2020-21 soccers

[Snafu]

Portugal scores four but can't even get a draw :142smilie

group futures:

Finland to qualify NO -138 8u
it seriously looks like that quite a few "third team" is going to collect 4 points or at least end up with even goal difference. Finland is now 1-1 with 3 points and plays Belgium. I just don't see even a draw there. And even with a draw result, it's up to other groups last matches if we qualify.


sunday

Switzerland, they need win and goals. One goal win leaves them with 4 points and -2 goal difference, that should be enough to qualify but not even close to 100%. Turkey is out unless winning by 5 or so goals, and in practice they are still out :142smilie

Switzerland -163 5u
-1 +108 3u
-2 +340 1u


Switzerland to qualify -138 5u

passing Italy match for now

 

[Snafu]

Good results and both futures are looking good. Sadly this group situation is unfolding against Finland's hopes to qualify and "not to qualify" is now -200.

Netherlands is through and they will have a nice meaningless warm up session with NM but i'll pass.

Second early match is Ukraine - Austria, as stated here draw will take both teams to quals. BUT margin for error is so small that i don't believe they go with "common understanding" and actually try to play for a draw. If there is a chance neither team has no reason to score and qualify as 2nd from the group while loser is out.

Ukraine OR Austria -138 3u

Russia - Denmark, if Denmark wins and Finland doesn't get single point from Belgium they are 2nd in this group. If we get a point(s) Denmark is 3rd with 3 points and very possibly out. With a draw they are out no matter what. Russia in the other hand, with a draw they are 2nd (or 3rd depending Fin-Bel outcome) and will quite possibly qualify.

btw match is played in Copenhagen with french referee. Possibly full stadium, wasn't sure yet.

I'm gonna go with danes because Russia has been pretty lame, playing away and danes return to same stadium where Eriksen incident and loss to Finland happened in 1st round.

Denmark -143 4u
Denmark tt O1? -125 3u

At the moment Belgium is about to play their almost #1 squad, we will see. Besides futures i play just

O2? -110 3u
1st half Belgium -120 3u


24h to go until our nations most important soccer match ever is on :00x29

 

[Snafu]

Funny fact about history between Belgium - Finland, in last seven Finland has won four and three ended in draw... includes two euro qualification matches Fin 2-0 and 0-0. Last time Belgium has won Finland in soccer.....?

october 1968

:rimshot


btw: here is excellent write up and break down of teams and tactics (use google translator):

http://futisforum2.org/index.php?topic=249921.0


just FYI before you lay your eggs on Belgium tomorrow :mj07:

 

[Snafu]

okeyish day, Finland's chance to advance is 6,7%... :0003

i checked out some futures; England total goals U8? -275... i mean WTF ? They have scored once in two matches, play next Czech and if they qualify 1st in their group they play Germany, if 2nd very likely Spain (or Sweden), if 3rd Holland or Belgium... = they will not go any further

England tournament goals U8? -275 4u, steep but... yeah

tuesday
Czech +700 1u
+? +137 2u

 

[Snafu]

33-44 -20.35u some futures pending

Finland's bizarre win over Danes and Finland futures made ~100% of my losses so it's getting better.


Cze-Eng U2 +168 2u (Wembley)

Scotland +175 2u (Glasgow)
U2? +105 2u

nothing much to say here, teams that so far have been like dog shit vs teams that so far have been like dog shit

:0008

edit typos...

 

[Snafu]

wednesday

Finland's qualification will be decided today, we are still holding decent 0.3% chance :mj07:

based on Portugal's last performance exceptations are not high, but in the other hand France is ok with draw.

DRAW +210 2u
BTTS YES +105 2u
correct score 1-1 +550 1u

Germany should roll but we know how it goes...

tt O2? -138 2u

Sweden has been a bit of mystery and imo over achieving heavily. If Poland manages to score, they win.

