BMW CHAMPIONSHIP

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Round 4 play (2pts):

Dustin Johnson to beat Ryan Moore -150 @ SkyBet and Paddy Power [available generally]
Opposing Moore who holds a one-shot lead over the field, including playing partner Johnson. Moore has only ever held the in-running lead in a PGA Tour event at the end of a round on five occasions and he has never shot below 70 in the subsequent round. In the one occasion that he held the lead with one round to play - 2009 Houston Open - he shot 76 in the final round to drop out of the top-10 completely. Johnson didn't play particularly well when in this position two weeks ago, but his game is at a much higher level than Moore's and most bookies are pricing these two players at identical odds to win the event (some with Johnson favourite) even though Moore holds a one-shot lead. That shows the widespread expectation that Johnson should win this 18-hole match.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Goosen tb Clark -120; Wi tb Moore +103; Na tb Leishman +105]
 
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