Hi Guys,
Here goes for Round 10 of the AFL.
Fri 7.40pm AEST Colonial Stadium
Wstn Bulldogs $1.75 (-6.5) vs Kangaroos $2.10 (+6.5)
Playing Wstn Bulldogs $1.75
Interesting game to start the round here. Wstn Bulldogs have won their past 3 matches impressively although not against the strongest opposition. They are a confident team at present and are not really affected by injuries. Kangaroos are a hard team to assess at the moment. Their form has been ok with wins over Collingwood and St Kilda before losing to Carlton to last week. The ?new game plan? came unstuck under pressure against Carlton and coach Dennis Pagan has admitted it may take them a few weeks to get his side playing the way he wanted them to. Wayne Carey returns to the team and reportedly is feeling better than he has for ages. I am backing Wstn Bulldogs to win this one but will take the conservative $1.75 head to head price.
Sat 2.10pm AEST Optus Oval
Carlton $1.10 (-44.5) vs West Coast (+44.5)
No play
It almost goes without saying that Carlton will win this and win it easily. They have won their past 3 matches and their better players are starting to hit their straps. Carlton generally perform very well at Optus Oval. West Coast are suffering from injuries and are simply playing poor footy at the moment. However the only team I am prepared to back giving up 44 points is Essendon, so no play for me.
Sat 2.10pm AEST MCG
Hawthorn $1.90 (pk) vs Port Adelaide (pk)
No play.
2nd vs 3rd here and should be a great game. Hawthorn have looked good all year but like many of the good sides they were shown up by Essendon this week. Losing to Essendon is no disgrace but it will have hurt them mentally and they have lost Crawford and Chick with injuries. Port Adelaide have also looked good all year and with the exception of Primus (who may return this week) they are travelling well in terms of injuries. Port Adelaide traditionally don?t play well at the MCG having won 2 from 11. I can?t see much in this game and have respect for both sides. It seems the bookies have the price about right so no play on this one.
Sat 7.00pm AEST Colonial Stadium
St Kilda $3.25 (+22.5) vs Melbourne $1.33 (-22.5)
No Play
St Kilda are now 2-7 for the season and whilst they are playing ok in patches, they are struggling to win games. Their injuries are really hurting them and the club are saying they have made a mistake by training their players as ?athletes? rather than ?footballers?.
The second half collapse against Collingwood was the worst thing that can happen to a team trying to get confidence back. Melbourne have lost 3 in a row now and continue to be affected by the off-field boardroom dramas. They also appear to be missing that ?x-factor? probably due to Farmer still being out. This game is certainly an opportunity for Melbourne to get their season back on track and they really should win this match. However I can?t back them with any confidence to cover the spread here.
Sat 7.40pm AEST Gabba
Brisbane $3.65 (+25.5) vs Essendon $1.28 (-25.5)
No Play
I?ll keep this one short. I don?t bet against Brisbane at home and I don?t bet against Essendon at all so no play on this one. I guess it is another opportunity for Essendon to push aside another contender.
Sun 2.10pm AEST Footy Park
Adelaide $1.40 (-20.5) vs Geelong $2.90 (+20.5)
Playing Adelaide ?20.5
Adelaide have shown plenty in recent weeks winning 5 of their past 6 matches. The 2nd half against Richmond and Brisbane showed they can put sides away and also tough it out. Their midfield is going as well as any team in the comp and this is where they will win it this weekend. Geelong will be encouraged by their wins in the past 2 weeks but these were against weaker opposition. Geelong have a poor record at Footy Park winning only 2 from 9 matches there. I am backing Adelaide to win this game easily.
Sun 2.10pm AEST Colonial Stadium
Collingwood $1.28 (-26.5) vs Sydney $3.50 (+26.5)
Playing Collingwood ?26.5
In the past 2 weeks Collingwood have had to come from behind to win and this given them plenty of self belief. They are travelling along very nicely in 5th position with some easier games ahead. They are no longer a one man band with Buckley having good support with the likes of Tarrant and Molloy. Collingwood are capable of kicking a big score and this is the main edge they have over Sydney who are struggling to kick goals at present. Sydney broke a 5 game losing streak last week against Fremantle but were far from convincing. If this game goes to form then Collingwood will blow Sydney away here and I think are worth a bet at the spread.
Sun 4.10pm AEST
Fremantle $2.00 (no line) vs Richmond $1.80 (no line)
No play
The big news this week is the sacking of Fremantle coach Damian Drum and in my opinion the whole matter was handled very badly. AFL clubs have an uncanny knack of winning the game after the coach has been sacked so based on this alone Fremantle are some hope. It is hard to get enthusiastic on either side. Fremantle are 0-9 and whilst they have been competitive in patches a reasonable side would have at least won a couple of these games. Then you have Richmond who are lacking confidence after losing their last 3 matches including a poor showing against Geelong last week. In my opinion they are really missing Richardson. I am close to backing Fremantle but realistically I would want at least $2.15 to part with any cash.
SUMMARY OF PLAYS:
Wstn Bulldogs SU @ $1.75
Adelaide ?20.5 @ $1.90
Collingwood ?26.5 @ $1.90
All these prices are with Centrebet.
Good luck to everyone !!!!
