Between-Slam Thread (Australian / French)
- Thread starter Nelson
- Start date
I think Querrey will put up a real struggle if he doesn't win. If he comes just short, I don't want to lose on the ML (+160) so I'm taking the games. There are three attractive choice - ML, 23 over, +3 -122, I'm going with the last.
Tough losses. Querrey up on Blake, loses first set 67, then 36. loses by one game. That's the usual course. As I wrote above, the lines seem to be set so that At best the games + heavy vig get you out with a tie. In other words, the lines in tennis seem to make it better to take the favorite minus the games.
Have had good luck going with Stepanek. On the other hand, have lost most of my dog-plus-games bets. I think Stepanek has a very good chance of keeping this close or winning outright. Latter cashes at +321. Have a feeling that if Roddick wins this one he comes a game short of covering so will take the spread.
As for parlay, no sure thing. Fish has been playing well but is a serve + zip guy, so i think blake can overcome him. Monfils is very good but at this point Nadal can basically decide whether he wins or loses. Nadal is in or near the stage in his career in which he goes a year without losing, something like that. Anytime he's under -1000 he's probably worth betting on.
As for parlay, no sure thing. Fish has been playing well but is a serve + zip guy, so i think blake can overcome him. Monfils is very good but at this point Nadal can basically decide whether he wins or loses. Nadal is in or near the stage in his career in which he goes a year without losing, something like that. Anytime he's under -1000 he's probably worth betting on.
Parlay loses, Stepanek covers and wins outright. It's a wash, feel kinda dumb not taking Step at +320 or so. Roddick won first set then folded.
Units: +3
Units: +3
Units: 3
Pick: Dementieva -182 (Mauresmo
1.82 units to win 1 unit
Pick: Nadal -1' games (Murray) -102
2.04 units to win 2 units
Pick: Dementieva -182 (Mauresmo
1.82 units to win 1 unit
Pick: Nadal -1' games (Murray) -102
2.04 units to win 2 units
Units: -.86
Pick: Stepanek -120 (Fish)
2.4 units to win 2 units
Fish has been playing well but Stepanek is sly and should win.
Pick: Stepanek -120 (Fish)
2.4 units to win 2 units
Fish has been playing well but Stepanek is sly and should win.
Stepanek comes from behind, wins in three. Seems to be a pattern with him. He's one of the tougher-minded players on the tour.
Units: +1.14
Units: +1.14
