Round 4 plays (4pts):
Patrick Reed to beat Graeme McDowell +100 @ 5Dimes
Reed can into this event in great form with finishes of 16th. 1st and 19th so far in 2014 and he can continued his good ball-striking this week - he ranks in the top-10 for greens in regulation - even if he hasn't scored as well. With McDowell making his 2014 debut this week, his lowly position is more expected so he looks less likely to improve significantly today.
Phil Mickelson to beat Jimmy Walker +100 @ Bet365
Walker's two wins on the PGA Tour have come from off the place - on both occasions he started the final round in 4th place. In fact, he has never previously led a PGA Tour event after 54 holes, so while he should easily with a six-shot lead, it would be understandable if he played very cautiously today so he shouldn't set too high a target for Mickelson to reach to win this matchup.
Roberto Castro to beat Victor Dubuisson -115 @ 5Dimes
I've opposed Dubuisson previously on the PGA Tour over the weekend and I'll do so again. He is certainly a great talent for the future and he has won on the European Tour, so I'd be surprised if he was yet to a serious contender on this Tour.