I don't know, I have tabled this many times on this site. If you go against your instincts and start getting caught up in line movement head games, I think it can hurt. I have been on plenty of overs that caught major steam before kick off, only to fall flat, so it goes both ways in the end. I don't get the movement though, and PSV is being completely written off. I know it is hard to go in and get a win in Portugal, but these guys only lost once in 21 matches their line is +280? Not playing the sides, but PSV is getting zero respect here with the way they have been playing.
BASON 2020-2021 Season
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I don't know, I have tabled this many times on this site. If you go against your instincts and start getting caught up in line movement head games, I think it can hurt. I have been on plenty of overs that caught major steam before kick off, only to fall flat, so it goes both ways in the end. I don't get the movement though, and PSV is being completely written off. I know it is hard to go in and get a win in Portugal, but these guys only lost once in 21 matches their line is +280? Not playing the sides, but PSV is getting zero respect here with the way they have been playing.
Nice winner with plenty of time to spare, exactly why I wont let line moves shake me out
I will take it and it is one of the reasons I tend to bet games early, but I would say that about 75% of the time I bet early the line moves with me rather than against me. I do not mind them as much with sides as I do with totals. a -135 move to +105 is a awful big move on a total.
In any even, both were winners. Young Boys performance with the red card was impressive today. Overs in their home games have been money.
In any even, both were winners. Young Boys performance with the red card was impressive today. Overs in their home games have been money.
No time to cap all these games today.
One for tomorrow:
Leipzig/Stuttgart Ov 3
Leipzig has to look better in this game or Marsch will be on the hot sear very fast. I mentioned that Stuttgart is better than most think last week and I think they will score to put this game over or at least a push. Leipzig has to come out strong in this match, so I am expecting a fast paced offensive game.
One for tomorrow:
Leipzig/Stuttgart Ov 3
Leipzig has to look better in this game or Marsch will be on the hot sear very fast. I mentioned that Stuttgart is better than most think last week and I think they will score to put this game over or at least a push. Leipzig has to come out strong in this match, so I am expecting a fast paced offensive game.
This does set up nicely after Lepizig shitty opening performance, they come home now and will be hungry to find the net after being clean sheeted. I like the Silva kid coming in from Frankfurt he is a real sniper :0074
Adding one in Bundesliga 2:
Dusseldorf -117
Neither team looked very good in their first game, but Kiel looked particularly bad so this is more of a play against them.
Dusseldorf -117
Neither team looked very good in their first game, but Kiel looked particularly bad so this is more of a play against them.
Thanks. Bad call in second division, will try to get that back with this one early in the morning:
Paderborn/St. Pauli Ov 3 +105
This should be a shootout.
Paderborn/St. Pauli Ov 3 +105
This should be a shootout.
I do not like much today. I lean to Brentford in a Pk but not sure I can trust them on the road. I like Dortmund but a little hesitant off the SuperCup. So, this is all I am playing:
Man City TT Ov 2.5 -172
Yes, it is pricey and you can do it at 3 at a much lower price, but much like Leipzig yesterday, you have to think City responds to last weeks loss with a big win today so I am willing to lay the juice especially since we have at least a push in the early game.
Man City TT Ov 2.5 -172
Yes, it is pricey and you can do it at 3 at a much lower price, but much like Leipzig yesterday, you have to think City responds to last weeks loss with a big win today so I am willing to lay the juice especially since we have at least a push in the early game.
Easy winner, this game is a joke. Loaded up on that one so a great day. Will have a couple up for tomorrow a little later.
And of course VAR just likely cost me a four figure big parlay winner. Another bs offsides call that they said they were not calling this year. Premier league VAR fucks everything up.
Two for tomorrow:
Chelsea TT Ov 1.5 -113
Napoli TT Ov 2.5 -120
I expect Lukaku to have a great debut for Chelsea. He is one of my favorite players in the world and he will make a difference for this team. I also do not like Arsenal.
I think Napoli is going to give Venezia a nice Serie A welcoming.
Chelsea TT Ov 1.5 -113
Napoli TT Ov 2.5 -120
I expect Lukaku to have a great debut for Chelsea. He is one of my favorite players in the world and he will make a difference for this team. I also do not like Arsenal.
I think Napoli is going to give Venezia a nice Serie A welcoming.
:toast:
That Chelsea TT didn?t take long.
Let?s get this Napoli one home this easily, too
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Looking for Napoli to send Venice underwater fast. I don't play a lot of parlays, but I got a few tied to Napoli -1 to close out, and I have a few Overs parlays that just need over 2.5 to close. I have too much tied to this game but I feel a big win for Napoli.
I made the play based on how bad I thought Venezia was. I was right, they are horrible, but that straight red is just brutal. Serie A can be a shit show at times and why I do not play a ton of games. The end of the Juve game was also a mess and the Bologna game had 3 reds. Need a red for Venezia likely to have any chance in this game now.
