2010 playoffs

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Some numbers that I'll be using for the party:

REDS
----
vsL .779 H20-7 A13-15
vsR .772 H29-25 A29-24
post AS .768
sept .750 w4.2per
L7days .806 w4.2per
H .796
A .754
day .744
night .791
BP 75

PHILLIES
--------
vsL .767 H13-13 A15-7
vsR .736 H41-17 A28-28
post AS .755
sept .827 w5.3per
L7days .802 w6.8per
H .763
A .727
day .734
night .750
BP 73

BRAVES
------
vsL .719 H18-9 A10-18
vsR .749 H38-16 A25-28
post AS .743
sept .678 w3.4per
L7days .748 w3.8per
H .771
A .711
day .786
night .715
BP 80

GIANTS
------
vsL .716 H12-12 A12-8
vsR .734 H37-20 A31-30
post AS .727
sept .697 w3.7per
L7days .744 w3.3per
H .745
A .715
day .707
night .742
BP 82

RANGERS
-------
vsL .718 H15-11 A13-12
vsR .772 H36-19 A26-30
post AS .743
sept .746 w4.9per
L7days .695 w3.9per
H .800
A .716
day .707
night .775
BP 79

RAYS
----
vsL .733 H18-10 A18-10
vsR .737 H31-22 A29-24
post AS .724
sept .761 w5.1per
L7days .471 w2per
H .726
A .745
day .741
night .734
BP 80

YANKEES
-------
vsL .790 H17-12 A14-15
vsR .784 H35-17 A29-23
post AS .784
sept .748 w4.7per
L7days .723 w5.2per
H .832
A .742
day .807
night .774
BP 78

TWINS
-----
vsL .736 H16-9 A16-15
vsR .775 H37-19 A25-25
post AS .762
sept .707 w5.1per
L7days .596 w3.4per
H .776
A .750
day .759
night .764
BP 76

==========

Any .xxx numbers are OPS, which I believe to be the most important offensive (if you're really sensitive) stat available. Records vs L and R are also shown, home and away. The only pitching mentioned above are some relative bullpen ratings, which are debatable but what isn't; short and long relief isn't reflected but should be rather important in the mayhem to follow...e.g. I'd trust Mau and Soriano in the 9th a hell of a lot more than I would Lidge.

==========

Looking at the following for games #1, though future adjustments are pending:
(BTW...looks like health issues aren't a major factor anywhere, but if I'm wrong about this then let me know)

wed oct6 5:05
951-952
PHIL 67%(-201)even -1.5 53%(+117)+6
ov7 65%(+106)+16

wed oct6 1:35
953-954
TB 55%(-123)-1
un7 53%(-120)-2

wed oct6 8:35
955-956
nyy 52%(-133)-6
ov7 62%(-125)+6

thurs oct7 9:35
957-958
SF 64%(-150)+4
un6.5 53%(+102)+3


Based on the preceding I don't know what to do for #1's. Best value might be cin-Phil over but I'd much rather try the Phil team total over a 4 if it becomes available...ump news--closer to gametime--wouldn't hurt as well. BTW, all game #1 starters have good numbers vs, only exception being Price vs tex, in 4 GS, though his 2 vs at Tropicana have been decent.

Only futures I'm currently considering are Phils for NL pennant at -126 and rangers series over TB at +128.
I guess I have app.50 hours available to procrastinate some more.


GL
Enjoy


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[EXTRAPOLATER]

Guess I saved me about 49 hours...

rangers series +128 1/1.28
Phillies NL pennant -126 2.52/2
-


---just a hunch on the texas thing; rangers BP can compete and SP's Lee and Wilson can, as well, with Price and Garza, really the only 4 SP's of the lot that I can trust; Rays O hasn't impressed me, this year, and beyond the solid pitching efforts I'm not sure that they have enough...they've had more mojo, lately, than tex, mind you
---Phils top 3 in rotation can't be matched this postseason and the O has been rejuvenated the past month or so; SF's SP's and BP--if they meet--could make things interesting...I'd feel a little better if Kendrick and Lidge took a vacation but I still think it looks like smooth sailing for the Phils into the Series...I guess that they'd have home-field, as well, against Hendrix-knows-who.


