-0. I'll keep saying it. They led in the 2nd half in all 4 games they lost, and most of them were deep in the 2nd half. They keep finding ways to implode at the end of games... but Mangino is a decent coach, and I would think this would eventually be remedied. Put another way, KU has outplayed all 7 teams they have played this year... they just happen to be 3-4. Does that make them a good team to bet on or against in the future? No idea... probably best to just stay away from them. Thats my best advice.
GL this week fellas.
Nebraska +6.5 (Tex.). Nebraska ML +224.
----- I realize I am going to be in the minority on this one, and thats fine.
Personally, I think the Huskers knock off the 'Horns on Saturday. There is an entertaining thread on this game where people were debating reasons to play Nebraska... And one was that Vegas is begging for UT money... I dont think that theory has any validity. I think they will get UT money, because people enjoy wagering on Top 5 teams, but the line is where I expected it to be, pretty much (actually thought it would be something close to Nebraska +4.5 or 5).
No, the reason for my play is simply because I think UT is very overrated, and I think Nebraska is underrated. I dont necesarily think that Nebraska is the better team... but I think it is close... and I think with the homefield advantage they get the W.
I like the UT defense, and I think they can get pressure on Taylor... but I like him as a QB. I havent seen him rush through his progressions to often, nor force the ball. I think its going to take more than a few big hits to rattle him.
I also like the balance that Nebraska brings. Callahan tries to keep the offense around 50/50, and I think he can keep UT's superior defense offguard.
I also like the fact that McCoy, who has an outstanding 18/3 ratio, will be playing his first road game... in front of a crowd that will be going nuts. UT has played all their games in Texas this year... 2 at neutral sites. If the Huskers can shake him, its going to be a long day for the Horns. UT has had a balanced offense so far this season, as well... if Nebraska gets a lead and they turn one dimensional, its going to spell problems.
Oklahoma St. -3 (TAMU)
--- Texas A&M is a strange team. They are ranked, and yet have only beat one decent team, last week at home against Mizzou.
To me, ironically, I see this game a lot like I do last week when Mizzou traveled to TAMU. You have a very overrated ranked visitor playing an unheralded team playing in front of a pysched stadium...
I thought TAMU was in a near must-win spot last week... and I think the same for OSU this week. They are 4-2... but 3 of their last 4 games are against Texas, Nebraska, and Oklahoma. They need to win this one to keep their postseason dreams alive, and I expect them to.
OSU is a very underrated team... I like what I have seen of them. They showed a lot of character last week when they were getting demolished at KU, 17-0 in the 3rd quarter, and then just opened up the floodgates on offense... winning 42-32. Reid is very good.
I am leaning toward Mizzou against KSU... but I want to go over that game some more. I also may have a play in the TT-ISU game.
For those who care... my take on the Baylor-KU game...
---- You cant predict anything KU will do. It is impossible. They could win this game by 21 or lose this game by 21, and no one on campus would even be remotely surprised. They are a strange team, but also the single most frustrating team to follow in the history of sport.
I think there are a lot of things that point to Baylor as a solid play...
1.) KU's secondary has been AWFUL. AWFUL AWFUL AWFUL. They give up big plays like they are going out of style. KU would be 7-0 right now if they had stopped one big play in each of their games (2 against OSU). And ALL of those plays came in the passing game.
2.) Baylor's strength is? Drumroll... their passing attack. They are going to spread KU out and force them to play dime... and KU only has one competant CB. This could spell trouble.
3.) KU has been awful on the road for a long, long time.
I cant play Baylor, and cant even recomend them, for 2 reasons:
1.) KU plays better when they are in must-win situations. This is one of them. If KU falls to 3-5, they are out of bowl possibilities. They know they need this one. Last year, they were also 3-4, left for dead, and ended up ripping off 3 of 4 to make a bowl... with quality wins.
2.) KU should be 7-0. I'll keep saying it. They led in the 2nd half in all 4 games they lost, and most of them were deep in the 2nd half. They keep finding ways to implode at the end of games... but Mangino is a decent coach, and I would think this would eventually be remedied. Put another way, KU has outplayed all 7 teams they have played this year... they just happen to be 3-4. Does that make them a good team to bet on or against in the future? No idea... probably best to just stay away from them. Thats my best advice.
GL this week fellas.
