Australian Open Tennis - January 8th to 27th

snoopol

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i don't like federer as he cost me so much in my lifetime but i gotta give him credit. guy is like 32 and still can keep up and even beat those top guys.
 

BleedDodgerBlue

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He played well

No shame losing a match like this to roger...if he continues the training he should have a real solid year..

Get em next time Jo willy...thnx for the money
 

kickserv

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Quality effort from Tsonga.......Fed is simply the best ever, so so so tough to beat at Grand Slams.
 

ReaderOfTheGame

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Too much consistent depth/variation, more dominant with carrying the greater edge out of the two cross court battles (Murray wins backhand to backhand), tactically more astute on an outdoor-hardcourt due to the the pace, intimidates the Federer second serve (Inflicting double faults) and is IMO more composed in pressure-cooker situation or atleast has the greater probability of winning points in those moments due to his greater margin for error. (Subconsciously you always tighten up that tiny bit in these moments, so yeah, that better control on backhand in-particular will count)

Murray's a lot more fresh, his tenacity and inner work ethic will throw strain upon Roger causing him to go for too much too soon. Game after game, point after point Murray will be attempting to counter anything offensive Roger throws @ him in his service games, which in a best of 5 set match will take it's tole, mentally more than physically. We'll see backhand's slashed wide with forehands going long and into the net on points following the long rallies won by Andy.

Andy also now a days has the ability to switch it up and eat up anything shallow from Roger on the backhand, stepping in and I'm sure moving inside out to play it back to the backhand so he can put away the easy bunted defensive air-ball by Roger @ the net.

Roger will have to serve ridiculously well on his first serves under pressure and he simply was not doing that today for me.

Crowd factor will be an issue too ofcourse. This is the one slam where Murray is even mildly liked to an extent where he'd receive equal if not marginally more support than Roger. The Australians have taken to his personality, they find him endearing and you can jus gage from his after-match interviews with Courier and Woodbridge that he feels more than home here.

Murray to take it in a match I feel he may actually serve surprisingly well from a first serve perspective. Blend of grind and attack, Roger will ofcourse have his sparks, but it won't be enough.

Murray 3 sets to 1 .. potentially 2.

Andy Murray to beat Roger Federer @ 1.67 with Pinnacle X 4.5
 

BleedDodgerBlue

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Joker -7 - 115 x 3

Too much firepower to put away the best defensive player in the game..

Joker won't get into long rallies with ferrer...I actually think this will be a blowout...


Gl
 

BleedDodgerBlue

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Na Li + 1.5 sets + 130 x 2

Heavy hitter with more consistency on serve...wish I found a prop on double faults for sharapova...she always finds some in big moments..

Na Li + 1100 to win Aussie.....if she shocks sharapova she's no way worse than +375 is vs azarenka and then u can free roll....Na Li is good on the faster day surface...if she can just dictate and force rallies she will be fine...sharapova will unforce error herself to shame...yeah Maria has played well but also played no one....


Gl
 

kickserv

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Day 11 Action



Na Li and Maria Sharapova Over 20 games $1.91 (-110) *1.5 units

Jarmila Gajdosova/Matthew Ebden beat Nadia Petrova/Mahesh Bhupathi $3.20 (+220) *1 unit


Pending Parlay
------------------------------------------------------
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +5.5 games.................WIN
Marcel Granollers/Marc Lopez....................Pending
Ashleigh Barty/Casey Dellacqua..................WIN

odds = $4.52 (+352) *1 unit
 
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