12/20 Bowl Games

Smitty

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Cure Bowl

thank you, ohio bobcats, for keeping it simple. as of noon today, allegedly ohio is the only team with NOBODY in the portal. huzzah!

ok, i think i came to the same conclusion last year... nobody knows which players in the portal are playing in the bowl game. well, a few do, but they ain't talking. jax st has 6 starters in the portal, including 4 defensive backs. i read that last year, the jax st players in the portal did not play the bowl game. BUT... the same article mentioned that "a report has surfaced that some of the players in the portal could play this season." super fucking helpful.

ohio does most of their damage on the ground. their RBs are solid, but not spectacular. QB Navarro is their most effective runner, averaging 6.5 yds/carry. when teams focus too much on the run, navarro has also been very good throwing the ball. he averages 8.1 yds/att. however, he has 12 TDs and 10 INTs. he'll be happy to see the jax st starting defensive secondary sitting this one out.

jax st is very good offensively. QB Huff transferred in from furman (FU!!) and had a very good year, averaging 8.4 yards/att. he's also a good runner, averaging 6,2 yards/rush. his 215 carries were topped only by tre stewart, who had a fine year. he averaged 6.2 yds on 264 carries, and added 200 yards on 15 catches (13.3/reception, pretty damn good for a RB). those two are the only gamecocks with more than 36 carries this year.

jax st also does most of their damage on the ground, averaging 5.7 yds/carry (7th in the country). they run for 267 yards/game, second only to Army. ohio was almost equally impressive against the run, allowing 3.2 yds/carry (13th).

both teams lost their head coach for the bowl game.

jax st played one MAC team this year, losing in 2OT at EMU. Ohio rolled past EMU 35-10.

the line has been bet up. ohio was -2 when i first saw it last week. now they're -5.

my allergy to favorites is really kicking in. i want to play the gamecocks. ohio was impressive in the MAC championship game, and may be a little overvalued now (same could easily be said for jax st). however, jax st got their first bowl win last year and their first FBS conference championship this year. they may be more concerned with who is following dickrod to WVU than beating the bobcats.

ohio (-5) 2X
over (56.5) 2X
ohio TT over (30.5) 3.9 to win 3

at this point, i don't think i'll get a chance to do a write-up for the gasparilla bowl. and after a quick glance, i don't want to spend any time on it anyways. i know tulane is starting the equipment manager at qb. still thinking about a small bet on tulane on the ML. tulane has been very solid the last couple years and i'm expecting florida to pull the typical sec-disappearing act in a meaningless bowl game.
 
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ejthree

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I have them both, Let's go Smitty. Oh, do the kids take the sex slaves with them on vaca lolol
 

Smitty

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ok, just watched the first half. pretty good start for ohio.

last night i ended up putting these in:

tulane (+10.5) 2X
tulane ML 1 to win 3.4
UF TT under (30.5) 1X

almost definitely going to be on indiana tonight. hope to get a chance to dig in a little, but not sure.
 
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Smitty

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and...just watched the 2nd half. ya know, just once it'd be nice not to get anally raped on this shit. a fucking missed extra point? and a team that scored 4 TDs in the first half can only score 3 points the 2nd half? you can't make this shit up, because nobody would believe it.

i'm going to repeat something i've said for years... i don't need good luck to make money at this, i just need to avoid bad luck.
 

Smitty

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Baseball is not as sexy as football 🙁
i know somebody who would disagree...

flexing minnesota twins GIF by MLB
Home Run Sport GIF by New York Mets
Grilling Bartolo Colon GIF by Kingsford Charcoal
 
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rocky mountain

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and...just watched the 2nd half. ya know, just once it'd be nice not to get anally raped on this shit. a fucking missed extra point? and a team that scored 4 TDs in the first half can only score 3 points the 2nd half? you can't make this shit up, because nobody would believe it.

i'm going to repeat something i've said for years... i don't need good luck to make money at this, i just need to avoid bad luck.
Bad was understatement for this one. Brutal.
 

Smitty

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and, thanks to florida scoring on a 4th down play that they fumbled... they are over their TT. small bet, but just another fucking.

alright, time to get to work on the late game.
 

ejthree

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and, thanks to florida scoring on a 4th down play that they fumbled... they are over their TT. small bet, but just another fucking.

alright, time to get to work on the late game.
I'm over 50 in this game but not crazy bout it but do believe for Hoosiers to cover got to go high. Notre Dame to me a playoff live dog getting NO ink.
 

Smitty

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ok, pretty much the only question that matters... is indiana for real? i may be in the minority, but i think they are. hey, they beat both teams that played in the NC last year! ok, ok, maybe michigan and UW have dropped off a bit. but the real test was the game at ohio st. late in the 1st half, the game was tied 7-7 and indiana was punting from their 30. the punter dropped the snap, giving ohio st the ball at the 7. a few plays later, ohio st had a 14-7 halftime lead. obviously, that can be absolutely demoralizing to a team in a game like that. especially being their first game on the big stage. so we'll never know, but if that game went to halftime 7-7, indiana probably doesn't come out of halftime flat (they went 3-and-out and gave up a punt return TD, followed by another 3-and-out and a long ohio st TD drive).

at least they have gained some experience on the big stage on the road. we'll see if it helps when they face adversity tonight.

ND is 3rd in the country, averaging 6.3 yards/rush. but indiana only allows 2.5/rush, which is 2nd in the country. that's going to be key for indiana, making leonard throw the ball.

both teams are in the top 4 defending the pass. ND allows 5.6 yards/att and indiana allows 5.7. rourke averaged an impressive 9.9 yards/att, but really struggled against ohio st (8 of 18 for 68 yards). he'll need to be better tonight (duh).

i like riley leonard, but i feel like if the game is close, he may make a bad decision. that's a big IF though.

indiana's kicker is solid (9 of 10 on the season), but they haven't asked much of him. his long is only 41 yards.

ND's kicker had a rough year. making only 6 of 12 (4 of 9 from 30+yards).

alright, it's getting close to kickoff, so time to do this.

indiana (+7) 4X
Indiana ML 1 to win 2.2
indiana 1Q (+3) 5 to win 4
indiana 1H (+3.5) 4X
over (50.5) 3X
 

Smitty

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rooting for ya Smitty!
I've got Indy 1Q and Gm.. think I'll par ML and Over just for lil bit!

GL
atta boy. brace yourself though... i've already taken a couple shitty beats today. can't wait to see what happens in this game.

oh, one point i forgot to include... there will be some wind tonight. gusts in the mid-teens. may or may not be enough to make a difference.
 

rocky mountain

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atta boy. brace yourself though... i've already taken a couple shitty beats today. can't wait to see what happens in this game.

oh, one point i forgot to include... there will be some wind tonight. gusts in the mid-teens. may or may not be enough to make a difference.
From your info it seems to me that you may have went under in the game. Interesting! Good luck Smitty.
 
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