Round 4 plays (4pts):
Jordan Spieth to beat Billy Horschel -125 @ Stan James
It has been over three months since Horschel secured a top-10 finish, so even though he is currently 4th, this is unfamiliar territory since June - the last time he started any round inside the top-10. Spieth is in great form at the moment and ranks 6th in Final Round Scoring Average on the PGA Tour (Horschel is 60th), so he should a strong contender if Stenson struggles today.
Justin Rose to beat Billy Horschel -123 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Rose is another in much better form than Horschel - he leads him 10-2-0 h2h in 2013 - and also ranks high. He is incredibly consistent when in contention, particularly in the final round, so I also expect Rose to go well today.
Luke Donald to beat Sergio Garcia -120 @ William Hill
Donald has not been at his best this week (ranked 29th of 30 in greens in regulation), but he still starts the final round inside the top-10. That should not be a surprise as he has finished inside the top-3 in each of the last three years here. With Garcia ranking 166th in Final Round Scoring Average on the PGA Tour, it would be a surprise if he held onto his current top-10 position.
Dustin Johnson to beat Billy Horschel -138 @ Bet365
One more to oppose Horschel with. Johnson has finished ahead of Horschel in six of their last seven common events and has a good record when starting the final round inside the top-5, shooting 70 or better every time he has started the final round inside the top-5 since last 2012.
Jim Furyk to beat Graham DeLaet -103 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
A repeat of the rd2 play and, even though both players had poor rounds yesterday, I expect Furyk to bounce-back in rd4 better than his opponent for the same reasons as in rd2.
Jordan Spieth to beat Billy Horschel -125 @ Stan James
It has been over three months since Horschel secured a top-10 finish, so even though he is currently 4th, this is unfamiliar territory since June - the last time he started any round inside the top-10. Spieth is in great form at the moment and ranks 6th in Final Round Scoring Average on the PGA Tour (Horschel is 60th), so he should a strong contender if Stenson struggles today.
Justin Rose to beat Billy Horschel -123 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Rose is another in much better form than Horschel - he leads him 10-2-0 h2h in 2013 - and also ranks high. He is incredibly consistent when in contention, particularly in the final round, so I also expect Rose to go well today.
Luke Donald to beat Sergio Garcia -120 @ William Hill
Donald has not been at his best this week (ranked 29th of 30 in greens in regulation), but he still starts the final round inside the top-10. That should not be a surprise as he has finished inside the top-3 in each of the last three years here. With Garcia ranking 166th in Final Round Scoring Average on the PGA Tour, it would be a surprise if he held onto his current top-10 position.
Dustin Johnson to beat Billy Horschel -138 @ Bet365
One more to oppose Horschel with. Johnson has finished ahead of Horschel in six of their last seven common events and has a good record when starting the final round inside the top-5, shooting 70 or better every time he has started the final round inside the top-5 since last 2012.
Jim Furyk to beat Graham DeLaet -103 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
A repeat of the rd2 play and, even though both players had poor rounds yesterday, I expect Furyk to bounce-back in rd4 better than his opponent for the same reasons as in rd2.
