Round 4 play (2pts):
Adam Scott to beat John Senden -165 @ The Greek [available generally]
Shorter odds than I would have liked, but I still think that Scott will win this comfortably. Senden got himself into a share of the lead early on, but then fell back and when he rallied with consecutive birdies on the back-nine, he dropped three shots in the last five holes. It shows why, apart from 4th in the 2007 PGA Championship when a long way back from Tiger Woods, his best finish in the Majors is 30th, missing the cut in nine of 15 attempts. He may hang around the top-10, but I can't see him being a contender for this title. For Scott, it is different. He is in great form - 3rd in his last PGA Tour event, 25th in his last Major and winning the WGC event last week - and he has Steve Williams on the bag. The only difficulty may be fatigue from his win last week and the heat, but otherwise, he could certainly make up the five shot gap to the leaders today.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Stricker tb Schwartzel -120; Donald tb Levin -175; Bradley K tb Dufner -139; Watney tb Mickelson -105; Stricker tb Toms -140; Mickelson tb Palmer -169; Garcia tb Haas -123; Karlsson tb Senden -115; Verplank tb Dufner +105; Jobe tb Lunde -110]
Adam Scott to beat John Senden -165 @ The Greek [available generally]
Shorter odds than I would have liked, but I still think that Scott will win this comfortably. Senden got himself into a share of the lead early on, but then fell back and when he rallied with consecutive birdies on the back-nine, he dropped three shots in the last five holes. It shows why, apart from 4th in the 2007 PGA Championship when a long way back from Tiger Woods, his best finish in the Majors is 30th, missing the cut in nine of 15 attempts. He may hang around the top-10, but I can't see him being a contender for this title. For Scott, it is different. He is in great form - 3rd in his last PGA Tour event, 25th in his last Major and winning the WGC event last week - and he has Steve Williams on the bag. The only difficulty may be fatigue from his win last week and the heat, but otherwise, he could certainly make up the five shot gap to the leaders today.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Stricker tb Schwartzel -120; Donald tb Levin -175; Bradley K tb Dufner -139; Watney tb Mickelson -105; Stricker tb Toms -140; Mickelson tb Palmer -169; Garcia tb Haas -123; Karlsson tb Senden -115; Verplank tb Dufner +105; Jobe tb Lunde -110]