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[EXTRAPOLATER]

g#1 Phillies score first -112 1.12/1
1st5 Phillies -0.5 -126 1.26/1
Phillies -1.5 +117 1/1.17
Phillies ov4 -110 1.1/1
-

---loading up the basket with some more eggs in Philly; reds can certainly score on anybody and do have first AB's, but I think that a couple of zeros--hopefully only 1 needed--from Doc can cash the score first prop; Volquez hasn't been good on the road this year--in a small sample of 5 (only GS at Citizens Bank was a solid showing back in '08)--while Doc has been as consistent as they come the past half-decade or longer...something I've gotten to witness first-hand on many an occasion so certainly bias might be affecting present riskage


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[EXTRAPOLATER]

thurs 2:35
959-960
tex 54%(+112)+6
ov8 58%(-119)+3

thurs 605
961-962
nyy 51%(-115)-3
ov8.5 56%(-131)-1

No reason to change SF call, above, methinks.
Similar lack of value at a total of 9 at Target, available some places.


g#2 1st5 rangers +109 1/1.09
rangers +112 0.89/1
rangers ov4 +100 1/1
-


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what's up, Doc? :0074 :0008

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

gonna push my luck with a couple of 'longshots':

g#1 prop Giants score 1st & win +178 0.56/1
P2 g#1 Giants / g#2 Phillies +151 0.66/1

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

was last minute so wanted to post before the barkeep cut me off.
can' be complete with the following, though:


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what can you do?
maybe try the strangers to defuse, if such matchup doesn't not happen

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

friday oct 8

PHIL 63%(-190)-3
ov7 60%(-115)+6

SF 53%(n/a)
un7 52%(n/a)


---Oswalt vg vs incl.23-3, was pretty good vs Apr.29 at Minute Maid and then shit vs July 24th at MM, losing both times...he's 5-0 at CitBank this year and 9-0 there career in 10, not to mention being great since with Philly and finishing the year very strong; Arroyo poor vs in 7+1 incl.1-5 with no meetings this year and shit in only @CitBank in '08...he was very good in his last 4 to finish the reggae; ump Dreckman is even; light wind expected left to right at 12mph or out to extreme right at 11mph depending on which weather channel info is correct
---Hanson good home vs '09(W) and even better home vs Aug6 (no decision 7ip as team lost 3-2)...he was good in 2 California starts, particularly at Petco (no surprise, there) and very good to close the season...he also took a ball in the noggin', near his right eye, last night during batting practice (apparently off the plate and whoops!...) but was last reported to be a-okay and should start...Hudson nearly untouchable at Turner so I figure he'll be held back for #3; Cain so-so vs in 5 (incl.2-2) and nothing special @Aug7th in his only '10 vs (L)...very good at home though shit in his last vs sd after a very good run; ump Nauert basically even or slight under-lean via historical stats; light wind out to center/slightly right of center at 10mph forecasted

I already have a piece of Philly, with surviving parlay. Over is tempting but both SP's have been sharp lately and reds O chilled in September not to mention the deep freeze in #1...was Hirschbeck behind the plate and as mentioned elsewhere...

Tough call AT&T. atl tempting if big dog but likely only small dog, judging by g#1 line.

Lines opened for Sat but I'm not 'capping them until tomorrow. Lean rays at the + or, maybe better, over the 9...not a believer in Lewis and Garza has been poor at Rangers Ballpark, including 1 this year, and not so hot on the road all season including recent thrashings at both Fenway and Yankee Stadium. rays O will need some smelling salts and I wonder about the health of Longoria.
Likely pass at Yankee Stadium or maybe again try an over9...I'll have to look into the weather and other shit but ump Gibson has historically been an over-ump, just don't tell that to his 7-24 o-u mark this year (low K% though, as always).


Stop the presses.
Maple Leafs are undefeated!


