ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL

CANADA MAN

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2008: +14.97 UNITS
Outrights: 3-23 (+2.28)
Matchups: 60-41-8 (+12.69) (59.4%)


Arnold-Palmer-tips-his-viso.jpg


72 Hole Matchup: (pinnacle)

S. Appleby over G. Ogilvy -125 LOST

:canada1
 
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Whalers Rule

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first round plays
Couples -102 ove Goosen
Cejka -115 over Merrick
Davis -118 over S Hansen
Forsman -102 over Azinger
Hoffman -123 over Lowery
Hamilton -105 over Pride 3 units
Mahan +143 over Goosen/Mcneil
Hoffman +275 over Furyk/Oberholser
Cejka +175 over Jacobson/Glover
 

boomer1

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seems crazy to bet a player at even to win a tournament..but when you wake up on sunday and have to lay 1-6 to 1-9 for the same bet ...i'll take tiger at even...tired of trying to beat him each week

also i'll take senden -120 over green
and appleby -145 over ohair..should hit the wall hard

gl
 

THE CINCH

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Sep 21, 2002
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TOP TEN FINISH: (bet365)

V.J. Singh +175 WON
L. Donald +200
S. O'Hair +400 WON
J. Senden +700
V.Taylor +900

:spotting: :spotting: :spotting: :spotting: :spotting:
GLTA!!
 
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DOGS THAT BARK

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72 Holes
@ Oly
. Golf - Arnold Palmer Invitational March 13 - 16, 2008
Tournament Matchups
Stephen Ames vs Rod Pampling
Stephen Ames (-105) [pending]

Golf - Arnold Palmer Invitational March 13 - 16, 2008
Tournament Matchups
Martin Kaymer vs Paul Casey
Paul Casey (-120) [pending

@ Pinn
Howell -105 over Kaymer
Kelly -105 over Mayfair

@ Expekt
Verplank 1.90 over Braynt

@ Hollywood
the field -115 vs Tiger
The 2008 Masters - Odds To Win The Tournament (Tiger Most Tee Off for Action)
Tiger Woods
Field (Any Other Golfer) 04/10/08(08:00 ET)
Field (Any Other Golfer) -115

Taking couple shots on Kaymer--no disrepect for his abilty but diff ball game playing stateside--odds generally decent at start and got to make hay while suns--Romero latest example -great odds at start--after 3 losses only match on board now is vs Curtis.

--and the tiger issue--saw lots of folks betting on him to win at chalk--most cause his hot steak and prior wins here--but his prior wins were when this venue was par 72 not 70--not Tigers fav tracks.
Takes lots of things to go right to win 5 in a row--and little to go wrong not to--also at 1st hiccup (if any) should be ample hedge on win ticket.

Easy to think about his flawless play so far but must remember what can happen even after opening rd of 64 last year--
 

Stanley

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Round 1 plays (1pt):

Brandt Snedeker to beat Steve Flesch -135 @ Pinnacle
Just a huge difference in current form, course form and even form in Florida between these two players, e.g. it has been 5 years and 25 attempts since Flesch last had a top-25 finish in this State; Snedeker has achieved it three times in the last year, including this event

Paul Casey to beat Martin Kaymer -125 @ Five Dimes
Opposing Kaymer whose only previous start in North America resulted in a first-round exit in the WGC World Matchplay. Casey tees off in the opening group and will be looking to match his opening 64 of last year

Geoff Ogilvy to beat Davis Love -149 @ Unibet
Geoff Ogilvy to beat Charles Howell -119 @ Pinnacle
Ogilvy started the year with three missed cuts, but that can easily be excused with the birth of his son in January. He looks to be nearing his previous form with a top-10 finish last week and should have enough to beat Howell whose finishing positions have been worsening all year. Also value at the odds again Love as Ogilvy head-to-head recoard against him is very impressive: over the last 12 months, he leads Love 15-1-0 h2h in the 1st round

Ben Curtis to beat Andres Romero -115 @ Five Dimes
Three missed cuts and a 2nd-round exit in the WGC World Matchplay is Romero's record this year. Curtis may not be in the best of form, but it hasn't stopped him finishing 20th and 4th in the last two years here
 

CANADA MAN

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O'Hair is destroying Pampling with a few to go, so I'll play one more Matchup for today.

ROUND 1 MATCHUP: (pinnacle)

S. Verplank over P. Mickelson +153 PUSH

...just a hunch! :shrug:


:canada1
 
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DOGS THAT BARK

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2nd rd

Sport / Period: PGA Golf / Game
Line:
D.J.Trahan (2nd Rnd) 3/14/2008 8:50:01 AM - (EST)
-120
Opponent: Daniel Chopra (2nd Rnd)

Sport / Period: PGA Golf / Game
Line:
Bart Bryant (2nd Rnd) 3/14/2008 9:24:01 AM - (EST)
-115
Opponent: John Senden (2nd Rnd)

Tiger +240 @ 5d --could hedge field bet and get free ride on his opening odds--but believe I'll wait.
 

Stanley

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Round 2 plays (1pt):

Fred Couples to beat Richard Sterne -105 @ Five Dimes
I don't often back the leader and the fact that it has been 5 years since Couples was last in this position may be a warning, but I don't see him struggling with the pressure today. And if there is another 3/4 shot advantage to the afternoon players, that will help him against Sterne who had always struggled on American courses

Ben Crane to beat John Senden -115 @ Bet365
Senden is a player to back when coming off a poor 1st round, but not generally - Crane leads him 4-1-0 h2h in the 2nd round this year in his impressive return from last year's back injury worries

Lucas Glover to beat Alex Cejka -111 @ Unibet
Cejka has been in the top-10 after 18 holes six times in the last three years, but he has never finished the round closer to the lead. On one occasion (2005 Honda Classic) he has missed the cut from this position and this year, he fell from 5th to 23rd after the 2nd round of the Northern Trust Open. Glover is much dependable in this situation

Nathan Green to beat Ian Poulter +100 @ Carib
A good price to oppose Poulter who has missed his three previous cuts here, always shot over-par and who averages 75.6 around the Bay Hill course. He is only using this as preparation for next week's WGC event, so Green should be far greater motivated to make the cut

Jim Furyk to beat Stuart Appleby -110 @ Five Dimes
Appleby is very hit-and-miss in this event: two runners-up finishes in 12 appearances, but no other finishes in the top-35 and he averages 72.4 around this par-70 course. He is certainly capable of bouncing back today, but concentrating on preparing for the WGC event next week may become a factor if some early round aggression doesn't provide good results. Furyk lies 7th for his best start since his back problems of last August
 
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