23-09-09 Nino?s plays

[ninosaturnino]

wow, nice line on toluca at -600 and -1.5 (-140). All i have available to me is -950 at one book which is an awful line and i'm passing on that and -2 (-150) and over 3.5 (+106). i'm debating if i should add to my toluca play and take them -2 (-150) for a unit. what are your thoughts? I know that's a bad line for me but i think this lines up to be a 3-0, 4-0 type of game for toluca. i don't like the over as much because i don't see toluca allowing a goal at home to this team.

at least i see a 3-0 in favor of Toluca....and as u said no goals against....

local is giving the line, think just saw it -700 at another one online but not sponsored here...

 

[HoopsGuru]

thanks for the quick reply! hope you don't mind me adding my plays in your thread.

toluca -2 (-150) Risk .75 units to win .5 units

 

[cbrown334]

bro, as u have taked the time to read me i?m gonna give you my two cents here....

i was gonna tell you that, in no way i encourage somebody to tail me, but if you do, try to stick for what i see has value...in soccer any hook, any number by little it is, could screw you up, i?m very sorry if you have not win $$$ with my plays...

if they have so much juice, make parlays, you're friggin good with them (personally i suck!) but take away the asian handicap (-1, -2 etc) to give them more % of hitting them as HoopsGuru did...he went with the ML?s and probably gonna hit both...Toluca is -600 fav today at home....!!!!!

ps. in now way i?m telling you, or nobody how to bet...we are here to help each other out...only i thought i spotted there something you can think about it...thank u if you continue to be around here....i assure you we are gonna win some $$$ in many other games...that?s the confidence i have and demonstrated all year long...

thanks for the info nino, i appreciate your incite and contributions to this site! it's a marathon not a sprint, just trying to find some good angles! IT CAN GET A LITTLE FRUSTRATING SOMETIMES WHEN YOU WANT TO MAKE A PICK, AND THE LINE/JUICE HAS MOVED. THANKS AGAIN FOR THE ADVICE BROTHER.:mj06:
P.S. I AINT GOIN ANYWHERE BRO. IM GOING TO GET SOME MONEY BACK THIS WEEKEND WITH MY 4-TEAMERS:00hour

 

[ninosaturnino]

on the contrary i welcome them!!! let?s get this one!

 

[ninosaturnino]

thanks for the info nino, i appreciate your incite and contributions to this site! it's a marathon not a sprint, just trying to find some good angles! IT CAN GET A LITTLE FRUSTRATING SOMETIMES WHEN YOU WANT TO MAKE A PICK, AND THE LINE/JUICE HAS MOVED. THANKS AGAIN FOR THE ADVICE BROTHER.:mj06:
P.S. I AINT GOIN ANYWHERE BRO. IM GOING TO GET SOME MONEY BACK THIS WEEKEND WITH MY 4-TEAMERS:00hour

i know you will....and WE will...gonna look hard on those ones you got for us!!!!

 

[pfj]

nino im leaning colorado rapids in mls.......also palmeiras in the game against cruzeiro. any thoughts amigo?

 

[ninosaturnino]

nino im leaning colorado rapids in mls.......also palmeiras in the game against cruzeiro. any thoughts amigo?

MLS is by far the least league i know my friend....shame on me being so close to the States!

Palmeiras are the away team here...you tell me:

playing Away last 5 games: win 1 lose 2 tied 2

now...Over/Under are: 1 over 4 under

the over was when they win the game...so crunching the numbers and if you believe they are going to win...consider the Over too...because they might conceal goals against them...as i see...

but where i find value IMO is Palmeiras +0.5/1

that i think is a good bet...

 

[ninosaturnino]

and take this too: these 4 last games away where vs teams that are up in the table than Cruzeiro...meaning they are probably due for a win away again...

thnxs for bringing this game up...i?m gonna lay some coins in there!!!! good value amigo!

 

[pfj]

good insight my friend. yea i see it as a value play. I am leaning either palm or draw...i don't see cruzeiro taking this one. palm has taken all 3 of their recent meetings against eachother :
2009 - Jun 14 Palmeiras 3-1 Cruzeiro
2008 - Sep 14 Cruzeiro 0-1 Palmeiras
2008 - Jun 13 Palmeiras 5-2 Cruzeiro

 

[pfj]

ok tied at the half which almost guarantees the over to hit which then should mean palm wins. im hoping and praying over here. haha buena suerte amigo!!!

 

[ninosaturnino]

ok tied at the half which almost guarantees the over to hit which then should mean palm wins. im hoping and praying over here. haha buena suerte amigo!!!

sorry hermano was at the pool....it would be very good a goal right know from palm

 

[pfj]

at the pool? jealousy hermano...alot of jealously. haha im in new york so def not pool weather right now.lol yeah we def need palm to get a goal here

 

[ninosaturnino]

we were here at 40*C this evening...my brother lives (and has a deli) in Manhattan...so he misses too this weather around the year....

need another run from twins too for my ARL...

 

[ninosaturnino]

Toluca send all his substitutes in...mmm....

 

[ninosaturnino]

there you go!!!!! Palmeiras 2-1

 

[pfj]

yessirrrrr i was waiting for that goal!!!!!!!!!!

 

[ninosaturnino]

i'm sorry but just heard the name of one of the defense of San Juan....Elton John?????

L-M-A-O HUUUUUUGEEEEEE!!!!! i mean really???

 

[ninosaturnino]

first goal of Toluca....after 7 clear opportunities!!!!hope this open up the score...

 

[ninosaturnino]

there you go...Palmeiras 2-1...cash in with the +1 and the over........thnsx pfj for the pick...

Toluca is tired....of missing any kind of chances to score...hope they at least make another one....

 

[ninosaturnino]

1-1-1 -.60 units so far

adding 2 units plays:

Toluca Over 2.5/3 (-140)
Toluca -1.5 (-140)

Toluca 2-0 one more goal and we are on the positive side today...didn't post it but won 1 unit with each play of Palmeiras over and Palmeiras +1...

Bases hit the ARL with Twins very positive day there....