Billy Blastoffs Picks 2/8

[Billy Blastoff]

Word to the wise. Be careful with the Georgia souther vs Greensboro game Vegas has made GS a 1 point fav my numbers have it Greensboro a 9 point favorite. My play would have been GS -1 but the difference is more than 8 making it a 50/50 wager. Similar to Seton hall/ BC this weekend.Just be careful if you are betting Greensboro. Somethings up. No bet for me.

With that said
My picks for 2/8

Maryland -13 should be -9
Florida +9 1/2 should be + 13
Penn -8 should be - 3 1/2

As I have stated in past I hate the NBA, to many games where players dog. Wont post anymore NBA. The NBA is nothing more than spoiled children

Have fun . Always bet straight don't get greedy. There will be many a day with a 1-1 outcome . Its better to pay the vig than to pay the man.

 

[Regular Joe]

Good luck tonight, BB!



"Joe"

 

[ezpickin]

Good luck Billy and thanks for the posts...I think you would have gotten much better line value in that Florida play except for the fact that Florida looked so good over the weekend against Bama...then again, if you would have gotten much better line value, Florida would not be a play!

 

[ezpickin]

Billy,

When you crunched the numbers what did you come up with in BC/ND game? Thanks and continued good luck!

 

[buddy]

Billy,

Thanks for posting.

You realize you're helping a lot of guys here and you don't have to do this.

I've been at Madjacks a long time and you're like a breath of fresh air.

I hope your next hundred plays go 100-0.

Go Billy, go!!

 

[Tupac]

gl billy. great day yesterday

 

[addikted]

go get em billy!

 

[canni]

keep e'm coming :mj14:
good luck tonight

 

[primate22]

thanks for posting early and good luck to you tonight bb
primate.

 

[vinnie]

Billy,

Thanks for posting.

You realize you're helping a lot of guys here and you don't have to do this.

What do you think this forum is for :shrug:

 

[Billy Blastoff]

Billy,

When you crunched the numbers what did you come up with in BC/ND game? Thanks and continued good luck!

All games that are not picks fall within 2 points of the Vegas morning line. In this case the game is a no bet. The reason I use 3 as the number to establish a pick is that at worst a 3 pointer in last seconds gets a push. Thats also why a 2 1/2 line difference falls into the close but no play category. It makes sense if you take time to think about it.

 

[addikted]

BB what do you come up with for the Illini/Mich game? 15 seems like a gift, seeing that the Wolves are without Horton and have gotten beat by 29,17 and 26 the last three games? Anything Vegas knows about this game?

Thanks and as always best of luck.

 

[Billy Blastoff]

BB what do you come up with for the Illini/Mich game? 15 seems like a gift, seeing that the Wolves are without Horton and have gotten beat by 29,17 and 26 the last three games? Anything Vegas knows about this game?

Thanks and as always best of luck.

No such thing as a gift. The line is right. No team has an edge,even with those players out.

 

[nchiappetta]

Hi Billy,

I am just curious what numbers you have for the GT/Clemson game? I am pretty sure GT is scheduled to get back Elder and this line just seems too low. I don't know if something is up, or if this is the number you got...if so, then maybe Vegas posted the opening line of Clemson -1 before they knew? (Already GT -2.5)

I love your system...my Dad's friend who used to make lines for Vegas back in the 60's and 70's uses the same system. He gets his lines from Court Ratings using a publication, but his theory is the same as far as betting on the "raw end of the deal."

Since I have been tracking, you have about a 62% win percentage...keep up the awesome picks!


nlc

 

[buddy]

Hey Nick,

This is Tom. I work with your dad on the railroad. Get my email addy from Madjack and drop me a line. I'll get right back to you.

 

[gridman]

As always, your selections are much appreciated. Furthermore, I want to thank you very much for your DAILY picks and EARLY POSTS. It makes my day!! Plse keep up the good work - just turn a deaf ear to the occasional bashers.
GM

 

[4lynski]

Billy, since the NC greensboro game falls out of your system and the numbers are lopsided, I was thinking on pounding them...more input plz.

 

[Iminforabuck]

Good luck to us tonight.

 

[Mr. Hollywood]

Great Job last night Billy!!!!

 

[Fluk]

Billy,

At Bodog, all the lines have moved even further in the unexpected direction:

Maryland -14
Florida +8.5
Penn -8.5

Just curious as to how you read this? Is this even more reason to hop on these, or should this be a red flag?

I appreciate all of your work and enjoy your daily picks!