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[EXTRAPOLATER]

sat oct 9

5:07 est
TEX 55%(-127)-1
ov9 60%(+109)+12

8:37 est
NYY 61%(-172)-3
ov9 65%(+100)+15

tb@Tex ov9 +109 1.2/1.31
min@Nyy ov9 +100 2/2
twins ov3.5 -117 1.17/1
-

---Garza, decent vs for career in 9, was crap at June 6th (still stole a W) and later very good home vs Aug17 (again W)...not so hot on the road this year, he finished with 2 pretty good starts vs weak opponents after 3 shit starts vs very good ones; Lewis shit vs in 2+1 (though 2-0) with no '10 meetings...he was good at home and good to finish, in short outings; ump Meals is even; forecasted mild wind in from right at 7mph
---lefty Duensing crap vs in small relief sample (6.2ip) with the majority happening '10...he was good on the road but finished with 3 poor starts after a good run; Hughes pretty good vs in 1+2 with no '10 meetings...he was mediocre at home and finished with a good start and relief appearance, both vs bosox, after a poor run...he was quite wild in 2 of his last 3 (and 4 of last 6) starts which could be a problem with Gibson behind the plate as he has a smallish zone; wind forecasted out to right at 12mph

Can't seem to pull the trigger on the 1st5 overs, yet, which seems odd considering that I think that Sat's SP's are (slightly) weaker than the BP's for all 4 teams.


New Joe Satriani disc--released this past week--sounds pretty cool. He used to teach guitar and actually had Steve Vai and Kirk Hammett among his students. Not much av on metube, yet, but here's a mellower track that's pretty cool...
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[EXTRAPOLATER]

Spent a few days out of town for the NortherN thaNksgiviNg thingee.
Hendrix bless the harvest.

Decided I wouldn't post my record until I lost one but my last post--Saturday--granted me imperfection.

pending:
rangers series +128 1/1.28
Phillies NL pennant -126 2.52/2
-
8-2-2 +5.09
-
ml:1-0 +1.0 (fave: ) (dogs:1-0 +1.0)
rl:1-0 +1.17 (-xxx: ) (+yyy:1-0 +1.17)
1st5:2-0 +2.09 (fave:1-0 +1.0) (dogs:1-0 +1.09)
totals:0-1-1 -2.0 (ov:same)
team tot:1-1-1 -0.17 (ov:same)
parlays:1-0 +1.0
props:2-0 +2.0
-

tues 8:05
985 tex (Lee-L)
986 TB (Price-L)
tex 51%(+107)+2
ov6.5 55%(-113)+1

---see above notes for g#1 for (my) word on SP's vs etc...g#1 results should be known by all attempting the game or spend your money otherwise; only thoughts to add, here, are that the rangers hit much better at night during the reg.season while TB hit slightly worse at night, and this is the first nightcap of the series...also have mojo flipped from first 2 games but a 2-game streak is far from intractably virtuous; ump Kellogg is even; played in a dome barring a really bad hurricane; Lee fantastic career in playoffs but Price very tough to beat at the Trop...looks like flip a coin time, here

I already have the rangers series so my stake is hopefully well done, as opposed to rare. Tempted by tex ov3 but -125 will force me to pass (though not to Moss).

That g#1 between Doc and the Freak should be a real horror show if you like a lot of offense. If you love great pitching--like myself--then we will be in heaven. Wouldn't surprise me to see a 5.5 (6 at most, I figure), despite the ballpark. Game is Saturday but I might 'cap sooner rather than later. No rush, really...plenty of time.


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[EXTRAPOLATER]

LCS

LCS

so far:
pending:
Phillies NL pennant -126 2.52/2
-
9-2-2 +6.37
-
ml:1-0 +1.0 (fave: ) (dogs:1-0 +1.0)
rl:1-0 +1.17 (-xxx: ) (+yyy:1-0 +1.17)
1st5:2-0 +2.09 (fave:1-0 +1.0) (dogs:1-0 +1.09)
totals:0-1-1 -2.0 (ov:same)
team tot:1-1-1 -0.17 (ov:same)
parlays:1-0 +1.0
props:2-0 +2.0
futures:1-0 +1.28 (series:same)
-
system sides:8-3 (60%+:4-0)
system totals:4-6-1 (ov:2-5-1) (un:2-1)
-


1st round numbers:
(AB R HR OPS)
NYY
vsL 50 8 1 .805
vsR 55 9 3 .920
H 33 6 2 1.025
A 72 11 2 .792
day n/a
night 105 17 4 .865
total:105 17/3G=5.7per 4 .865
BP:7ip 1.29era 1.43whip

TEX
vsL 58 8 2 .741
vsR 116 13 6 .713
H 66 5 3 .662
A 108 16 5 .760
day 137 16 7 .721
night 37 5 1 .730
total:174 21/5G=4.2per 8 .722
BP:13.2ip 5.27era 1.54whip

