AT&T Pebble Beach

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,279
161
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Outrights:

Tiger Woods(+550) e.w.
Pat Perez(60/1) e.w.
Arron Oberholser((200/1) e.w.
Spencer Levin(35/1) e.w.



- - After a strong wager on Tiger at 9/1 e.w. in Abu Dhabi, how do I assess his chances this week?

(1) Tiger's ball striking while having fun playing with McIlroy was superb on Thursday and Saturday, and solid on Friday.

(2) On Sunday Tiger struggled to put the ball in play off the tee, BUT this time his misses clearly had a consistency that should be quite capable of being ironed out.

(3) What Tiger is excited to talk about is how good his putting has been, and IMO the rest of his short game has been following suit with glimpses of the magic possessed only by the game's elite. While I get nervous about how the golfing gods might treat someone who chatters away about their game rather than just letting their game do their talking, I don't think Tiger has been off base with anything he's been saying recently about his putter.

(4) When putting on the poa annua greens in Monterey in February, a confident stroke is usually a key to achieving success rather than negativity. And it is a pro-am circus, but you usually can't have everything.

(5) Tiger goes from an Abu Dhabi venue he had never seen to a haunt that has been known to bring out the absolute best among those who have talked about being inspired by the place.

(6) I don't know if I could rank anyone this side of Kyle Stanley as carrying more motivation at the moment than Tiger Woods.


- - There are angles there with Perez, Oberholser and Levin (and they have all recently been on my radar for one reason or another) that I'm taking over other possible dart tosses. I'll still be tossing another dart or three by Thursday (as usual and no surprise IMO, my full slate of 7-14 golfers for the events on two tours is likely to include play(s) I've been alerted to or influenced toward by suggestions I've come across from other cappers and analysts during my capping process).


GL
 
Last edited:

JimmyTime

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 25, 2007
204
2
0
Outrights:

Phil Mickelson 20/1: I am not a huge Mickelson fan but he's had a few tournaments to shake the rust off of his game. I looked back the past 5 years and a lot of his wins came on his 3rd consecutive start, as is the case this week. Also Tiger is playing so that should bring out his best.

Bud Cauley 66/1: I thought he was a fluke last summer as he came from nowhere and had a couple top 5's. But this kid is solid. He's missed only one cut in 12 tour starts. Think he could go well in this pro-am format. He finished t5 in the 2011 Pebble Invitational.

Brendan Steele 85/1: Coming off a t5 and a final round 64 should provide a little momentum. California native as well.
 

IE

Administrator
Forum Admin
Forum Member
Mar 15, 1999
95,440
223
63
Hunter Mahan (Tourn) -120 over Zach Johnson (Tourn)

Hunter Mahan +2200 to win outright
 

Slick 1

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 1, 2004
551
2
0
55
Boston, MA
played these tourney matchups for this week...

2 units Mahan -120 over Zach Johnson

Watney -110 over Fowler
Points -110 over Na
Huh -110 over Bae

Best of luck to everyone this week :toast:
 

IE

Administrator
Forum Admin
Forum Member
Mar 15, 1999
95,440
223
63
Spencer Levin (Tourn) +100 Over Rickie Fowler (Tourn)
 

Tommyjay

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 1, 2008
652
2
18
Sierra Mountains
Molder to win 28-1
Everyone thinks Bryce will play great this week, no one thinks he will win. I do, and I had him penciled in at the first part on Jan. His odds are a little short, I was thinking 40-1 would be around, because he is getting so much ink lately. He's hot and getting warmer, and he's hot here. That's all I need to know.

72 holes
Molder over Zach -120 Bet against Zach and you're going to lose half the time. I hate to do it, but I'm going Molder all the way.

Points over Levin -110 The defending champ over a crushed ego Levin (forget about the Stanley fluke) plus D. A. gave me a nice win 2 weeks ago.

Badds over O Hair -110 I've bet and lost so much on O Hair the last couple years, I'm not going to do it anymore. Aaron plays well here, really.

My Pebble Beach dream match-up--
Tony Lema over Gene, The Machine, Littler.
 

