Might want to wait until closer to game time to play because all of the degenerates will play the favorite & over as one of the last plays of the day.
Been Hot In NBA So Spreading Some Cheer
- Thread starter Northern Star
- Start date
OKC Under has 3 categories 28-12 record 15-6 last 21 First half is good too 25-15 14-9 last 23 (7-1 last 8)
GL
Northern Star
GL
Northern Star
Thx. Got push yesterday. 1h lost in final min. Game covered in final minutes.
Will try again today. Prob just play game today only.
Easily won last night. Should have done 1h too. Oh well. Thx. Big card tonight. Any cheers tonight?
Careful before the break.
All 4 pick Tor Over 19-13 record and 14-6 last 20 (FH is just 17-14 but 14-7 last 21)
All 4 Pick Phil Over 72-43 (Favorite covered 44 of 115) record & 37-20 last 57
GL
Northern Star
All 4 pick Tor Over 19-13 record and 14-6 last 20 (FH is just 17-14 but 14-7 last 21)
All 4 Pick Phil Over 72-43 (Favorite covered 44 of 115) record & 37-20 last 57
GL
Northern Star
Always nice when all 4 of my ways to analyze the totals not only agree....
but also win!!
Parlay on Phil & Over was nice too!!
So you won a bunch of plays you didn't actually post as plays? Congrats but the way I took it you said be careful before the break but since they won you played them all, just curious. I know I play some more then what I post and sometimes good and sometimes bad, but don't comeback and say everything won.Unless I read your post wrong I don't see where a Philly and over par was supposed to be a play,atleast not based on a 44-115 record?Again not trying to be a jerk just asking why the gloat when nothing was confirmed just a warning about being careful before break.My guess is you played these and won but didn't really endorse as plays.
Lets star with the parlay since you are obviously mathematically challenged. The true odds of a 2 team parlay is 25%. 44/115=38% Pretty sure that hitting 38% on parlays is a definite money maker. You would have to hit a very high percentage of straight bets to have a higher expected value than hitting 38% on 2 team parlays. This is probably over your rock.
Pretty clearly posted that all 4 of my categories picked Tor Over and Phil Over (so you might be challenged not only in math....but plain english too!!). It also stated what the record is the last nine years when all 4 of them pick at 59% & 62% respectively. Additional it said Phil Over first half was also very good at 37-20 (which is 65%).
The first half record on the Toronto game is only which would not be a play based on past history but since it was 14-7 the last 21 I personally played the first half over. What I didnt post on this game was the favorite also cover 13 and pushed once in the 32 games. With Toronto down at half I put another parlay in on Toronto and Over in the second half which won and I got a win and a push on the full game parlay.
So one the plays posted 3-0 plus a parlay. Personally I did better than that.
The only reason for the careful warning is this is the last night before the NBA break for most teams and the risk of them not playing to form increases
Now I have a suggestion for you go climb back under your ROCK :sadwave:
I for one appreciate your posts! Not trying to sound kiss ass! I suck at picking nba! I try to follow who?s hot! I personally think it?s cool that you created a formula and system to generate your numbers and calculations. Therefore I appreciate you sharing.
So follow with caution if you think it?s not for you! And I think he was just stating that it?s good that his numbers came right and it actually wins for 4 categories bc it hasn?t been smooth sailings the last few posts and he had a losing streak. I don?t think he was gloating about what he bets and win on. Just my intake.
At the end of the day... you choose to follow, don?t blame others that share their picks! If you are good, you wouldn?t be on his page! Not stirring the pot by all means. I don?t like bashing anyone! If I don?t like, I read and move on.
So follow with caution if you think it?s not for you! And I think he was just stating that it?s good that his numbers came right and it actually wins for 4 categories bc it hasn?t been smooth sailings the last few posts and he had a losing streak. I don?t think he was gloating about what he bets and win on. Just my intake.
At the end of the day... you choose to follow, don?t blame others that share their picks! If you are good, you wouldn?t be on his page! Not stirring the pot by all means. I don?t like bashing anyone! If I don?t like, I read and move on.
Couldn't agree more. Anybody that has a passion and any type of system to cap NBA I have a lot of time for. I have found Sides in that League a little more than throwing darts. I put a normal/smaller amount on those 2 Overs last night based on the "be careful" - - meaning don't hammer them because you don't know where the players' heads are at heading into the All Star break. You could of had players mailing the games in or coaches with a last minute decision to sit players - or both - and needed to put up 220+ pts in both games.
I just appreciated the data/picks, and more importantly, the 2 wins.
All 4 categories pick OKC Over and this is in the exact same category as Philadelphia Over last night. OKC should cover too.
GL
Northern Star
GL
Northern Star
What I tend to like about basketball is there is a regular schedule/routine for the players. I dont like changes in the routine very much. Nothing to back it up from a handicapping standpoint but things like the game before Xmas or the all star break can have teams going through the motions or starting their breaks early and break form.
Have a little bit of the same opinion after the break but not as strong. Last night it like Milwaukee under in the first half and it won. Also a strong correlation on the dog covered. I played both and Boston got out scored 8-0 to end the half and blow the parlay.
There looks like a couple decent plays tonight so I will try to post them later.
Ind Over FH 70-50 & 47-30 last 77 Home team covered 30 of 77. For game it is 72-61 to the under so a low scoring second half
Tor Over FH is 34-21 last 55 & game is 37-19. Game is also 63-41 overall.
GL
Northern Star
Tor Over FH is 34-21 last 55 & game is 37-19. Game is also 63-41 overall.
GL
Northern Star
Det Over has 3 picking it & is 56-36 with dog covering 35
Mem had same exact 3 & the line jumped 3 points & left one out. At 208 it gets all 3. I played it at 205.5 an hour ago
Laker Over has 2 picking it & is 56-37 for game & 46-32 FH
GL
Northern Star
Mem had same exact 3 & the line jumped 3 points & left one out. At 208 it gets all 3. I played it at 205.5 an hour ago
Laker Over has 2 picking it & is 56-37 for game & 46-32 FH
GL
Northern Star