SF
vsL 27 2 0 .741 (vs BP only)
vsR 105 9 2 .545
H 66 5 1 .620
A 66 6 1 .547
day 36 3 0 .595
night 96 8 2 .578
total:132 11/4G=2.7per 2 .583
BP:9ip 4.00era 1.00whip

PHIL
vsL 27 3 0 .456 (vs BP only)
vsR 72 10 1 .617
H 64 11 0 .559
A 35 2 1 .593
day n/a
night 99 13 1 .574
total:99 13/3=4.3per 1 .574
BP:4ip 0.00era 0.75whip


g#1 fri oct 15 8:05est
901-902 (Sabathia-L/Wilson-L)
nyy 55%(-144)-5 TEX 45%(+136)+2
ov8 62%(-106)+10

g#1 sat oct 16 7:55est
903-904 (Lincecum/Halladay)
PHIL 56%(-168)-7 sf 44%(+158)+5
un6 58%(-118)+3

---Sabathia so-so vs in 14(8-3/4.29/.272)incl6@(4-2/4.71/.279)...very good vs in 1 at home '10 Apr16...good road in 18...a bit erratic to end the season and so-so in g#1 at Minny; Wilson so-so vs in 3GS+17relief...was nothing special @NY April 16th then later pretty good at home vs Aug10 and finally shit at home vs Sept10...good home in 19 incl.11-3 record...pretty solid to end the season and was great in g#2 at TB; very mild wind of 3mph blowing out to left forecasted
---Lincecum good vs in 7 incl.vg H vs Apr28...good in 3 at CitBank (though 0-1)...good road in 16 and very good to end season and in g#1 vs Braves; Halladay poor vs in 3 (incl.0-2) including @AT&T Apr26th...good home in 18 and fantastic his past 2 after a so-so run; strong wind blowing in from left at 22mph forecasted

Got some ump word but gonna submit before something goofy like a power outage funks me.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

I believe that the crew chiefs started behind home plate in the division series so I expect the same will hold here. They've been named, along with the crews.

ALCS: crew chief Gerry Davis, who has one of the smaller strike zones of available umps.
Brian Gorman, Angel Hernandez, Fieldin Culbreth, Jim Reynolds and Tony Randazzo round out his crew.
Gorman is an under-ump while Reynolds is an over-ump. I can't recall the rest but believe them to be pretty much even.

NLCS: Derryl Cousins crew chief. Pretty much even but not the largest strike zone of the bunch, though wildness is rarely a problem for either Doc or the Freak.
Tom Hallion, Wally Bell, Ted Barrett, Jeff Nelson and Dan Iassogna round out his crew.
Bell and Nelson are decent under-umps while the remaining are pretty much even.

Umps not factored into the system calls, above. I'll factor in slightly if the ump seems relevant but this year the umps seem to be making less of a difference than in year's past, leaving aside the several blown calls we've seen.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

TEX series +155 1/1.55
nyy@TEX ov8 -106 1.06/1
TEX ov3.5 -113 1/0.88
prop TEX 1st HR +120 0.5/0.6
prop TEX score 1st +155 0.64/1
-


I should just try the Rangers ml but I figure that the series play was more enticing--Tex takes down C.C. and they'll be looking pretty good...could still take the series even with an L in #1 (obviously). Anyway, if I wanted to try 'em g#1 I think I'd try the alternate runline at Tex -1.5 (+270)--their best chance to win, here, would be with a cushion. Also thought about a score in the 1st, but +111 is a bit low and it's hard to say how they'll come out of the gates...ov3 H+R+E in 1st, at +139, might be a better option. ov27.5 HRE (+107) a fleeting thought but that cashes and the over should as well. Can't find a solid player-vs-player prop but looks best with (for TBases) Jeter>Young -108, Andrus>Swisher +107 and N.Cruz>Cano -113...that last one is a bit of a turn-on, with the way he's been hitting (incl.3 HR vs TB), but I'm in deep enough with this g#1.

Still working on Sat's possibilities.
BTW, I wouldn't read too much into that Lincecum blister situation--it will be 9 days between starts for him and these hi-grade medical staffs should be well equipped to deal with so common a problem. Just my 3 cents.


