BMW CHAMPIONSHIP

Dallasbetgolf

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Mahan 40-1 win, 20-1 place, 10-1 show

Snedeker 50-1 win, 25-1 place, 12 1/2 show

Watson 50-1 win, 25-1 place, 12 1/2 show

Van Pelt 60-1 win, 30-1 place, 15-1 show

As always, good luck to all of you!
 

Stanley

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Round 1 play (2pts):

Zach Johnson to beat Rory McIlroy +105 @ FiveDimes
Backing Corey Pavin's Wild Card pick in this matchup. Being a wild card selection can give a major and sudden boost to confidence (and thus form), of which the best example is Stewart Cink: in the last two occasions that he has been named as a wild card pick, he has gone on to finish 1st and 2nd (playoff loser) that week. Maybe Johnson will do the same - though this clearly points to Cink having a good week - and he has certainly shown enough form to suggest that he will go well this week: he finished 3rd in the PGA Championship, has finished ahead of McIlroy in both the Playoff events so far, and he finished 5th here last year. This is McIlroy's debut on this course so that should give the edge clearly to Johnson.

[unofficial rd1 system play: O'Hair tb Cabrera +100; Rose tb Ogilvy +110]
 

Another Steve

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Outrights
ODDS TO WIN THE BMW CHAMPIONSHIP TIGER WOODS +600
ODDS TO WIN THE BMW CHAMPIONSHIP JIM FURYK +1800
 

6 under

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Round 1 plays
Bill Haas (1st Rnd) -110* vs Sean O'Hair (1st Rnd)
Adam Scott (1st Rnd) +110* vs Phil Mickelson (1st Rnd)
Luke Donald (1st Rnd) +115* vs Phil Mickelson (1st Rnd)
Adam Scott (1st Rnd) +110* vs Jim Furyk (1st Rnd)
 

Stanley

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Round 2 play (2pts):

Luke Donald to beat Martin Laird -163 @ SkyBet [available generally]
A short price, but Donald has been one of the most consistent players of the year (he ranks 6th in Scoring Average on the PGA Tour; Laird is 119th) and he showed that with another good round yesterday to finish in the top-10. Given that he has finished in the top-30 in his last seven visits to Cog Hill and still has a home in Illinois, he should be able to improve on his position even further. For Laird, this is his 5th consecutive week of tournament golf and while his 25th place finish last week was a good rebound from his choke at The Barclays, there is likely to be a fatigue factor. That was evident yesterday as he ranks almost last in driving accuracy and greens in regulation, but he still looks safe to start the Tour Championship in the top-10 of the FedEx Cup so I can see a coasting effort if he doesn't get the early birdies to make a significant move up the leaderboard (he is already nine shots off the lead).

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Casey tb Johnson Z +100; Goosen tb Overton -130; Casey tb Mahan -125]
 

6 under

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Round 2

Choi +160 over woods
Hoffman +150 over kuchar
Scott -110 over Dustin Johnson

Lets see if I can build off of round 1!
 

6 under

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what a battle :facepalm:

There are 2 ways to look at this Derrick.

1. It's not too often you go against a guy who is 65th out of 70 and you are sweating the play. :0corn

2. It's not too often your guy is tied for 65th out of 70 and your still in it! :shrug:

haha, just trying to brighten your day a bit. I'm pretty sure this was a fade Verplank play which you had a good read on.

I think you will be alright in the end as Verplank has looked pretty bad! :0074



:mj06:
 

Stanley

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Round 3 play (2pts):

Retief Goosen to beat Hunter Mahan -105 @ Bet365
Two players who tend to go in opposite directions from their current positions on 'Moving Day'. Goosen is currently 4th ... in the 70 previous occasions that he has started the 3rd round in the top-5, he has finished the event still in the top-5 in 71.4% of those occasions! Mahan is currently 9th ... (and it should be easier to stay in the top-10 rather than stay in the top-5) ... in the 19 previous occasions that he started the 3rd round in the top-10, he has finished the event still in the top-10 in just 47.4% of those occasions, including just once in the last five times that he has found himself in this position. P.S. Goosen is a very good wet weather player, which should be relevant given the forecast.
 

DerrickTulips

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There are 2 ways to look at this Derrick.

1. It's not too often you go against a guy who is 65th out of 70 and you are sweating the play. :0corn

2. It's not too often your guy is tied for 65th out of 70 and your still in it! :shrug:

haha, just trying to brighten your day a bit. I'm pretty sure this was a fade Verplank play which you had a good read on.

I think you will be alright in the end as Verplank has looked pretty bad! :0074



:mj06:
I agree with everything you just said. Ive always said if you would tell me the guy i bet against is 65th out of 70 i would make the bet everytime.
 
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