Dallasbetgolf

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 20, 2009
235
3
0
Now that football is over, I am all excited about diving into golf action! Good luck to each of you this year.
I am coming out of the chute with some true longshots in hopes of hitting a big one early. Hero, or goat.

Sabbatini 40-1 win, 20-1 place, 10-1 show

O'Hair 40-1 win, 20-1 place, 10-1 show

Holmes 80-1 win, 40-1 place, 20-1 show

Huh 80-1 win, 40-1 place, 20-1 show

Good luck to all!
 
Last edited:

6 under

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 28, 2006
202
0
0
KC
Watney -105 over Fowler for tournament

Off the record just for some fun I'll play this.
Atwal +325 over Woods round 1
 

lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,279
161
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Adding . . .

Outrights:

Daniel Chopra(200/1) e.w.
Bryce Molder(25/1) e.w.
D.J. Trahan(66/1) e.w.
Jeff Maggert(100/1) e.w.

- - There's an angle with Chopra, Molder gets the chance for a Stanleyesque redemption after the 14th hole at Pebble Beach has haunted him the last two years, Trahan playing with Aaron Rodgers has appeal I refuse to regret, and Maggert deserves another shot to carry my cash this week, and probably just as much so at Riviera and Mayokaba, too, if it comes to that.

GL
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
Forum Member
Jul 7, 2002
11,593
249
63
68
Benbrook
Phil is my Pick this week in the Contest. See if Spencer can do what Kyle did??

Outrights
ODDS TO WIN AT&T PEBBLE BEACH 2012 PHIL MICKELSON +2000
ODDS TO WIN AT&T PEBBLE BEACH 2012 SPENCER LEVIN +3000
ODDS TO WIN AT&T PEBBLE BEACH 2012 DA POINTS +3000
 

Blackman

Winghead
Forum Member
Aug 31, 2003
7,867
42
48
New Jersey
Agree with the team here on Mahan and have on other:

Mahan over Z. Johnson -120
G. Olgivly over P. Harrington -110

Good luck to all.
 

Slick 1

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 1, 2004
551
2
0
55
Boston, MA
Adding . . .

Outrights:

Daniel Chopra(200/1) e.w.
Bryce Molder(25/1) e.w.
D.J. Trahan(66/1) e.w.
Jeff Maggert(100/1) e.w.

- - There's an angle with Chopra, Molder gets the chance for a Stanleyesque redemption after the 14th hole at Pebble Beach has haunted him the last two years, Trahan playing with Aaron Rodgers has appeal I refuse to regret, and Maggert deserves another shot to carry my cash this week, and probably just as much so at Riviera and Mayokaba, too, if it comes to that.

GL
Chopra had two hole in ones in his practice round! Odds are 67 million to 1 of doing it same round of a tournament :scared
 

TLankford

Donkey
Forum Member
Nov 24, 2005
1,999
16
38
40
Austin, TX
Got some free $ from Sportsbook. Gonna play around with it today on these matchups:

Mahan -0.5 -110 over Oglivy 2.2u / 2u

Bud Cauley -135 over Barnes 2.03u / 1.5u
 

scrub

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2003
978
3
0
56
Grand Junction Colorado
outrights

Love 125-1 50 units
Wier 200-1 25 units
Cejka 80-1 50 units my players have not started yet.Nothing like waiting till last minute
 
Last edited:

Stanley

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
11,801
26
0
Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Round 2 play (4pts):

Ryuji Imada to beat Mike Weir -150 @ 5Dimes
Easy to oppose Weir who is making his first start since elbow surgery in August. Two months ago, he could only work on his short game as the doctors had not given him permission to take full swings and he admitted for the first time on Tuesday that he could now play full rounds. So, to shoot level-par in his first competitive round for six months is an achievement, but that was on the easy Moneterey Peninsula course. That round only sees him 88th place and he now has to play the tougher courses. Ranking almost last in driving accuracy in round 1 could not have been good for his elbow - it was trying to play out of the rough that forced his retirement in his last event, the Canadian Open - and it will not get any easier on his elbow or in trying to find the greens around Pebble Beach today. I didn't expect to get the opportunity to oppose Weir this week, so I certainly will take this chance with a player who showed good form in round 1.

[unofficial rd2 system plays: O'Hair tb Couch -120]
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top