Poland +160 2u
Poland tt O1? +162 1u
Poland to nil +333 1u

Spain tt O2? +110 2u

:toast:

adding one future: England stage of elimination last 16 = next match -120 4u

 

[Snafu]

promising start: sweden scores after 2 minutes and spain misses penalty...

good god i hope slovakia finds a way to win this :0corn

 

[Snafu]

edit: too complicated.... :mj07:

when Germany wins then

IF France

loses -> Belgium
draws -> England
wins by 3 or less -> Switzerland
wins by 4 or more -> Ukraine + Finland advances

:0008

 

[Snafu]

i cancelled that FRA draw and 1-1 (thanks to bet365 you can cancel bets)

France -106 3u
France tt O1? +110 3u

 

[Snafu]

crazy matches :mj07:


Germany +190 4u - England
to qualify -106 5u

Belgium to qualify -150 4u

Netherlands -150 4u

 

[Snafu]

knock out time

so far:

England stage of elimination last 16 = next match +120 4u
England tournament goals U8? -275 4u

Germany +190 4u - England
to qualify -106 5u

Belgium to qualify -150 4u

Netherlands -150 4u

excepting 0-0 playing O2?

Wales - Denmark O2? +175 2u
Denmark tt O1? +137 4u


lines are too steep to play Italy so just

Italy tt O1? -125 3u


:toast:

edit: england line is + not -

 

[Snafu]

spot on with danes, italy was a few inches away from being out... they really got lucky with that.
and they played like shit first 90mins then Austria just couldn't keep up in ot.

i already have teams to qualify/win in todays matches so i'm gonna play just

Netherlands - Czech U2? +100 2u
Czech tt corners O3? 3u

Belgium - Portugal O2? +110 2u
Belgium tt O1? +137 3u
cards O3? -120 2u


:toast:

 

[Snafu]

at least Czechs didn't score third :mj07:

 

[Snafu]

sunday exactly +-0

monday

Spain managed to spank already out own goal scoring Slovakia, big deal right...? Other than that, they weren't able to win Sweden or Poland (last int the group 2L-1D). Croatia had a draw with Czechs who just humiliated Netherlands and in decisive 3rd match beat Scotland quite comfortably.

Croatia +? +125 2u
Croatia -? +550 1u
Croatia tt O1? +450 1u
Croatia to qualify +275 2u

corners O8? -138 3u
Croatia corners O2? -138 4u

Spain doesn't allow many corners, but 2? is pretty low for game like this where teams play safe and after (hopefully early) goal one team parks double decker. Imo Croatia is more tested team than more or less cruising Spain.

other than as a betting result i'd love to see Spain going out Netherlands way... :sadwave:

France game is so obvious i need to dig some stats and see if there is anything to play.

 

[Snafu]

another utter shitshow no matter what team you were betting on...
with out Spain scoring that early OG Croatia would have been toast before HT

& 1st half corners 6, second half 0 :0074

thanks to corners bets -5.66u

France -163 3u
tt O1? -120 3u

:toast:

 

[Snafu]

LOL here we go... 0-1

 

[Snafu]

3-3

un
fucking
real

 

[johnnyb]

JFC

 

[Snafu]

at least France was eliminated, shame that Spain survived...

already on these:

England stage of elimination last 16 = next match +120 4u
England tournament goals U8? -275 4u

Germany +190 4u - England
Germany to qualify -106 5u

a bit "fuck it" mood after yesterday...

Germany tt
O1? +175 4u
O2? +600 2u
O3? +2000 1u

Germany to nil +400 2u

:0003

 

[Snafu]

sorry not providing 100% fades but had a problem with b365, i drew some money out from them and boom! all my bet history was gone including standing futures. account balance was also incorrect.

finally i got my money but decided to empty all my sports bet accounts... and bought some cryptos (just a warning, next week probably total shit show in all cryptos too) :mj07:

I hope Italy wins and i'm more afraid of ref (Kuipers shouldn't be a problem or lad lover) and VAR decisions that support "football is coming home"-story :0003

thanks and good luck :toast:

edit: btw VAR ref is Pol Van Beokel. Same guy who called Sterlings dive as pk worth vs Denmark :firing