Australian Open
- Thread starter 1837
- Start date
Today i like lots of doggies style.... :s6: :142hump:
Girls:
Petrova -201 (2 units)
Peer +102 (1.5 units)
Kirilenko +450 (1 unit)
Azarenka +615 (1 unit)
Boys:
Monfils +235 (1 unit)
Ferrer -146 (2 units)
Girls:
Petrova -201 (2 units)
Peer +102 (1.5 units)
Kirilenko +450 (1 unit)
Azarenka +615 (1 unit)
Boys:
Monfils +235 (1 unit)
Ferrer -146 (2 units)
Yeah... that game smelled fishy from the beginning... I should have known when i saw the line dropped from -210 to -150 before the match... Petrova cruise easily 6-1 first set and then... 
What do I know? Just don't see her as a dog too often.
I think you'll cash it. Stretch run is where the conditioning will come into play. Serena's determined, but she's carrying an extra 10 pounds, probably.
I think you'll cash it. Stretch run is where the conditioning will come into play. Serena's determined, but she's carrying an extra 10 pounds, probably.
I don't know tennis, but tried some Safin (+175).
Roddick is apparently improved, but I'll take the Russian Horse at this price. Rumor is that he took some time off last year to flush the roids out of his system. We'll see.
Roddick is apparently improved, but I'll take the Russian Horse at this price. Rumor is that he took some time off last year to flush the roids out of his system. We'll see.
Nothing fishy about Petrova.
She's a choker.
Got sucker punched a few times.
Enough to know never to bet on her in clutch games.
I wouldn't have taken Serena either yesterday,
just a no bet game.
She's a choker.
Got sucker punched a few times.
Enough to know never to bet on her in clutch games.
I wouldn't have taken Serena either yesterday,
just a no bet game.
Dogs didnt bark.... 2-4 (-3.49 units)
YTD: 7-11 (-4.22 units)
Will try to get back on track today.
2-4 (-3.49 units)YTD: 7-11 (-4.22 units)
Will try to get back on track today.
:shrug: WARNING!! BEWARE OF MY PLAYS!!! :director: :scared I'm having a terrible week so far in gambling so maybe it is better to fade me.... Things will go back to normal soon i hope!!!! :scared
Gasquet -131 (2 units)
Ancic +270 (1 unit)
Djokovic +1300 :scared (0.5 units)
The young kid will give a hard time to Fed, even an upset in the making maybe??? If my book shows a props like: Will Fed win 3 set to 0. I will definitely bet on NO.
Things will go back to normal soon i hope!!!! :scared Gasquet -131 (2 units)
Ancic +270 (1 unit)
Djokovic +1300 :scared (0.5 units)
The young kid will give a hard time to Fed, even an upset in the making maybe??? If my book shows a props like: Will Fed win 3 set to 0. I will definitely bet on NO.
Im not new to the tennis circuit but the ongoing problems with real shops closing has hurt my tennis handicapping. This used to be my favorite tournament to bank in though and I'll pick my spots when theres an edge like tonight.
One play this evening in the womens side and its chalk. Serena Williams was very lucky to win over Nadia Petrova, but I don't think she can compete tonight. Serena does not impress me in any shape and is lucky to be this far in the tournament. Her oppnent Jankovic is just a flatout superior player who is also playing better RIGHT NOW. She's in prime form with wins in NZ and a fantastic showing down in Sydney.
My mathematical numbers have Jankovic winning this match a very solid 71.3% of the time which would equate to a very profitable return ratio on the -185 line I played earlier. Serena also applies to a negative 12-35 ATS situation based on an unforced errors angle, whereas Jelena should play her normal game. Im expecting this match to go straight sets for JJ and for those who prefer to gamble you can bet that in the +150 neighborhood. In fact, Id still suggest playing Jankovic straight up at anything -225 or less.
GL
-Bender
One play this evening in the womens side and its chalk. Serena Williams was very lucky to win over Nadia Petrova, but I don't think she can compete tonight. Serena does not impress me in any shape and is lucky to be this far in the tournament. Her oppnent Jankovic is just a flatout superior player who is also playing better RIGHT NOW. She's in prime form with wins in NZ and a fantastic showing down in Sydney.
My mathematical numbers have Jankovic winning this match a very solid 71.3% of the time which would equate to a very profitable return ratio on the -185 line I played earlier. Serena also applies to a negative 12-35 ATS situation based on an unforced errors angle, whereas Jelena should play her normal game. Im expecting this match to go straight sets for JJ and for those who prefer to gamble you can bet that in the +150 neighborhood. In fact, Id still suggest playing Jankovic straight up at anything -225 or less.
GL
-Bender
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Was going to post it but you were faster than me Ix Bender!
Jankovic -216 (1.5 units)
S. Williams you wont **** me twice... :nono:
Jankovic -216 (1.5 units)
S. Williams you wont **** me twice... :nono:
and she did!!! :scared I told you to fade me....
I'm done with the Australian open as i'm losing my shirt.... Last night was too much for me.... :sadwave:
YTD: 7-16 (-13.2) units :sadwave:
I'm done with the Australian open as i'm losing my shirt.... Last night was too much for me.... :sadwave:
YTD: 7-16 (-13.2) units :sadwave:
Geez I hope I don't regret this but.....you're damn right Nadal can lose! :scared
This is easily the match-of-the-tournament thus far. Nadal has been very impressive.....I admit I didn't think he was this primed up. But Murray has been just as impressive......but I did expect him to be. Since Gilbert entered the picture, the Scot has been a massive force. Remember Murray is the only guy to beat the Fed is straight sets in something like the last 5 years. .
On this surface, Murray is actually better skilled (arguably). These guys maybe the best 2 defensive diggers in the world....Nads gets the #1 but not by a lot.
Here is the catch.....Nads has the toughest mental game of anyone in the world and Murray has shown some faults in this department. I do follow Murray's career though and his confidence/maturity has exploded under Gilbert.
Ballz of steel grit against the sweet finesse of natural talent. I wouldn't go crazy but Murray as a dog has been a money-maker money for 2.5 years now (I even bet him against the Fed). I priced Nads @ -185.
And this is only a 4th round match-up! You'd be lucky to even find a hoe's final with this type of quality.
In case you are not watching the match (its a good'un!) you might want to take Nads now down 2-1 at about even money to guarantee a no loss. I took over 39.5 games so I'm okay I think. Murray has been grabbing at his right side. No trainer but who knows if its a real injury or an excuse for that pathetic collapse he suffered from 4-1 up in the 2nd