Some new David Gilmour just came out. Playing with The Orb, whoever they are (some ambient, techno-geeks, apparently). Heard the disc once and wasn't too impressed...I'll give it another shot eventually. Here's a taste:
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Or, to better keep your neighbours on their toes:
(piss-off spellchecker...I'm Canadian, aye?)
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[EXTRAPOLATER]

Geez...ump Davis with a small strike zone looking like an understatement after that one. Nice moves, there, Mr.Washington. Guess I can't complain. Dagnabbit!


g#2 4:07pm.est
nyy 58%(?-125)+2
ov9 56%(?-115)+2

My book refusing to give me an overnight--lines are from former book thegreek.

---Hughes great vs in 2+1, all @RangBP (GS in '07 and '09 with 1ip relief this year)...much better on road than at new Yanks ballpark this year...pretty good lately, especially in g#3 vs minny; Lewis shit vs in 3 but all were way back in '03...good home in 14...not great #'s in days games this year...good lately incl.g#3 vs tb though his outings have been short which doesn't bode well as nyy's BP is totally outperforming the Tex BP so far in the playoffs; Tex hit much better at night during the season (see top); ump Randazzo is even; medium wind blowing in from right at 9mph forecasted

Yanks or nothing for me in this one. Price comes down (dream) and I might try them, despite the series (mis)play. Limited career work for the 24-year old Hughes but he should be confident going in as he hasn't allowed a run to them--in their park--during his 15.1 ip, allowing just 3 hits and striking out 13, not to mention his great game vs minny and the the reduced pressure with the 1-0 series lead for his squad.
Very tempting.
Dagnabbit.
Go Rangers!
Maybe hoppy on a proppy when they open for me; Jeter 3-for-5 vs Lewis with a pair of HR but that was a couple of centuries ago.

Can't believe I'm not on that NL under but didn't hop on the opening -105 and it's been pounded up to -127. New forecast on wind is left-to-right at 15mph instead of that in from left shiite at 22mph, but not a real factor for me. Was thinkin' Phil score 1st at -103 but likely just watch and enjoy (while rooting Philly). Howard and Werth have good numbers vs Lincecum, and Polanco has 2 singles in 5 trips...not much elsewhere vs. Burrell has decent numbers vs Doc with Sandoval at 2-for-4...not much else happening, though Barry Bonds is 1-for-2 with a double.

wait a sec...


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[EXTRAPOLATER]

sat

yankees -114 1.14/1
sf@Phil un5.5 +100 0.86/0.86


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[DR STRANGELOVE]

good luck boss

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

shit...these past 2 Saturdays have been my only 2 losing days in these playoffs. An annoying coincidence, no doubt. Certainly annoying$.

g#2 sf-Phil Sanchez-L-Oswalt 907-908
PHIL 52%(-155)-9 sf 48%(+146)+7
ov7 56%(-111)+3

---Sanchez has had several stellar games over the past few years but he's really had his best season this year and really put it all together near the end of the season, and continued it with a stellar game in #3 at Atl...he's been dynamite in 2 at CitBank (1 this year) and great vs in 2 overall this season, as well as posting some better numbers away from the friendly confines of AT&T, including a baa of .196 on the road; Oswalt has been pretty good in his career vs sf but he sports a 1-3 record vs this season, mostly due to shitty run-support from his former 'Stros compadres...he's been great since acquired and is undefeated in his career at CitBank but his game #2 performance vs the reds wasn't spectacular, including allowing 2 dingers in his 5ip; interesting to note that while the Phils had a winning record vs L on the road, they were only 13-13 vs L at home (despite being 41-17 vs R at home)...did have a higher OPS on the season vs L but have struggled vs lefties in the playoffs (vs relievers only, so far); ump Iassogna is even though his K% is consistently higher than yesterday's Cousins, so the forced high strike zone (and hence long-ball Saturday) may be gone for this one; wind forecasted blowing out to (extreme) right at 10mph

G-men tempting but the Phils gotta be aching to square this series up, as is my Pennant future.
Total is totally pass, for me.
G-men score 1st for a good price might be smart.
Even 1st5...How about G-men 1st5 and Phils for the game?:shrug: Tennis, anyone?


Haven't done tex-Nyy #3 but opening lines aren't very appealing...tex at -115 suggest little respect for Pettitte and too much kudos to tex vs L, as they've preferred R for several years running, including '10. Ump Reynolds is an over play and same with the forecasted wind out to center/right-center at 13mph. 7.5 +106 on the over...I figure I can get a 7 for -110/-115'ish...might try that but right now I need sleep before this rapture thing makes those of you worthy vanish.