Here goes for Round 10 of the AFL.
Fri 7.40pm AEST Colonial Stadium
Wstn Bulldogs $1.75 (-6.5) vs Kangaroos $2.10 (+6.5)
Playing Wstn Bulldogs $1.75
Interesting game to start the round here. Wstn Bulldogs have won their past 3 matches impressively although not against the strongest opposition. They are a confident team at present and are not really affected by injuries. Kangaroos are a hard team to assess at the moment. Their form has been ok with wins over Collingwood and St Kilda before losing to Carlton to last week. The ?new game plan? came unstuck under pressure against Carlton and coach Dennis Pagan has admitted it may take them a few weeks to get his side playing the way he wanted them to. Wayne Carey returns to the team and reportedly is feeling better than he has for ages. I am backing Wstn Bulldogs to win this one but will take the conservative $1.75 head to head price.
Sat 2.10pm AEST Optus Oval
Carlton $1.10 (-44.5) vs West Coast (+44.5)
No play
It almost goes without saying that Carlton will win this and win it easily. They have won their past 3 matches and their better players are starting to hit their straps. Carlton generally perform very well at Optus Oval. West Coast are suffering from injuries and are simply playing poor footy at the moment. However the only team I am prepared to back giving up 44 points is Essendon, so no play for me.
Sat 2.10pm AEST MCG
Hawthorn $1.90 (pk) vs Port Adelaide (pk)
No play.
2nd vs 3rd here and should be a great game. Hawthorn have looked good all year but like many of the good sides they were shown up by Essendon this week. Losing to Essendon is no disgrace but it will have hurt them mentally and they have lost Crawford and Chick with injuries. Port Adelaide have also looked good all year and with the exception of Primus (who may return this week) they are travelling well in terms of injuries. Port Adelaide traditionally don?t play well at the MCG having won 2 from 11. I can?t see much in this game and have respect for both sides. It seems the bookies have the price about right so no play on this one.
Sat 7.00pm AEST Colonial Stadium
St Kilda $3.25 (+22.5) vs Melbourne $1.33 (-22.5)
No Play
St Kilda are now 2-7 for the season and whilst they are playing ok in patches, they are struggling to win games. Their injuries are really hurting them and the club are saying they have made a mistake by training their players as ?athletes? rather than ?footballers?.
The second half collapse against Collingwood was the worst thing that can happen to a team trying to get confidence back. Melbourne have lost 3 in a row now and continue to be affected by the off-field boardroom dramas. They also appear to be missing that ?x-factor? probably due to Farmer still being out. This game is certainly an opportunity for Melbourne to get their season back on track and they really should win this match. However I can?t back them with any confidence to cover the spread here.
Sat 7.40pm AEST Gabba
Brisbane $3.65 (+25.5) vs Essendon $1.28 (-25.5)
No Play
I?ll keep this one short. I don?t bet against Brisbane at home and I don?t bet against Essendon at all so no play on this one. I guess it is another opportunity for Essendon to push aside another contender.
Sun 2.10pm AEST Footy Park
Adelaide $1.40 (-20.5) vs Geelong $2.90 (+20.5)
Playing Adelaide ?20.5
Adelaide have shown plenty in recent weeks winning 5 of their past 6 matches. The 2nd half against Richmond and Brisbane showed they can put sides away and also tough it out. Their midfield is going as well as any team in the comp and this is where they will win it this weekend. Geelong will be encouraged by their wins in the past 2 weeks but these were against weaker opposition. Geelong have a poor record at Footy Park winning only 2 from 9 matches there. I am backing Adelaide to win this game easily.
Sun 2.10pm AEST Colonial Stadium
Collingwood $1.28 (-26.5) vs Sydney $3.50 (+26.5)
Playing Collingwood ?26.5
In the past 2 weeks Collingwood have had to come from behind to win and this given them plenty of self belief. They are travelling along very nicely in 5th position with some easier games ahead. They are no longer a one man band with Buckley having good support with the likes of Tarrant and Molloy. Collingwood are capable of kicking a big score and this is the main edge they have over Sydney who are struggling to kick goals at present. Sydney broke a 5 game losing streak last week against Fremantle but were far from convincing. If this game goes to form then Collingwood will blow Sydney away here and I think are worth a bet at the spread.
Sun 4.10pm AEST
Fremantle $2.00 (no line) vs Richmond $1.80 (no line)
No play
The big news this week is the sacking of Fremantle coach Damian Drum and in my opinion the whole matter was handled very badly. AFL clubs have an uncanny knack of winning the game after the coach has been sacked so based on this alone Fremantle are some hope. It is hard to get enthusiastic on either side. Fremantle are 0-9 and whilst they have been competitive in patches a reasonable side would have at least won a couple of these games. Then you have Richmond who are lacking confidence after losing their last 3 matches including a poor showing against Geelong last week. In my opinion they are really missing Richardson. I am close to backing Fremantle but realistically I would want at least $2.15 to part with any cash.
SUMMARY OF PLAYS:
Wstn Bulldogs SU @ $1.75
Adelaide ?20.5 @ $1.90
Collingwood ?26.5 @ $1.90
All these prices are with Centrebet.
Good luck to everyone !!!!