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[EXTRAPOLATER]

BTW, thanks Strangelove...I shoulda seen that earlier...couldn't have hurt.
A great Kubrick flic, too, for anyone who's hasn't seen it...freakin' hilarious, actually.

Came back because I was thinking about something (uh-oh!) It dawned on me that that Philly record vs L and record vs R didn't add up to 81 home games. I checked the site I got the info from and the song remains the same.

Thank-Hendrix it came to me quick else I'd be plagued by locusts (frig...really gettin' biblical this Sunday morn, ain't I?)
Anywho, it's because a 3-game series that was supposed to be in Toronto was played in Philly.
Some G8 or G10 or G13 B.S., I think it was.
I remembered as Doc was supposed to make his return to T.O. then, but he ended up starting on the road at home, if that makes sense.


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[EXTRAPOLATER]

current on wind in Philly take 2 is in from far left at 10mph. glad I'm not a meteorologist.

prop team winning after 1st inning sf +126 0.5/0.63
prop Sanchez K's ov6.5 +133 0.6/0.8
prop most TB Posey>Werth -108 0.54/0.5
-

Nothing terribly exciting to add. Werth 0-for-12 vs Sanchez and has not shown much power vs L this year. Kind of suprised Uribe ain't in the lineup, despite his grim work so far in the playoffs (has good #'s vs Roy2). Need 1st pitch, 2011, already.


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[oceanguy]

Need 1st pitch, 2011, already.

:00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour :00hour



:toast:

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

yeah, oceanguy...I can't wait.
gimme my 15 games a day so I can go back to using the force and forget about this system jive.
miss my Jays, too.

yesterday:1-1-1 +0.3!!!
TACKED AND JAN, BABY!
misty water coloured memories...of the way we w...

after 1.285714 rounds:
pending:
Phillies NL pennant -126 2.52/2
Rangers series +155 1/1.55
-
14-5-3 +8.15
-
ml:1-1 -0.14 (fave:0-1 -1.14) (dogs:1-0 +1.0)
rl:1-0 +1.17 (-xxx: ) (+yyy:1-0 +1.17)
1st5:2-0 +2.09 (fave:1-0 +1.0) (dogs:1-0 +1.09)
totals:1-2-1 -1.86 (ov:1-1-1 -1.0) (un:0-1 -0.86)
team tot:2-1-1 +0.71 (ov:same)
parlays:1-0 +1.0
props:5-1-1 +3.9
futures:1-0 +1.28 (series:same)
-
system sides:10-5 (60%+:4-0)
system totals:5-7-3 (ov:3-5-3) (un:2-2)
-
(no offense intended)


g#3 Lee-dude-L/Pettitte-dude-L
NYY 54%(+105)+5
ov7.5 55%(+110)+7

---Lee not so hot at old Yankee Stadium but has been great in the Bronx last few years, and continues to be stellar in the playoffs after making tb look like the mariners, both times in their park; Pettitte also a strong playoff performer and, after 3 iffy go's since the DL, he was solid in game #2 at Minny; NYY the much better O vs L during the season and looked good 1st round vs Liriano but pretty grim in #1 vs Wilson (long layoff probably didn't help but excuses are like opinions)...tex reasonably neato so far in playoffs vs L, facing Price twice and C.C. (Sabathia, not the Canadian Whiskey); ump Reynolds historically an over-ump though I've seen info telling me the 3 Lee games he did all went under (all several years back) while Pettitte was .500 on the total (think it was 3-3...maybe Orr-Orr); 12mph wind out to center (just right of center, apparently) clinches my lean on likely :facepalm: situation as I jump off the Cliff...still hope tex wins it but 3 or 4 or 8 home runs wouldn't bother me...

tex@NYY ov7 -124 1.24/1

A bit of an expensive half-run buy but the break-even on a +110 would be 48% while on my -124 it's 56%...that's a difference of x [z-y=x] and my neighbour's cat tells me that there is a 13% chance that this game lands right on the 7 so I'm discarding more coin than is warranted.
Probably silly but I thought that Al Pacino was very good in The Insider, so what the hell.

May be a prop to come if no electro-magnetic pulse affects my spacemaker.


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